Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $99.2687 (-2.56%) ($98.3239 - $100.4277) on Mon. Jul. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.89% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $99.2687(-2.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(70%)    XLK(70%)    SMH(68%)    VT(68%)    SPY(67%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.945% (StdDev 1.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $105.05
5 Day Moving Average   $101.46(-2.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.3(-4.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.05(-5.5%)
To recent high   -10.4%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $41.533b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(31%) Average negative next day return: -1.05%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(31%) Average negative next three day return: -2.55%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 1.82%(31%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.29%(69%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150806

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_6_2015	103.58	105.05	104.3	101.46	101.75	100.57	99.27(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-94	-70	-90	-107	0.72	60%	0.01	-67	1.89%	0	-2.4	36	INF
2	Jul_2_2015	103.57	105.43	105.02	102.8	102.59	102.94	101.88(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	20	-31	-61	0.94	65%	0.01	-69.8	1.86%	0	-1.8	43	INF
3	Jul_1_2015	103.56	105.73	105.47	103.9	103.8	102.93	102.9(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-60	-6	-36	1.31	65%	0.05	-64.7	1.86%	0	-1.5	39	INF
4	Jun_30_2015	103.51	106.03	105.72	104.74	104.75	102.25	101.42(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-92	-170	-101	-64	0.75	61%	0.06	-58.6	1.86%	0	-2.5	39	INF
5	Jun_29_2015	103.45	106.34	106.26	106.08	106.11	104.67	101.84(-3.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-92	-90	-108	-42	1.04	61%	0.04	-42.7	1.86%	0	-2.8	43	INF

6	Jun_26_2015	103.41	106.7	106.69	107.51	107.64	107.24	105.95(-1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-20	-18	21	0.87	62%	0.06	-18.9	1.82%	0	-0.6	55	INF
7	Jun_25_2015	103.35	106.86	106.63	107.52	108.21	107.55	107.39(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-20	-4	22	0.4	54%	0.09	-14.2	1.94%	0	0.3	54	INF
8	Jun_24_2015	103.26	107.01	106.59	107.26	107.8	108.03	107.11(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	30	-10	14	0.4	54%	0.07	-12.8	2.05%	0	0.1	47	INF
9	Jun_23_2015	103.19	107.12	106.49	106.84	107.32	108.87	108.12(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	110	48	24	0.48	54%	0.08	-15.9	2.04%	0	0.6	46	INF
10	Jun_22_2015	103.11	107.02	106.21	106.49	106.43	107.56	109(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	52	70	62	20	0.71	54%	0.09	-26.9	2.04%	0	1.2	54	INF

11	Jun_19_2015	103.02	106.96	105.79	105.8	105.62	105.77	105.98(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	9	0	18	-18	0.48	54%	0.03	-39.7	2.04%	0	-0.6	40	INF
12	Jun_18_2015	102.99	107.09	105.81	105.63	105.27	105.3	106.1(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10	-4	-37	1.39	54%	0.05	-40.1	2.04%	0	-0.6	39	INF
13	Jun_17_2015	102.94	107.22	105.95	105.84	105.13	105.46	105.02(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	0	-6	-43	0.56	54%	0.02	-28.9	2.04%	0	-1.3	31	INF
14	Jun_16_2015	102.92	107.39	106.32	106.07	105.79	105.23	106.37(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-40	11	-36	0.54	56%	0.03	-19.7	2.03%	0	-0.6	39	INF
15	Jun_15_2015	102.89	107.48	106.39	105.88	105.88	104.79	105.56(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-70	-40	-57	0.84	56%	0.03	-16.7	2.05%	0	-1.2	50	INF

16	Jun_12_2015	102.86	107.62	106.69	105.77	106.07	106.34	105.1(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	30	-18	-49	0.58	54%	0.01	-10.4	2.05%	0	-1.6	44	INF
17	Jun_11_2015	102.85	107.76	107.11	106	106.1	106.97	107.14(0.93%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	18	60	32	-25	0.87	54%	0.04	6.8	2.05%	0	-0.4	46	INF
18	Jun_10_2015	102.81	107.76	107.45	106.11	105.81	105.8	106.15(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10	-0	-32	0.5	52%	0.06	16.5	2.05%	0	-1	43	INF
19	Jun_9_2015	102.75	107.71	107.79	106.64	106.44	105.24	105.43(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-80	-31	-33	0.84	52%	0.03	35.5	2.06%	0	-1.5	43	INF
20	Jun_8_2015	102.72	107.75	107.91	106.99	107.39	105.82	105(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-57	-90	-61	-45	0.8	52%	0.05	45.7	2.06%	0	-1.8	43	INF

21	Jun_5_2015	102.67	107.78	108.25	107.74	108.07	107.65	106.26(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-42	-20	-46	-29	1	50%	0.08	58.3	2.07%	0	-1	45	INF
22	Jun_4_2015	102.59	107.67	108.51	108.36	108.63	108.97	107.71(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	2	30	2	2	1.37	50%	0.08	58.6	2.06%	0	0	51	INF
23	Jun_3_2015	102.51	107.46	108.62	108.99	108.89	108.5	108.81(1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-30	-1	18	1.03	50%	0.09	56.5	2.06%	0	0.7	62	INF
24	Jun_2_2015	102.42	107.17	108.57	109.15	109.24	108.29	107.19(-1.42%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-14	-60	-24	17	0.74	52%	0.07	45.1	2.05%	0	0	58	INF
25	Jun_1_2015	102.35	107.08	108.69	108.94	109.34	109.27	108.73(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	10	-14	24	0.86	52%		38.6	2.06%	0	0.7	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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