Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $105.2332 (0.82%) ($104.0423 - $105.4945) on Thu. Apr. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $105.2332(0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(70%)    XLK(69%)    SMH(68%)    VT(68%)    SPY(66%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $97.75(7.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.55(8.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.97(8.52%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $44.028b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 3.48% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.77%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.19%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150523

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_23_2015	101.4	96.97	96.55	97.75	99.43	105.19	105.23(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	160	460	184	88	1.36	49%	0.01	-47.4	2.24%	0	2.5	65	INF
2	Apr_22_2015	101.39	96.7	95.66	95.13	96.06	100.08	104.38(10.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	171	320	208	58	4.85	49%	0.02	-81.4	2.25%	0	2.6	65	INF
3	Apr_21_2015	101.37	96.73	94.79	92.87	92.74	93.67	94.64(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	14	70	39	-62	2.4	42%	-0.07	-87.2	1.83%	0	-0.6	36	INF
4	Apr_20_2015	101.44	97.32	95.01	93.3	92.76	92.05	93.02(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-70	-20	-87	1.13	42%	-0.1	-67.8	1.85%	0	-1.1	22	INF
5	Apr_17_2015	101.54	97.98	95.41	94.02	93.92	91.8	91.49(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-86	-160	-80	-104	1.67	42%	-0.11	-54.5	1.84%	0	-1.5	22	INF

6	Apr_16_2015	101.65	98.6	96.05	95.09	95.28	93.48	92.09(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-97	-130	-100	-88	2.29	42%	-0.08	-47.7	1.86%	0	-1.6	40	INF
7	Apr_15_2015	101.73	99.18	96.59	96.18	96.47	96.04	93.08(-3.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-20	-45	-59	4.13	42%	-0.08	-43	1.86%	0	-1.5	30	INF
8	Apr_14_2015	101.81	99.71	97.1	96.92	97.03	97.08	96.79(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	10	7	-54	1.14	45%	-0.03	-39.6	1.8%	0	-0.8	26	INF
9	Apr_13_2015	101.84	100.09	97.38	96.96	96.9	96.9	96.64(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-0	-5	-81	1.04	45%	-0.06	-39.2	1.8%	0	-0.9	25	INF
10	Apr_10_2015	101.9	100.37	97.57	97.04	97.03	96.98	96.84(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-0	-2	-104	0.85	45%	-0.06	-42	1.79%	0	-0.9	27	INF

11	Apr_9_2015	101.96	100.62	97.51	97.18	97.18	96.89	97.54(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-20	-8	-128	1.61	45%	-0.05	-47.5	1.81%	0	-0.8	38	INF
12	Apr_8_2015	102.01	100.91	97.85	97.1	97.39	97.09	96.79(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10	-16	-140	0.63	47%	-0.04	-51.4	1.81%	0	-1.1	37	INF
13	Apr_7_2015	102.05	101.23	98.78	97.3	97.57	97.48	96.98(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	0	-15	-127	1.16	47%	-0.02	-55.1	1.83%	0	-1.2	37	INF
14	Apr_6_2015	102.07	101.61	99.74	97.88	97.73	97.69	97.04(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10	-10	-109	0.92	45%	0.01	-54.9	1.83%	0	-1.3	36	INF
15	Apr_2_2015	102.06	101.97	100.67	98.19	98.17	97.66	97.54(0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-20	-40	1	-84	0.5	43%	-0.01	-55.6	1.9%	0	-1.4	43	INF

16	Apr_1_2015	102.07	102.4	101.31	97.87	98.12	97.77	97.14(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-20	-30	-97	0.64	43%	-0.02	-59.4	1.9%	0	-1.7	44	INF
17	Mar_31_2015	102.09	102.81	101.97	98.7	97.96	98.68	97.82(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	30	-35	-86	1.22	43%	-0.01	-57.5	1.91%	0	-1.7	41	INF
18	Mar_30_2015	102.1	103.19	102.56	100.51	99.34	98.47	99.84(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-100	-15	-47	0.99	44%	0.04	-46.8	1.9%	0	-1.2	46	INF
19	Mar_27_2015	102.06	103.52	103.03	101.99	101.37	97.24	98.62(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-117	-300	-132	-71	1.26	44%	0	-26.8	1.88%	0	-1.8	40	INF
20	Mar_26_2015	102.06	103.83	103.45	103.59	103.69	100.21	95.93(-5.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-166	-230	-197	-74	4.33	41%	-0.01	-6.4	1.86%	0	-3.3	35	INF

21	Mar_25_2015	102.07	104.3	104.12	105.15	106.07	105.5	101.3(-5.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-39	-10	-52	1	1.73	45%	0.05	25.9	1.73%	0	-1.8	39	INF
22	Mar_24_2015	102.02	104.52	104.35	105.58	106	107.16	106.88(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	90	46	44	0.63	50%	0.11	48.7	1.61%	0	1.5	54	INF
23	Mar_23_2015	101.91	104.51	103.93	104.88	104.87	106.64	107.2(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	69	120	79	37	0.56	50%	0.11	56.7	1.62%	0	1.6	55	INF
24	Mar_20_2015	101.8	104.24	103.61	104.31	103.95	104.85	106.66(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	61	50	75	18	0.75	53%	0.13	50	1.63%	0	1.5	48	INF
25	Mar_19_2015	101.67	103.98	103.29	103.41	103.36	103.11	103.73(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-20	15	-26	0.64	50%		36.9	1.61%	0	-0.2	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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