Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ASML: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Apr. 9, 2015

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $97.5361 (0.77%) ($96.3258 - $97.6522) on Thu. Apr. 9, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.81% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $97.5361(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(70%)    XLK(69%)    SMH(68%)    VT(68%)    SPY(66%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.905% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.905% (StdDev 1.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $90.26(-7.46%)
Resistance Level   $100.62
5 Day Moving Average   $97.18(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.51(0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $100.62(-3.06%)
To recent high   -9%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $40.808b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 3.64% (three month std-dev: 1.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.6%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.19%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.63%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.09%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150509

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_9_2015	101.96	100.62	97.51	97.18	97.18	96.89	97.54(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-20	-8	-128	1.61	45%	-0.05	-47.5	1.81%	0	-0.8	38	INF
2	Apr_8_2015	102.01	100.91	97.85	97.1	97.39	97.09	96.79(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10	-16	-140	0.63	47%	-0.04	-51.4	1.81%	0	-1.1	37	INF
3	Apr_7_2015	102.05	101.23	98.78	97.3	97.57	97.48	96.98(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	0	-15	-127	1.16	47%	-0.02	-55.1	1.83%	0	-1.2	37	INF
4	Apr_6_2015	102.07	101.61	99.74	97.88	97.73	97.69	97.04(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10	-10	-109	0.92	45%	0.01	-54.9	1.83%	0	-1.3	36	INF
5	Apr_2_2015	102.06	101.97	100.67	98.19	98.17	97.66	97.54(0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-20	-40	1	-84	0.5	43%	-0.01	-55.6	1.9%	0	-1.4	43	INF

6	Apr_1_2015	102.07	102.4	101.31	97.87	98.12	97.77	97.14(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-20	-30	-97	0.64	43%	-0.02	-59.4	1.9%	0	-1.7	44	INF
7	Mar_31_2015	102.09	102.81	101.97	98.7	97.96	98.68	97.82(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-48	30	-35	-86	1.22	43%	-0.01	-57.5	1.91%	0	-1.7	41	INF
8	Mar_30_2015	102.1	103.19	102.56	100.51	99.34	98.47	99.84(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-100	-15	-47	0.99	44%	0.04	-46.8	1.9%	0	-1.2	46	INF
9	Mar_27_2015	102.06	103.52	103.03	101.99	101.37	97.24	98.62(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-117	-300	-132	-71	1.26	44%	0	-26.8	1.88%	0	-1.8	40	INF
10	Mar_26_2015	102.06	103.83	103.45	103.59	103.69	100.21	95.93(-5.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-166	-230	-197	-74	4.33	41%	-0.01	-6.4	1.86%	0	-3.3	35	INF

11	Mar_25_2015	102.07	104.3	104.12	105.15	106.07	105.5	101.3(-5.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-39	-10	-52	1	1.73	45%	0.05	25.9	1.73%	0	-1.8	39	INF
12	Mar_24_2015	102.02	104.52	104.35	105.58	106	107.16	106.88(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	90	46	44	0.63	50%	0.11	48.7	1.61%	0	1.5	54	INF
13	Mar_23_2015	101.91	104.51	103.93	104.88	104.87	106.64	107.2(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	69	120	79	37	0.56	50%	0.11	56.7	1.62%	0	1.6	55	INF
14	Mar_20_2015	101.8	104.24	103.61	104.31	103.95	104.85	106.66(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	61	50	75	18	0.75	53%	0.13	50	1.63%	0	1.5	48	INF
15	Mar_19_2015	101.67	103.98	103.29	103.41	103.36	103.11	103.73(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-20	15	-26	0.64	50%	0.11	36.9	1.61%	0	-0.2	49	INF

16	Mar_18_2015	101.56	103.87	103.48	102.95	102.97	103.05	103.42(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	10	-15	-43	1.7	52%	0.09	29.7	1.61%	0	-0.3	47	INF
17	Mar_17_2015	101.47	103.74	103.63	102.93	102.84	103.62	103.37(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	50	23	-30	0.7	52%	0.11	30.2	1.64%	0	-0.2	43	INF
18	Mar_16_2015	101.36	103.58	103.78	102.81	102.88	102.9	104.38(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	0	28	-38	0.42	52%	0.13	37.6	1.64%	0	0.4	41	INF
19	Mar_13_2015	101.23	103.43	103.96	102.83	102.71	102.06	102.13(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-50	-40	-51	1.43	48%	0.11	45.5	1.64%	0	-0.6	54	INF
20	Mar_12_2015	101.12	103.38	104.19	103.19	103.29	102.87	101.47(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-30	-34	-34	1.53	48%	0.13	51.4	1.65%	0	-0.9	53	INF

21	Mar_11_2015	100.99	103.34	104.52	104.07	103.8	103.35	103.29(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-40	-25	-3	0.55	49%	0.13	64.4	1.64%	0	-0	58	INF
22	Mar_10_2015	100.86	103.14	104.75	104.42	104.36	103.71	102.77(-1.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-17	-50	-29	18	0.63	49%	0.14	60.6	1.64%	0	-0.2	60	INF
23	Mar_9_2015	100.72	102.82	105.2	104.87	104.76	104.24	104.5(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-14	-40	-35	50	0.51	51%	0.16	48.8	1.63%	0	0.6	66	INF
24	Mar_6_2015	100.56	102.49	104.97	105.26	105.11	105.02	103.91(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10	-18	69	0.65	51%	0.16	45.7	1.62%	0	0.5	59	INF
25	Mar_5_2015	100.4	102.29	104.78	105.33	105.58	105.29	105.87(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10	13	88	0.4	55%		42	1.62%	0	1.1	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.