Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $98.7172 (-1.12%) ($98.0492 - $99.5596) on Thu. Jan. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $98.7172(-1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(70%)    XLK(69%)    SMH(68%)    VT(68%)    SPY(66%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $94.17(-4.61%)
Resistance Level   $102.21
5 Day Moving Average   $99.54(-0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.75(-1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.21(-3.42%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $41.302b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.96% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.01%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.39%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.64%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.69%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.1%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_15_2015	97.79	102.21	99.75	99.54	99.87	99.21	98.72(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-67	-40	-43	-137	1.28	64%	0.06	-25.7	1.36%	0	-1.2	26	INF
2	Jan_14_2015	97.73	102.37	100.29	99.82	100	100.2	99.83(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	20	-6	-123	0.59	66%	0.08	-28.9	1.36%	0	-0.9	30	INF
3	Jan_13_2015	97.65	102.41	100.74	99.47	99.95	100.54	100.16(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	60	51	-112	0.81	66%	0.08	-39.9	1.39%	0	-0.8	30	INF
4	Jan_12_2015	97.57	102.55	101.27	98.94	99.2	99.79	100.16(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	50	25	-128	1.12	66%	0.1	-50	1.39%	0	-0.8	42	INF
5	Jan_9_2015	97.47	102.73	101.81	99.01	98.69	99.36	98.84(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	40	-1	-125	0.44	59%	0.08	-51.5	1.5%	0	-1.4	35	INF

6	Jan_8_2015	97.39	102.99	102.54	100.04	99.29	98.62	100.12(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-34	-70	-13	-96	0.48	59%	0.11	-45.7	1.52%	0	-1.1	46	INF
7	Jan_7_2015	97.28	103.22	103.1	100.89	100.41	98.02	98.07(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-115	-180	-117	-108	0.86	53%	0.08	-34.8	1.51%	0	-2	44	INF
8	Jan_6_2015	97.2	103.56	103.93	102.23	102.2	99.96	97.52(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-125	-150	-143	-70	1.08	53%	0.08	-18.8	1.56%	0	-2.7	48	INF
9	Jan_5_2015	97.12	104	104.61	103.91	103.84	102.8	100.49(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-69	-70	-89	-10	0.68	57%	0.12	11.2	1.51%	0	-2	47	INF
10	Jan_2_2015	97	104.19	105.08	104.97	104.92	104.44	103.98(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-14	-30	-32	42	0.4	62%	0.26	40	1.45%	0	-0.1	52	INF

11	Dec_31_2014	96.75	104.21	104.95	105.41	105.42	104.89	104.4(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-30	-27	51	0.39	62%	0.17	61.8	1.45%	0	0.1	53	INF
12	Dec_30_2014	96.59	104.12	104.7	105.66	105.7	105.41	104.75(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-7	-20	-25	47	0.39	62%	0.17	71.3	1.47%	0	0.4	51	INF
13	Dec_29_2014	96.43	103.99	104.27	105.91	105.85	105.95	105.9(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	19	0	8	51	0.2	62%	0.18	73.5	1.47%	0	1.1	54	INF
14	Dec_26_2014	96.26	103.81	103.94	105.42	105.68	105.99	105.82(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	30	26	37	0.2	62%	0.26	66.7	1.47%	0	1.2	48	INF
15	Dec_24_2014	96.01	103.55	103.7	105.19	104.97	105.75	106.15(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	50	34	35	0.07	62%	0.19	56.6	1.47%	0	1.5	56	INF

16	Dec_23_2014	95.83	103.24	103.41	104.43	104.42	105.37	105.66(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	61	60	71	30	0.8	62%	0.19	41.3	1.48%	0	1.4	53	INF
17	Dec_22_2014	95.65	102.97	103.26	103.59	103.41	104.19	106.04(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	49	50	60	15	0.77	62%	0.18	31	1.48%	0	1.7	60	INF
18	Dec_19_2014	95.48	102.77	103.06	102.4	102.44	103.47	103.44(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	27	70	39	-11	0.73	59%	0.13	23	1.47%	0	0.4	55	INF
19	Dec_18_2014	95.36	102.72	103.26	102.24	102.04	102.63	104.67(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	33	30	44	-1	0.55	59%	0.14	31.3	1.47%	0	1.2	58	INF
20	Dec_17_2014	95.23	102.59	103.16	102.03	102.03	101.42	102.33(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-40	-16	-18	0.5	56%	0.23	39.6	1.46%	0	-0.2	59	INF

21	Dec_16_2014	95.01	102.51	103.37	102.28	102.61	101.45	101.48(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-70	-64	-16	0.75	56%	0.21	46.9	1.46%	0	-0.6	59	INF
22	Dec_15_2014	94.81	102.42	103.49	102.88	103.35	102.64	100.06(-2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-47	-30	-64	6	0.63	56%	0.19	54.6	1.46%	0	-1.3	53	INF
23	Dec_12_2014	94.63	102.39	103.75	103.77	104.01	103.77	102.65(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-10	-26	42	0.49	61%	0.19	71.6	1.42%	0	0.1	52	INF
24	Dec_11_2014	94.45	102.21	103.74	104.4	104.35	104.06	103.62(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-20	-15	62	0.37	61%	0.21	75.9	1.42%	0	0.7	54	INF
25	Dec_10_2014	94.25	101.97	103.46	104.46	104.7	104.26	103.61(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-20	-16	58	0.64	61%		77.5	1.42%	0	0.8	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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