Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $99.9081 (-0.34%) ($99.7919 - $100.5955) on Tue. Nov. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $99.9081(-0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(70%)    XLK(69%)    SMH(68%)    VT(68%)    SPY(66%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.44(-1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.36(-0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.61(1.32%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $41.8b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.54% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.07%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.92%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.84%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.84%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2014	92.54	98.61	100.36	101.44	101.07	100.05	99.91(-0.34%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-28	-80	-54	50	0.77	55%	0.08	94.9	1.48%	0	0.5	63	INF
2	Nov_24_2014	92.47	98.37	100.3	101.57	101.74	101.18	100.25(-2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-30	-29	77	1.28	55%	0.08	96.4	1.48%	0	0.7	68	INF
3	Nov_21_2014	92.4	98.01	100.16	101.36	101.77	102.09	102.32(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	30	19	103	1.13	59%	0.11	93.4	1.46%	0	1.5	73	INF
4	Nov_20_2014	92.3	97.51	99.59	100.67	100.95	102.3	102.54(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	69	100	57	104	0.58	59%	0.13	88.3	1.47%	0	1.6	73	INF
5	Nov_19_2014	92.18	96.93	99.17	99.89	100.09	101.44	102.18(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	98	100	92	117	1.02	59%	0.12	82.3	1.48%	0	1.6	77	INF

6	Nov_18_2014	92.07	96.29	98.62	99.17	99.09	99.6	100.56(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	30	40	96	0.65	56%	0.11	78	1.47%	0	1.3	77	INF
7	Nov_17_2014	91.97	95.79	98.15	98.87	98.75	98.74	99.19(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-0	9	82	0.58	56%	0.11	75.7	1.47%	0	1	66	INF
8	Nov_14_2014	91.87	95.32	97.88	98.78	98.64	98.59	98.85(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10	2	93	0.28	56%	0.1	76.1	1.47%	0	1	71	INF
9	Nov_13_2014	91.78	94.87	97.64	98.33	98.55	98.76	98.68(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	20	13	106	0.57	56%	0.1	72.3	1.47%	0	1.1	72	INF
10	Nov_12_2014	91.69	94.34	97.23	98.31	98.01	98.7	98.59(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	40	21	125	0.58	56%	0.11	67.6	1.47%	0	1.2	74	INF

11	Nov_11_2014	91.59	93.86	96.74	97.97	97.83	98.34	99.05(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	77	30	53	149	0.83	56%	0.1	61.1	1.48%	0	1.5	79	INF
12	Nov_10_2014	91.5	93.38	96.31	97.32	97.34	97.33	98.72(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-0	18	140	0.72	56%	0.08	54	1.48%	0	1.5	72	INF
13	Nov_7_2014	91.43	92.82	95.72	96.86	96.79	97.32	96.6(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	40	0	140	0.52	53%	0.07	41.6	1.46%	0	1.1	71	INF
14	Nov_6_2014	91.37	92.35	95.28	96.84	96.73	97.36	98.58(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	90	40	60	179	0.53	57%	0.09	33.9	1.44%	0	1.9	78	INF
15	Nov_5_2014	91.29	91.96	94.52	96	96.27	96.26	96.91(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	63	10	30	163	0.42	54%	0.1	26	1.44%	0	1.6	79	INF

16	Nov_4_2014	91.2	91.74	93.78	95.31	95.61	96.09	95.81(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	40	5	142	0.55	54%	0.09	20.5	1.43%	0	1.4	72	INF
17	Nov_3_2014	91.12	91.51	93.26	95.12	95.17	96.28	96.38(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	87	80	60	166	0.41	54%	0.11	12.9	1.44%	0	1.8	69	INF
18	Oct_31_2014	91.02	91.39	92.57	94.4	94.73	95.13	96.51(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	94	40	71	162	0.69	54%	0.11	2.8	1.46%	0	2	74	INF
19	Oct_30_2014	90.92	91.24	91.86	93.5	93.71	94.06	94.38(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	30	13	131	0.52	70%	0.09	-11.7	1.44%	0	1.3	72	INF
20	Oct_29_2014	90.84	91.18	91.21	92.82	93.13	94.33	93.45(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	100	40	77	0.57	67%	0.08	-24	2.27%	0	0.9	54	INF

21	Oct_28_2014	90.77	91.17	90.75	91.98	92.33	93.35	94.89(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	90	56	59	0.94	67%	0.1	-37.8	2.26%	0	1.5	51	INF
22	Oct_27_2014	90.68	91.16	90.19	91.11	91.16	91.92	92.74(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	60	27	28	0.49	65%	0.07	-44.9	2.25%	0	0.6	51	INF
23	Oct_24_2014	90.62	91.31	89.67	90.48	90.59	91.31	92.04(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	60	35	1	0.82	61%	0.08	-46.7	2.27%	0	0.3	42	INF
24	Oct_23_2014	90.55	91.52	89.18	89.99	89.86	90.39	90.98(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	40	21	-32	0.63	61%	0.09	-50.8	2.26%	0	-0.2	41	INF
25	Oct_22_2014	90.47	91.76	89.17	89.36	89.62	89.86	89.23(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	4	30	22	-49	0.76	61%		-57.4	2.25%	0	-0.8	38	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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