Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $90.5844 (1.14%) ($88.8997 - $90.7974) on Tue. Oct. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $90.5844(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(70%)    XLK(69%)    SMH(68%)    VT(68%)    SPY(66%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $83.63(-7.68%)
Resistance Level   $92.14
5 Day Moving Average   $89.29(1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.53(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.14(-1.69%)
To recent high   -8.4%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $37.899b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 3.49% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.06%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.05%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.38%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2014	90.41	92.14	89.53	89.29	88.92	89.33	90.58(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	20	6	-59	0.68	63%	0.08	-58.7	2.24%	0	-0.5	41	INF
2	Oct_20_2014	90.34	92.37	89.62	89.13	88.48	89.38	89.57(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	50	21	-67	0.44	63%	0.08	-63.3	2.25%	0	-0.9	34	INF
3	Oct_17_2014	90.27	92.69	90.1	88.72	88.63	88.51	89.57(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-10	31	-75	1.01	59%	0.08	-66.8	2.25%	0	-0.9	32	INF
4	Oct_16_2014	90.2	93.09	90.54	88.25	88.18	87.58	87.85(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-58	-50	-38	-117	1.17	56%	0.06	-66.4	2.26%	0	-1.5	26	INF
5	Oct_15_2014	90.15	93.64	91.14	88.94	88.57	88.74	88.9(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	0	-22	-106	1.3	56%	0.08	-60.5	2.28%	0	-1.4	31	INF

6	Oct_14_2014	90.08	94.07	91.63	89.82	89.5	88.78	89.76(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-70	-5	-95	1.6	56%	0	-51.8	2.28%	0	-1.3	31	INF
7	Oct_13_2014	90.08	94.49	92.21	90.23	90.21	88.41	87.53(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-82	-140	-70	-116	1.44	53%	0.07	-45.4	2.26%	0	-2.3	30	INF
8	Oct_10_2014	90.02	94.97	93.13	91.69	91.37	90.22	87.2(-4.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-79	-100	-74	-95	1.52	51%	0.08	-34.7	2.26%	0	-3	28	INF
9	Oct_9_2014	89.95	95.45	94.13	93.12	92.92	92.02	91.33(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34	-70	-26	-58	1.08	57%	0.12	-24.6	2.2%	0	-2.2	31	INF
10	Oct_8_2014	89.84	95.67	94.62	93.63	93.61	92.52	93.27(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-80	-36	-63	1.29	55%	0.17	-18.3	2.19%	0	-1.4	31	INF

11	Oct_7_2014	89.69	95.75	94.99	93.73	93.98	93.83	91.84(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	-0	-34	-62	1.04	55%	0.16	-18.9	2.19%	0	-2.4	34	INF
12	Oct_6_2014	89.55	95.9	95.39	94.49	94.46	94.7	94.83(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	20	6	-42	0.53	60%	0.18	-16.2	2.15%	0	-0.8	38	INF
13	Oct_3_2014	89.39	95.89	95.5	94.83	94.71	94.14	94.35(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-50	-12	-46	0.54	62%	0.19	-5.4	2.17%	0	-1.1	43	INF
14	Oct_2_2014	89.22	95.91	95.82	95.34	95.14	94.21	93.85(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-41	-70	-39	-45	0.82	62%	0.18	9.6	2.18%	0	-1.5	46	INF
15	Oct_1_2014	89.06	95.98	96.32	95.78	95.85	95.29	93.77(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-28	-40	-29	-26	0.92	63%	0.17	27	2.18%	0	-1.6	47	INF

16	Sep_30_2014	88.91	96.06	96.69	96.42	96.22	96.07	95.68(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-20	-8	0	0.73	63%	0.19	51.9	2.17%	0	-0.3	57	INF
17	Sep_29_2014	88.74	96.13	96.92	96.38	96.24	96.4	96.53(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	10	4	15	0.25	63%	0.21	68.4	2.17%	0	0.3	61	INF
18	Sep_26_2014	88.55	95.97	96.94	96.26	96.1	96.36	96.88(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	10	5	19	0.21	63%	0.22	67.1	2.17%	0	0.6	61	INF
19	Sep_25_2014	88.36	95.78	96.85	96.41	96.11	96.07	96.03(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10	-6	21	1.43	63%	0.2	70.9	2.17%	0	0.2	57	INF
20	Sep_24_2014	88.18	95.62	96.81	96.98	96.56	95.84	97.01(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-5	-70	-16	28	0.73	63%	0.23	84.4	2.17%	0	0.8	60	INF

21	Sep_23_2014	87.98	95.4	96.57	97.02	97.19	96.16	95.46(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-23	-70	-37	20	1.02	60%	0.21	87.3	2.16%	0	0	54	INF
22	Sep_22_2014	87.8	95.24	96.47	97.53	97.64	97.28	95.9(-1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-12	-20	-25	26	1.04	60%	0.21	94.1	2.18%	0	0.3	45	INF
23	Sep_19_2014	87.62	94.99	96.33	97.69	97.79	98.23	97.62(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	30	13	48	0.76	62%	0.23	90.8	2.17%	0	1.2	67	INF
24	Sep_18_2014	87.42	94.67	96.03	97.32	97.48	98	98.88(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	40	30	55	0.89	64%	0.23	90.7	2.16%	0	1.9	72	INF
25	Sep_17_2014	87.22	94.2	95.61	96.62	96.85	97.35	97.25(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	40	23	47	1.42	64%		84.2	2.17%	0	1.3	70	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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