Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $98.8818 (1.68%) ($98.0492 - $99.1723) on Thu. Sep. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.16% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $98.8818(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(70%)    XLK(69%)    SMH(68%)    VT(68%)    SPY(66%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -1.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.08% (StdDev 2.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $97.32(1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.03(2.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.67(4.45%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   22.6%
Market Cap   $41.371b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.36% (three month std-dev: 2.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 33 Average positive next day return: 0.45%(52%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(48%) Sample size 33 Average positive next three day return: 1.05%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -0.77%(42%) Sample size 33 Average positive next weekly return: 1.69%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.52%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2014	87.42	94.67	96.03	97.32	97.48	98	98.88(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	40	30	55	0.89	64%	0.23	90.7	2.16%	0	1.9	72	INF
2	Sep_17_2014	87.22	94.2	95.61	96.62	96.85	97.35	97.25(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	40	23	47	1.42	64%	0.21	84.2	2.17%	0	1.3	70	INF
3	Sep_16_2014	87.04	93.85	95.36	96.05	96.23	96.95	98.01(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	60	32	48	1.63	65%	0.22	80.3	2.17%	0	1.8	74	INF
4	Sep_15_2014	86.85	93.44	95.22	95.27	95.46	96.35	96.67(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	70	33	51	1.01	65%	0.21	74.3	2.17%	0	1.5	73	INF
5	Sep_12_2014	86.67	93.06	94.86	94.79	94.84	95.51	95.77(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	50	30	50	1.44	65%	0.17	68	2.16%	0	1.2	75	INF

6	Sep_11_2014	86.52	92.69	94.58	94.56	94.43	94.56	95.39(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	10	11	44	1.37	65%	0.2	61.2	2.17%	0	1.1	70	INF
7	Sep_10_2014	86.35	92.34	94.32	94.46	94.35	94.18	94.4(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-20	-6	45	0.9	65%	0.19	57.5	2.17%	0	0.8	72	INF
8	Sep_9_2014	86.19	92.05	94.14	94.56	94.53	94.31	94.12(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-20	-16	50	0.45	65%	0.19	58.5	2.17%	0	0.8	68	INF
9	Sep_8_2014	86.03	91.83	93.94	95.16	94.9	94.53	94.27(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-40	-6	72	0.81	65%	0.1	68.8	2.16%	0	1	69	INF
10	Sep_5_2014	85.94	91.54	93.6	94.92	95.12	94.76	94.6(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-20	-2	76	0.56	66%	0.2	65	2.17%	0	1.2	73	INF

11	Sep_4_2014	85.77	91.24	93.26	94.57	94.66	95.27	94.91(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	50	7	83	2.12	66%	0.19	58.6	2.17%	0	1.5	77	INF
12	Sep_3_2014	85.61	90.95	92.73	94.12	94.09	95.48	94.91(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	60	100	48	97	1.54	66%	0.16	51.4	2.17%	0	1.7	75	INF
13	Sep_2_2014	85.47	90.59	92.25	93.64	93.29	94.06	97.09(4.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	64	50	52	98	3.08	69%	0.19	63.6	2.15%	0	2.9	86	INF
14	Aug_29_2014	85.31	90.12	91.49	92.6	92.6	92.69	93.06(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	10	13	69	0.79	66%	0.08	85.9	2.08%	0	1.8	67	INF
15	Aug_28_2014	85.24	89.92	91.08	92.09	92.36	92.53	92.89(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	20	12	62	0.77	66%	0.05	105.8	2.08%	0	1.9	71	INF

16	Aug_27_2014	85.2	89.81	90.62	91.73	91.82	92.52	92.66(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	60	21	59	0.32	68%	0.08	127.3	2.08%	0	1.9	68	INF
17	Aug_26_2014	85.13	89.75	90.19	91.11	91.39	92.19	92.49(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	70	41	54	0.37	68%	0.07	88.9	2.09%	0	1.2	65	INF
18	Aug_25_2014	85.07	89.19	89.77	90.64	90.65	91.13	91.9(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	40	23	40	0.45	68%	0.06	66	2.1%	0	1	68	INF
19	Aug_22_2014	85.02	88.71	89.52	90.24	90.25	90.59	90.52(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	30	16	35	1.14	68%	0.02	52.8	2.1%	0	0.6	62	INF
20	Aug_21_2014	85	88.32	89.32	89.91	90.04	90.18	91.11(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	20	20	29	0.44	69%	0.01	47.4	2.1%	0	0.9	57	INF

21	Aug_20_2014	84.99	87.96	89.07	89.33	89.55	89.91	89.52(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	40	8	7	0.47	69%	0	43.1	2.1%	0	0.5	40	INF
22	Aug_19_2014	84.99	87.71	89.03	89.1	89.21	89.9	90.14(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	60	27	3	0.53	69%	0.01	38.9	2.1%	0	0.8	38	INF
23	Aug_18_2014	84.98	87.42	88.8	88.77	88.72	89.19	89.91(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	40	20	15	0.67	69%	0.01	31.4	2.1%	0	0.8	74	INF
24	Aug_15_2014	84.97	87.16	88.62	88.72	88.47	88.53	88.88(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-0	5	27	0.84	69%	0.01	26.1	2.1%	0	0.5	69	INF
25	Aug_14_2014	84.96	86.88	88.66	88.64	88.64	88.26	88.19(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-30	-4	43	0.68	69%		17.8	2.1%	0	0.4	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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