Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 25, 2014

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $82.2676 (-2.01%) ($81.8899 - $83.1390) on Fri. Jul. 25, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   11
Latest Price   $82.2676(-2.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(69%)    XLK(68%)    SMH(67%)    VT(67%)    SPY(65%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $77.11(-6.27%)
Resistance Level   $87.6
5 Day Moving Average   $83.91(-1.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.65(-2.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.6(-6.09%)
To recent high   -11.6%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $34.42b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 3.93% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 2.55%(31%) Average negative next day return: -2.2%(69%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 2.21%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -2.58%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 2.65%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.01%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2014	84.77	87.6	84.65	83.91	83.9	83.18	82.27(-2.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-102	-60	-60	-227	1.08	57%	-0.04	-46.3	1.11%	0	-1.5	11	INF
2	Jul_24_2014	84.8	87.98	85.26	84.08	84.42	84.13	83.95(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-68	-10	-15	-228	0.77	64%	-0.01	-50.4	1.11%	0	-1.3	15	INF
3	Jul_23_2014	84.81	88.29	85.83	83.98	84.22	84.62	84.25(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-61	40	-5	-228	0.91	64%	-0.01	-54.4	1.15%	0	-1.3	27	INF
4	Jul_22_2014	84.82	88.56	86.44	84.25	84.05	84.71	84.41(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-37	50	23	-217	0.93	64%	0	-54.1	1.15%	0	-1.4	26	INF
5	Jul_21_2014	84.82	88.86	87.13	84.92	84.13	83.82	84.68(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-64	-50	-16	-209	1.54	64%	0	-47.8	1.15%	0	-1.5	34	INF

6	Jul_18_2014	84.82	89.22	87.95	85.56	84.95	83.39	83.11(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-130	-150	-103	-211	1.52	61%	-0.02	-35	1.13%	0	-2.3	32	INF
7	Jul_17_2014	84.84	89.62	88.92	86.64	86.25	84.44	83.47(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-155	-160	-147	-177	1.57	61%	-0.02	-20.8	1.14%	0	-2.7	34	INF
8	Jul_16_2014	84.86	90	89.72	87.93	87.41	86.5	85.58(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-125	-90	-124	-127	2.13	60%	0.01	2.1	1.09%	0	-2.6	37	INF
9	Jul_15_2014	84.85	90.17	90.36	88.92	88.59	88.05	87.75(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-50	-44	-48	1.58	61%	0.05	28.6	1.14%	0	-1.7	46	INF
10	Jul_14_2014	84.81	90.2	90.65	89.69	89.24	88.31	87.87(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-67	-90	-78	-35	0.99	61%	0.04	48.4	1.16%	0	-1.6	44	INF

11	Jul_11_2014	84.78	90.16	90.85	90.73	90.12	89.12	88.51(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-72	-100	-89	-19	1.32	56%	0.06	64.6	1.16%	0	-1	39	INF
12	Jul_10_2014	84.73	90.09	90.97	91.56	91.24	90.16	89.93(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-42	-90	-60	13	0.84	54%	0.07	77.2	1.2%	0	-0.1	49	INF
13	Jul_9_2014	84.67	89.96	90.99	91.76	91.89	91.12	90.53(-1.2%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-35	-50	-53	19	0.99	58%	0.09	84.5	1.25%	0	0.3	52	INF
14	Jul_8_2014	84.59	89.76	90.89	91.99	91.93	92.32	91.63(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	30	-7	47	0.52	58%	0.09	88.4	1.3%	0	0.9	63	INF
15	Jul_7_2014	84.51	89.5	90.72	91.72	91.86	92.66	93.06(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	77	70	74	84	0.97	60%	0.13	90.1	1.28%	0	1.7	71	INF

16	Jul_3_2014	84.4	89.16	90.55	90.99	91.12	91.54	92.65(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	40	50	79	0.23	57%	0.13	84.6	1.29%	0	1.6	73	INF
17	Jul_2_2014	84.29	88.77	90.31	90.32	90.26	91.07	90.95(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	60	28	71	0.45	54%	0.11	79.2	1.28%	0	1	70	INF
18	Jul_1_2014	84.2	88.43	90.24	90.11	89.85	90.7	91.66(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	75	60	67	98	0.41	54%	0.12	75.2	1.28%	0	1.4	70	INF
19	Jun_30_2014	84.1	88.02	89.91	89.64	89.41	89.45	90.3(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-0	20	77	0.31	55%	0.1	69.4	1.27%	0	0.9	69	INF
20	Jun_27_2014	84.02	87.67	89.67	89.57	89.35	89	89.41(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-30	-27	66	0.46	55%	0.1	71	1.27%	0	0.7	67	INF

21	Jun_26_2014	83.94	87.37	89.42	90.05	89.56	89.36	89.28(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-30	-32	82	0.58	55%	0.08	77.5	1.27%	0	0.7	67	INF
22	Jun_25_2014	83.87	87.05	89.17	90.29	90.18	89.69	89.89(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-40	-10	109	0.35	55%	0.11	80.2	1.27%	0	1	75	INF
23	Jun_24_2014	83.78	86.67	88.89	90.38	90.4	89.76	89.3(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-50	-34	121	0.43	53%	0.08	87.7	1.27%	0	0.9	77	INF
24	Jun_23_2014	83.71	86.33	88.61	90.19	90.46	90.66	89.98(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	20	2	146	1.05	53%	0.12	93.1	1.28%	0	1.3	82	INF
25	Jun_20_2014	83.61	85.88	88.24	89.74	90.09	91.04	91.79(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	102	90	74	184	1.04	57%		91	1.25%	0	2	94	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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