Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: ASML Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ASML)
ASML latest price $83.4682 (-2.47%) ($83.0809 - $84.6203) on Thu. Jul. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $83.4682(-2.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ASML declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ASML declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ASML advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(69%)    XLK(68%)    SMH(67%)    VT(67%)    SPY(65%)
Factors Impacting ASML price   ASML will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $89.62
5 Day Moving Average   $86.64(-3.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.92(-6.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.62(-6.86%)
To recent high   -10.3%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $34.922b

ASML Holding NV engages in the development, production, marketing, sale and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment, consisting of lithography related systems. It mainly caters the makers of memory chips and logic chips. The company was founded on April 1, 1984 and is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands.

$. ASML price fluctuates within 2.5% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.44%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.36%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.87%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.7%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.91%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2014	84.84	89.62	88.92	86.64	86.25	84.44	83.47(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-155	-160	-147	-177	1.57	61%	-0.02	-20.8	1.14%	0	-2.7	34	0
2	Jul_16_2014	84.86	90	89.72	87.93	87.41	86.5	85.58(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-125	-90	-124	-127	2.13	60%	0.01	2.1	1.09%	0	-2.6	37	0
3	Jul_15_2014	84.85	90.17	90.36	88.92	88.59	88.05	87.75(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-50	-44	-48	1.58	61%	0.05	28.6	1.14%	0	-1.7	46	0
4	Jul_14_2014	84.81	90.2	90.65	89.69	89.24	88.31	87.87(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-67	-90	-78	-35	0.99	61%	0.04	48.4	1.16%	0	-1.6	44	0
5	Jul_11_2014	84.78	90.16	90.85	90.73	90.12	89.12	88.51(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-72	-100	-89	-19	1.32	56%	0.06	64.6	1.16%	0	-1	39	0

6	Jul_10_2014	84.73	90.09	90.97	91.56	91.24	90.16	89.93(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-42	-90	-60	13	0.84	54%	0.07	77.2	1.2%	0	-0.1	49	0
7	Jul_9_2014	84.67	89.96	90.99	91.76	91.89	91.12	90.53(-1.2%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-35	-50	-53	19	0.99	58%	0.09	84.5	1.25%	0	0.3	52	0
8	Jul_8_2014	84.59	89.76	90.89	91.99	91.93	92.32	91.63(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	30	-7	47	0.52	58%	0.09	88.4	1.3%	0	0.9	63	0
9	Jul_7_2014	84.51	89.5	90.72	91.72	91.86	92.66	93.06(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	77	70	74	84	0.97	60%	0.13	90.1	1.28%	0	1.7	71	0
10	Jul_3_2014	84.4	89.16	90.55	90.99	91.12	91.54	92.65(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	57	40	50	79	0.23	57%	0.13	84.6	1.29%	0	1.6	73	0

11	Jul_2_2014	84.29	88.77	90.31	90.32	90.26	91.07	90.95(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	60	28	71	0.45	54%	0.11	79.2	1.28%	0	1	70	0
12	Jul_1_2014	84.2	88.43	90.24	90.11	89.85	90.7	91.66(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	75	60	67	98	0.41	54%	0.12	75.2	1.28%	0	1.4	70	0
13	Jun_30_2014	84.1	88.02	89.91	89.64	89.41	89.45	90.3(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-0	20	77	0.31	55%	0.1	69.4	1.27%	0	0.9	69	0
14	Jun_27_2014	84.02	87.67	89.67	89.57	89.35	89	89.41(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-30	-27	66	0.46	55%	0.1	71	1.27%	0	0.7	67	0
15	Jun_26_2014	83.94	87.37	89.42	90.05	89.56	89.36	89.28(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-30	-32	82	0.58	55%	0.08	77.5	1.27%	0	0.7	67	0

16	Jun_25_2014	83.87	87.05	89.17	90.29	90.18	89.69	89.89(0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-40	-10	109	0.35	55%	0.11	80.2	1.27%	0	1	75	0
17	Jun_24_2014	83.78	86.67	88.89	90.38	90.4	89.76	89.3(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-50	-34	121	0.43	53%	0.08	87.7	1.27%	0	0.9	77	0
18	Jun_23_2014	83.71	86.33	88.61	90.19	90.46	90.66	89.98(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	20	2	146	1.05	53%	0.12	93.1	1.28%	0	1.3	82	0
19	Jun_20_2014	83.61	85.88	88.24	89.74	90.09	91.04	91.79(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	102	90	74	184	1.04	57%	0.14	91	1.25%	0	2	94	0
20	Jun_19_2014	83.49	85.32	87.66	88.69	89.08	90.26	90.51(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	105	110	82	173	0.92	56%	0.12	90.5	1.26%	0	1.9	93	0

21	Jun_18_2014	83.39	84.8	87.09	87.88	88.13	89.14	90.31(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	101	90	81	162	1.11	57%	0.12	89.6	1.26%	0	2	94	0
22	Jun_17_2014	83.29	84.21	86.43	87.23	87.31	87.89	88.36(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	71	50	47	143	0.74	56%	0.1	83.7	1.24%	0	1.5	93	0
23	Jun_16_2014	83.21	83.73	85.94	86.8	86.98	87.13	87.72(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	20	28	128	1.25	56%	0.08	76.5	1.25%	0	1.5	87	0
24	Jun_13_2014	83.14	83.27	85.49	86.52	86.68	86.74	86.54(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	32	10	1	124	1.06	54%	0.07	74.9	1.24%	0	1.2	89	0
25	Jun_12_2014	83.08	82.85	85.16	86.46	86.52	86.84	86.49(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	51	30	19	145	1.4	54%		72.3	1.25%	0	1.3	89	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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