Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 3, 2017

Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Thu. Mar. 10, 2022)

(Arena Pharmaceuticals)
ARNA latest price $28.5600 (2.55%) ($27.8300 - $28.7700) on Fri. Nov. 3, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $28.5600(2.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARNA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARNA advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(44%)    IBB(41%)    ARKG(38%)    IWO(36%)    ARKK(35%)
Factors Impacting ARNA price   ARNA will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.96(2.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.62(3.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.09(5.43%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   41%
Market Cap   $1.644b

Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel drugs that target G protien-coupled receptors. It offers drugs for treatment in the field of cardiovascular, central nervous system, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases. The company was founded by Dominic P. Behan and Jack Lief on April 14, 1997 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. ARNA price fluctuates within 3.06% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.48%(54%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.96%(72%) Average negative next three day return: -1.36%(28%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.69%(68%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.9%(32%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2017	23.09	27.09	27.62	27.96	27.94	27.92	28.56(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	23	-10	11	58	0.59	58%	0.7	64.7	2.2%	0	1.8	77	0
2	Nov_2_2017	22.93	26.96	27.48	27.81	27.88	27.7	27.85(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	17	-40	1	65	0.34	55%	0.61	66.2	2.2%	0	1.1	76	0
3	Nov_1_2017	22.79	26.86	27.42	27.62	27.84	27.96	27.38(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	50	3	67	0.42	55%	0.62	61.6	2.19%	0	0.7	62	0
4	Oct_31_2017	22.65	26.78	27.44	27.54	27.63	28.07	28.03(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	120	17	80	0.39	59%	0.67	62.5	2.17%	0	1.6	64	0
5	Oct_30_2017	22.5	26.67	27.32	27.39	27.38	27.71	27.98(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	80	20	81	0.51	59%	0.63	68.8	2.18%	0	1.7	66	0

6	Oct_27_2017	22.36	26.56	27.09	27.22	27.21	27.2	27.83(3.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-0	8	60	0.38	59%	0.63	67.9	2.21%	0	1.8	62	0
7	Oct_26_2017	22.22	26.44	26.85	27.11	27.15	27.05	26.9(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-20	-8	43	0.32	54%	0.59	70.8	2.24%	0	0.7	60	0
8	Oct_25_2017	22.09	26.38	26.78	27.2	27.23	27.22	26.96(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	0	-6	53	0.32	54%	0.64	74	2.24%	0	0.8	62	0
9	Oct_24_2017	21.95	26.29	26.73	27.32	27.31	27.26	27.26(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10	3	71	0.46	54%	0.6	73.7	2.23%	0	1.2	65	0
10	Oct_23_2017	21.82	26.16	26.61	27.23	27.35	27.24	27.17(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10	12	73	0.35	54%	0.65	74.2	2.24%	0	1.3	63	0

11	Oct_20_2017	21.68	26.08	26.53	26.91	27.09	27.35	27.28(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	90	16	61	0.44	54%	0.65	72.6	2.25%	0	1.6	64	0
12	Oct_19_2017	21.54	25.97	26.39	26.53	26.67	27.47	27.31(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	230	28	49	0.74	54%	0.65	66.7	2.26%	0	1.9	68	0
13	Oct_18_2017	21.4	25.86	26.24	26.3	26.25	26.82	27.56(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	35	150	33	42	0.77	54%	0.71	67.2	2.26%	0	2.5	70	0
14	Oct_17_2017	21.25	25.72	26.06	26.07	25.94	25.86	26.85(5.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-40	8	26	0.56	49%	0.24	72.9	2.31%	0	1.9	70	0
15	Oct_16_2017	21.2	25.6	25.95	25.93	25.99	25.67	25.56(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-80	-15	22	0.32	35%	0.62	69.1	2.24%	0	-0.1	67	0

16	Oct_13_2017	21.07	25.55	25.99	26.09	26.13	26.03	25.35(-3.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-0	-20	-12	35	0.37	35%	0.57	71.6	2.24%	0	-0.3	47	0
17	Oct_12_2017	20.95	25.51	26.02	26.22	26.27	26.3	26.17(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	10	6	55	0.35	42%	0.62	74.5	2.24%	0	1	62	0
18	Oct_11_2017	20.82	25.42	25.96	26.15	26.15	26.3	26.44(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	20	6	56	0.53	84%	0.63	72.1	2.26%	0	1.4	65	0
19	Oct_10_2017	20.69	25.3	25.83	26.03	26.03	26.23	26.12(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	50	3	21	0.52	84%	0.63	75.4	5.57%	0	1.2	64	0
20	Oct_9_2017	20.56	25.2	25.68	25.98	25.94	26.06	26.36(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	30	4	21	0.34	84%	0.64	85.6	5.6%	0	1.7	71	0

21	Oct_6_2017	20.43	25.1	25.61	25.89	25.81	26.06	25.99(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10	2	24	0.25	86%	0.74	95.1	5.65%	0	1.3	70	0
22	Oct_5_2017	20.28	25.01	25.52	25.79	25.78	25.82	25.84(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	10	1	24	0.31	86%	0.7	97.8	5.66%	0	1.2	68	0
23	Oct_4_2017	20.14	24.91	25.45	25.73	25.71	25.8	25.83(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	20	3	28	0.24	86%	0.75	94.4	5.66%	0	1.2	69	0
24	Oct_3_2017	19.99	24.77	25.36	25.59	25.57	25.74	25.89(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	40	6	29	0.24	86%	0.71	84.1	5.7%	0	1.3	71	0
25	Oct_2_2017	19.85	24.62	25.22	25.33	25.34	25.61	25.9(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	80	3	23	0.33	86%		79.3	5.71%	0	1.6	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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