Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Thu. Mar. 10, 2022)

(Arena Pharmaceuticals)
ARNA latest price $24.0700 (-0.66%) ($23.9500 - $24.7000) on Wed. Sep. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.2% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $24.0700(-0.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARNA advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARNA advances 4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(44%)    IBB(41%)    ARKG(38%)    ARKK(35%)    IWO(35%)
Factors Impacting ARNA price   ARNA will decline at least -3.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.1% (StdDev 6.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.13(-0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.55(2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.5(6.98%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   91%
Market Cap   $1.386b

Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel drugs that target G protien-coupled receptors. It offers drugs for treatment in the field of cardiovascular, central nervous system, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases. The company was founded by Dominic P. Behan and Jack Lief on April 14, 1997 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. ARNA price fluctuates within 5.96% (three month std-dev: 6.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.72%(58%) Average negative next day return: -1.48%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 2.31%(42%) Average negative next three day return: -4.16%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 4.01%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.12%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2017	18.24	22.5	23.55	24.13	24.25	24.28	24.07(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	20	4	47	0.39	80%	0.55	62.4	6.2%	0	1.2	86	INF
2	Sep_12_2017	18.14	22.36	23.4	23.92	24.05	24.31	24.23(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	90	7	50	0.5	80%	0.61	60.4	6.2%	0	1.4	82	INF
3	Sep_11_2017	18.03	22.21	23.23	23.61	23.72	24.22	24.3(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	20	160	8	54	0.59	80%	0.61	49.1	6.2%	0	1.7	86	INF
4	Sep_8_2017	17.92	22.04	23.02	23.37	23.37	23.79	24.22(1.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	21	130	9	56	0.66	80%	0.67	38.3	6.22%	0	1.9	81	INF
5	Sep_7_2017	17.8	21.85	22.8	23.16	23.12	23.22	23.81(3.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	20	30	7	58	0.41	80%	0.62	23.5	6.22%	0	1.8	79	INF

6	Sep_6_2017	17.69	21.69	22.5	22.9	22.99	22.94	23.02(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-0	1	51	0.66	80%	0.63	2.2	6.22%	0	1.4	75	INF
7	Sep_5_2017	17.58	21.6	22.31	22.8	22.87	23.02	22.71(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	60	1	49	0.69	80%	0.46	-14.2	6.22%	0	1.2	63	INF
8	Sep_1_2017	17.5	21.62	22.08	22.78	22.77	23.04	23.09(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	80	6	48	0.35	81%	0.52	-15.5	6.19%	0	1.4	65	INF
9	Aug_31_2017	17.41	21.62	21.83	22.6	22.62	22.71	23.18(3.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	30	5	42	0.44	81%	0.52	-22.8	6.22%	0	1.5	69	INF
10	Aug_30_2017	17.32	21.61	21.56	22.39	22.48	22.51	22.49(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	20	6	37	0.27	81%	0.46	-25.6	6.22%	0	0.8	68	INF

11	Aug_29_2017	17.24	21.67	21.38	22.04	22.23	22.53	22.54(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	120	7	29	0.29	81%	0.52	-32.2	6.22%	0	0.7	68	INF
12	Aug_28_2017	17.15	21.73	21.23	21.74	21.81	22.45	22.58(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	220	13	24	0.42	81%	0.53	-38.3	6.26%	0	0.7	60	INF
13	Aug_25_2017	17.06	21.78	21.1	21.27	21.38	21.92	22.21(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	190	13	4	0.59	81%	0.47	-47.5	6.29%	0	0.3	40	INF
14	Aug_24_2017	16.98	21.85	20.97	20.94	20.87	21.17	22.13(6.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	90	9	-15	0.73	81%	0.47	-53.4	6.3%	0	0.2	40	INF
15	Aug_23_2017	16.9	21.9	20.97	20.63	20.65	20.83	20.75(-1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	60	2	-37	0.33	79%	0.36	-56.8	6.25%	0	-0.8	26	INF

16	Aug_22_2017	16.84	22.08	20.81	20.61	20.62	20.58	21.02(3.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10	0	-52	0.55	79%	0.42	-52.5	6.25%	0	-0.7	25	INF
17	Aug_21_2017	16.77	22.24	20.82	20.66	20.66	20.46	20.26(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-21	-70	-6	-65	0.42	79%	0.36	-47.6	6.24%	0	-1.3	17	INF
18	Aug_18_2017	16.71	22.45	21.12	20.89	20.9	20.65	20.53(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-18	-80	-4	-59	0.36	82%	0.36	-44.8	6.5%	0	-1.3	22	INF
19	Aug_17_2017	16.65	22.63	21.37	20.99	21.06	20.85	20.58(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-17	-60	-3	-59	0.4	82%	0.36	-45.9	6.5%	0	-1.4	21	INF
20	Aug_16_2017	16.59	22.78	21.66	21	21.09	21.14	20.67(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	30	-1	-58	0.47	82%	0.36	-51.7	6.52%	0	-1.5	31	INF

21	Aug_15_2017	16.53	22.91	22	21	21.01	21.27	21.27(-0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	90	2	-57	0.36	82%	0.43	-63.2	6.5%	0	-1.3	29	INF
22	Aug_14_2017	16.46	23.01	22.27	21.01	20.93	21.05	21.39(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	30	-4	-61	0.4	82%	0.43	-76.1	6.5%	0	-1.3	29	INF
23	Aug_11_2017	16.39	23.15	22.5	21.4	21.07	20.75	21.03(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-150	-10	-58	0.6	82%	0.37	-51.2	6.5%	0	-1.8	26	INF
24	Aug_10_2017	16.33	23.32	22.81	21.85	21.69	20.82	20.65(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-300	-16	-52	0.69	77%	0.43	-25.8	6.51%	0	-2.4	25	INF
25	Aug_9_2017	16.26	23.52	23.1	22.44	22.39	21.39	20.73(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-27	-320	-21	-43	0.68	78%		15.9	6.59%	0	-2.7	32	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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