Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 24, 2017

Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Thu. Mar. 10, 2022)

(Arena Pharmaceuticals)
ARNA latest price $22.1300 (6.65%) ($20.7500 - $22.2200) on Thu. Aug. 24, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.3% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $22.1300(6.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARNA advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARNA declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(44%)    IBB(41%)    ARKG(38%)    IWO(36%)    ARKK(35%)
Factors Impacting ARNA price   ARNA will decline at least -3.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.15% (StdDev 6.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $8.9(-59.78%)
5 Day Moving Average   $20.94(5.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.97(5.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.85(1.28%)
To recent high   -14.9%
To recent low   75.6%
Market Cap   $1.274b

Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel drugs that target G protien-coupled receptors. It offers drugs for treatment in the field of cardiovascular, central nervous system, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases. The company was founded by Dominic P. Behan and Jack Lief on April 14, 1997 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. ARNA price fluctuates within 6.41% (three month std-dev: 6.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(50%) Average negative next day return: -6.88%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.51%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -7.31%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.27%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.6%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2017	16.98	21.85	20.97	20.94	20.87	21.17	22.13(6.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	90	9	-15	0.73	81%	0.47	-53.4	6.3%	0	0.2	40	INF
2	Aug_23_2017	16.9	21.9	20.97	20.63	20.65	20.83	20.75(-1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	60	2	-37	0.33	79%	0.36	-56.8	6.25%	0	-0.8	26	INF
3	Aug_22_2017	16.84	22.08	20.81	20.61	20.62	20.58	21.02(3.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10	0	-52	0.55	79%	0.42	-52.5	6.25%	0	-0.7	25	INF
4	Aug_21_2017	16.77	22.24	20.82	20.66	20.66	20.46	20.26(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-21	-70	-6	-65	0.42	79%	0.36	-47.6	6.24%	0	-1.3	17	INF
5	Aug_18_2017	16.71	22.45	21.12	20.89	20.9	20.65	20.53(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-18	-80	-4	-59	0.36	82%	0.36	-44.8	6.5%	0	-1.3	22	INF

6	Aug_17_2017	16.65	22.63	21.37	20.99	21.06	20.85	20.58(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-17	-60	-3	-59	0.4	82%	0.36	-45.9	6.5%	0	-1.4	21	INF
7	Aug_16_2017	16.59	22.78	21.66	21	21.09	21.14	20.67(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	30	-1	-58	0.47	82%	0.36	-51.7	6.52%	0	-1.5	31	INF
8	Aug_15_2017	16.53	22.91	22	21	21.01	21.27	21.27(-0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	90	2	-57	0.36	82%	0.43	-63.2	6.5%	0	-1.3	29	INF
9	Aug_14_2017	16.46	23.01	22.27	21.01	20.93	21.05	21.39(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	30	-4	-61	0.4	82%	0.43	-76.1	6.5%	0	-1.3	29	INF
10	Aug_11_2017	16.39	23.15	22.5	21.4	21.07	20.75	21.03(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-150	-10	-58	0.6	82%	0.37	-51.2	6.5%	0	-1.8	26	INF

11	Aug_10_2017	16.33	23.32	22.81	21.85	21.69	20.82	20.65(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-300	-16	-52	0.69	77%	0.43	-25.8	6.51%	0	-2.4	25	INF
12	Aug_9_2017	16.26	23.52	23.1	22.44	22.39	21.39	20.73(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-27	-320	-21	-43	0.68	78%	0.37	15.9	6.59%	0	-2.7	32	INF
13	Aug_8_2017	16.2	23.76	23.48	23.12	23.12	22.57	21.25(-9.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-18	-170	-16	-22	1.63	78%	0.43	79.1	6.61%	0	-2.7	41	INF
14	Aug_7_2017	16.13	24	23.81	23.68	23.71	23.4	23.36(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-90	-4	-1	0.52	83%	0.5	95.2	6.49%	0	-0.5	57	INF
15	Aug_4_2017	16.05	23.78	23.91	23.76	23.83	23.67	23.26(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-40	-5	1	0.84	80%	0.44	85.2	6.5%	0	-0.3	44	INF

16	Aug_3_2017	15.98	23.61	23.99	23.92	23.94	24.02	23.59(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	30	1	6	0.5	80%	0.5	79.6	6.55%	0	-0	44	INF
17	Aug_2_2017	15.9	23.36	24	23.87	23.87	23.99	24.15(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1	40	1	2	0.96	80%	0.63	72.1	6.55%	0	0.3	46	INF
18	Aug_1_2017	15.8	23.05	23.9	23.91	23.79	23.86	24.06(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	10	-1	-6	0.64	80%	0.64	77	6.56%	0	0.4	38	INF
19	Jul_31_2017	15.7	22.75	23.8	23.97	23.93	23.76	23.76(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-50	-2	-15	0.39	80%	0.58	75.9	6.61%	0	0.4	32	INF
20	Jul_28_2017	15.61	22.43	23.82	24.08	24.05	23.73	24.03(3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-100	-3	6	0.56	80%	0.64	75.2	6.61%	0	0.5	77	INF

21	Jul_27_2017	15.51	22.07	23.84	24.09	24.05	24.09	23.33(-4.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-20	-3	24	1.17	80%	0.58	71.6	6.62%	0	0.4	71	INF
22	Jul_26_2017	15.42	21.75	23.96	24.14	24.19	24.37	24.37(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	17	60	5	53	0.89	80%	0.65	68.9	6.59%	0	0.8	77	INF
23	Jul_25_2017	15.32	21.31	24.04	23.86	23.9	24.29	24.35(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	120	7	79	0.88	80%	0.59	62.6	6.59%	0	0.8	78	INF
24	Jul_24_2017	15.23	20.86	24.18	23.59	23.6	24.01	24.34(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	120	6	108	1.01	81%	0.59	60	6.59%	0	0.9	78	INF
25	Jul_21_2017	15.14	20.4	23.65	23.54	23.36	23.51	24.05(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	20	1	116	1.37	81%		61.4	6.61%	0	1	79	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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