Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 6, 2017

Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Thu. Mar. 10, 2022)

(Arena Pharmaceuticals)
ARNA latest price $17.9900 (2.68%) ($17.2100 - $18.6400) on Thu. Jul. 6, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.4% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $17.9900(2.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARNA advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARNA advances 9.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(42%)    IBB(39%)    ARKG(37%)    ARKK(34%)    IWO(34%)
Factors Impacting ARNA price   ARNA will decline at least -2.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.2% (StdDev 4.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.28(4.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.49(9.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.34(17.28%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   56.4%
Market Cap   $1.036b

Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel drugs that target G protien-coupled receptors. It offers drugs for treatment in the field of cardiovascular, central nervous system, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases. The company was founded by Dominic P. Behan and Jack Lief on April 14, 1997 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. ARNA price fluctuates within 10.5% (three month std-dev: 4.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 28 Average positive next day return: 2.45%(54%) Average negative next day return: -1.71%(46%) Sample size 28 Average positive next three day return: 3.24%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -4.69%(46%) Sample size 28 Average positive next weekly return: 4.84%(68%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.75%(32%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170806

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_6_2017	14.2	15.34	16.49	17.28	17.3	17.65	17.99(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	150	13	135	1.04	63%	0.14	60.8	4.4%	0	1.6	82	INF
2	Jul_5_2017	14.18	15.12	16.33	16.98	17.01	17.36	17.52(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	150	20	154	0.84	63%	0.21	61.9	4.39%	0	1.6	72	INF
3	Jul_3_2017	14.15	14.93	16.14	16.53	16.63	16.95	17.48(3.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	150	20	154	0.29	63%	0.21	59.8	4.37%	0	1.8	71	INF
4	Jun_30_2017	14.12	14.74	15.8	16.05	16.21	16.67	16.87(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	230	19	135	0.75	63%	0.14	57.3	4.33%	0	1.7	66	INF
5	Jun_29_2017	14.1	14.56	15.43	15.65	15.79	16.31	16.52(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	260	11	109	0.75	63%	0.07	52.1	4.33%	0	1.6	67	INF

6	Jun_28_2017	14.09	14.42	15.06	15.58	15.5	15.75	16.53(8.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	100	4	95	0.66	63%	0.14	53.2	4.34%	0	1.9	63	INF
7	Jun_27_2017	14.07	14.24	14.75	15.6	15.69	15.27	15.23(0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-170	-4	97	0.88	60%	-0.07	56.2	4.22%	0	0.9	61	INF
8	Jun_26_2017	14.08	14.13	14.59	15.7	15.83	15.26	15.08(1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-230	-3	104	0.57	60%	-0.07	59.4	4.23%	0	0.9	58	INF
9	Jun_23_2017	14.09	14.03	14.47	15.49	15.79	16.12	14.88(-8.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	34	200	12	100	0.97	60%	-0.14	53	4.22%	0	0.8	57	INF
10	Jun_22_2017	14.11	13.97	14.35	15.13	15.25	16.4	16.19(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	57	550	43	97	1.16	65%	0	54.1	4.1%	0	2.2	68	INF

11	Jun_21_2017	14.11	13.84	14.11	14.42	14.27	15.47	16.6(5.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	48	560	45	58	0.96	63%	0.14	51.4	4.08%	0	3.1	67	INF
12	Jun_20_2017	14.09	13.67	13.79	13.8	13.42	14.11	15.75(12.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.3	29	280	31	23	1.23	61%	0.07	59.2	4.07%	0	3.5	69	INF
13	Jun_19_2017	14.08	13.54	13.58	13.37	13.07	13.06	14.03(7.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	2	-70	5	-7	0.93	55%	-0.07	81	3.79%	0	1.3	58	INF
14	Jun_16_2017	14.09	13.5	13.56	13.34	13.15	12.73	13.1(3.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-270	-11	-7	0.54	51%	-0.07	101.9	3.69%	0	-1.1	52	INF
15	Jun_15_2017	14.1	13.44	13.61	13.44	13.4	13.08	12.6(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-16	-180	-20	-5	0.46	56%	-0.14	67.4	3.65%	0	-1.5	42	INF

16	Jun_14_2017	14.12	13.4	13.74	13.72	13.69	13.58	13.5(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-60	-4	19	0.11	60%	-0.07	65.7	3.91%	0	0.1	47	INF
17	Jun_13_2017	14.13	13.32	13.7	13.76	13.81	13.73	13.6(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-30	-3	16	0.09	60%	0	55.4	3.91%	0	0.4	51	INF
18	Jun_12_2017	14.13	13.25	13.66	13.76	13.83	13.8	13.9(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10	-2	19	0.14	60%	0	53.5	3.91%	0	0.8	57	INF
19	Jun_9_2017	14.13	13.16	13.66	13.82	13.86	13.9	13.6(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	30	2	19	0.15	60%	0	51.7	3.92%	0	0.5	55	INF
20	Jun_8_2017	14.13	13.07	13.59	13.8	13.81	13.86	14(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	12	30	2	40	0.19	60%	0	45.3	3.9%	0	1.1	77	INF

21	Jun_7_2017	14.13	12.97	13.56	13.76	13.73	13.83	13.7(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	40	7	65	0.07	58%	0	36.8	3.9%	0	0.8	76	INF
22	Jun_6_2017	14.13	12.92	13.55	13.62	13.65	13.76	13.9(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	25	60	8	76	0.18	58%	0	29.2	3.93%	0	1.2	71	INF
23	Jun_5_2017	14.13	12.83	13.49	13.48	13.45	13.63	13.9(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	90	8	84	0.29	58%	-0.07	16.4	3.93%	0	1.3	69	INF
24	Jun_2_2017	14.14	12.75	13.43	13.32	13.35	13.54	13.5(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	110	3	88	0.23	54%	-0.07	4.5	3.91%	0	0.9	67	INF
25	Jun_1_2017	14.15	12.69	13.25	13.34	13.29	13.27	13.8(6.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-20	1	88	0.22	54%		-2.1	3.95%	0	1.4	72	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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