Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Thu. Mar. 10, 2022)

(Arena Pharmaceuticals)
ARNA latest price $16.2000 (0%) ($16.0000 - $16.6000) on Tue. Jul. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.42% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $16.2000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARNA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARNA declines -5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(44%)    IBB(41%)    ARKG(38%)    IWO(34%)    ARKK(33%)
Factors Impacting ARNA price   ARNA will decline at least -1.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.71% (StdDev 3.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $3.6(-77.78%)
Resistance Level   $17.55
5 Day Moving Average   $16.38(-1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.6(-2.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.55(-7.69%)
To recent high   -24.7%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $933m

Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel drugs that target G protien-coupled receptors. It offers drugs for treatment in the field of cardiovascular, central nervous system, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases. The company was founded by Dominic P. Behan and Jack Lief on April 14, 1997 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. ARNA price fluctuates within 6.89% (three month std-dev: 3.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.98%(20%) Average negative next day return: -2.51%(80%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 4.47%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.22%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 9.79%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.5%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2016	17.3	17.55	16.6	16.38	16.43	16.43	16.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-23	10	-1	-87	0.46	60%	0	-76.1	3.42%	0	-1.1	35	0
2	Jul_11_2016	17.3	17.74	16.64	16.34	16.35	16.63	16.2(-4.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-27	120	1	-111	0.5	60%	0	-74.4	3.44%	0	-1.2	33	0
3	Jul_8_2016	17.3	17.92	16.82	16.42	16.27	16.43	17(3.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-24	40	5	-110	0.23	60%	0.12	-68.8	3.41%	0	-0.7	42	0
4	Jul_7_2016	17.28	18.09	17	16.44	16.24	16.08	16.4(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-110	-10	-114	0.11	58%	0	-60.4	3.43%	0	-1.2	35	0
5	Jul_6_2016	17.28	18.34	17.21	16.66	16.51	16.1	16.1(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-200	-15	-113	0.1	58%	0	-42.9	3.42%	0	-1.5	30	0

6	Jul_5_2016	17.28	18.52	17.47	16.86	16.88	16.4	16(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-200	-13	-109	0.11	58%	0.06	-37.5	3.47%	0	-1.8	28	0
7	Jul_1_2016	17.27	18.73	17.77	16.96	17.08	16.93	16.6(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-40	-18	-115	0.18	61%	0.12	-31.2	3.46%	0	-1.7	29	0
8	Jun_30_2016	17.25	18.85	17.96	17.26	17.24	17.35	17.1(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	40	-13	-111	0.17	61%	0.12	-18.1	3.44%	0	-1.5	32	0
9	Jun_29_2016	17.23	18.97	18.14	17.66	17.43	17.23	17.5(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-120	-8	-104	0.09	61%	0.17	3.8	3.45%	0	-1.3	30	0
10	Jun_28_2016	17.2	19.01	18.33	17.86	17.77	17.14	17.1(3.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-260	-21	-117	0.14	61%	0.12	15.4	3.44%	0	-1.7	23	0

11	Jun_27_2016	17.18	19.07	18.58	18.18	18.17	17.63	16.5(-8.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-50	-210	-31	-108	0.17	59%	0	33.5	3.41%	0	-2.4	36	0
12	Jun_24_2016	17.18	19.14	18.94	18.68	18.57	18.4	18.1(-5.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-80	-9	-80	0.21	67%	0.17	61.6	3.25%	0	-1.1	40	0
13	Jun_23_2016	17.15	19.07	19.12	18.74	18.57	18.7	19.1(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-20	1	-66	0.11	64%	0.23	59.2	3.2%	0	0	55	0
14	Jun_22_2016	17.11	18.93	19.26	18.7	18.78	18.74	18.5(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-0	-9	-60	0.11	67%	0.23	53.8	3.32%	0	-0.3	48	0
15	Jun_21_2016	17.07	18.83	19.55	18.88	18.91	18.85	18.7(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-20	-7	-21	0.09	71%	0.23	57.4	3.5%	0	-0.1	57	0

16	Jun_20_2016	17.03	18.72	19.65	19.06	19.11	18.83	19(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-90	-9	-1	0.07	71%	0.24	59.2	3.62%	0	0.2	57	0
17	Jun_17_2016	16.99	18.57	19.76	19.26	19.33	18.96	18.4(-2.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-120	-17	25	0.25	76%	0.24	60.2	3.72%	0	-0.1	59	0
18	Jun_16_2016	16.95	18.42	19.82	19.56	19.66	19.39	18.9(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-80	-14	59	0.12	76%	0.24	60.5	3.84%	0	0.3	67	0
19	Jun_15_2016	16.91	18.24	19.88	19.9	19.87	19.69	19.4(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-70	-17	103	0.1	71%	0.18	61.3	3.83%	0	0.6	71	0
20	Jun_14_2016	16.88	18.04	19.75	19.9	20.24	19.92	19.6(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	34	-120	-3	144	0.11	71%	0.18	64.4	3.91%	0	0.8	69	0

21	Jun_13_2016	16.85	17.85	19.62	20.32	20.44	20.06	20(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	37	-110	-6	164	0.11	71%	0.18	64.5	3.9%	0	1	71	0
22	Jun_10_2016	16.82	17.62	19.39	20.34	20.33	20.55	19.9(-3.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	51	70	4	191	0.17	68%	0.18	65.1	3.91%	0	1.1	73	0
23	Jun_9_2016	16.79	17.38	19.04	20.1	20.14	20.83	20.6(-4.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	250	20	201	0.17	68%	0.24	61.4	3.94%	0	1.6	79	0
24	Jun_8_2016	16.75	17.12	18.58	19.84	19.61	20.1	21.5(9.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	140	31	211	0.25	67%	0.36	60.9	3.91%	0	2.3	84	0
25	Jun_7_2016	16.69	16.82	18.04	19.12	19.11	19.46	19.6(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	130	16	188	0.11	65%		58.3	3.82%	0	1.7	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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