Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARNA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Thu. Mar. 10, 2022)

(Arena Pharmaceuticals)
ARNA latest price $20.6000 (-4.19%) ($20.6000 - $21.6000) on Thu. Jun. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.94% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $20.6000(-4.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARNA advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARNA advances 12.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(44%)    IBB(41%)    ARKG(38%)    IWO(35%)    ARKK(34%)
Factors Impacting ARNA price   ARNA will decline at least -1.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    BNDX(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.97% (StdDev 3.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.1(2.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.04(8.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.38(18.53%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   46.1%
Market Cap   $1.186b

Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel drugs that target G protien-coupled receptors. It offers drugs for treatment in the field of cardiovascular, central nervous system, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases. The company was founded by Dominic P. Behan and Jack Lief on April 14, 1997 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. ARNA price fluctuates within 11.62% (three month std-dev: 3.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.94%(43%) Average negative next day return: -4.96%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 5.69%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -8.87%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 11.82%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.3%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160709

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_9_2016	16.79	17.38	19.04	20.1	20.14	20.83	20.6(-4.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	250	20	201	0.17	68%	0.24	61.4	3.94%	0	1.6	79	0
2	Jun_8_2016	16.75	17.12	18.58	19.84	19.61	20.1	21.5(9.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	140	31	211	0.25	67%	0.36	60.9	3.91%	0	2.3	84	0
3	Jun_7_2016	16.69	16.82	18.04	19.12	19.11	19.46	19.6(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	59	130	16	188	0.11	65%	0.18	58.3	3.82%	0	1.7	78	0
4	Jun_6_2016	16.66	16.62	17.7	18.82	18.68	19.11	20.1(7.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	140	22	183	0.21	65%	0.24	54	3.85%	0	2.4	74	0
5	Jun_3_2016	16.62	16.38	17.25	18.3	18.31	18.75	18.7(-3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	170	26	169	0.16	63%	0.12	45.6	3.77%	0	1.9	73	0

6	Jun_2_2016	16.6	16.22	16.89	17.8	17.79	18.25	19.3(7.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	60	180	31	146	0.28	63%	0.24	29.7	3.75%	0	2.8	78	0
7	Jun_1_2016	16.56	16.03	16.45	17.12	17.19	17.87	17.9(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	290	22	105	0.09	59%	0.12	5.2	3.63%	0	2.2	69	0
8	May_31_2016	16.54	15.94	16.17	16.8	16.75	17.33	18.1(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	41	230	27	81	0.14	59%	0.24	-15.1	3.68%	0	2.9	63	0
9	May_27_2016	16.5	15.87	15.92	16.42	16.39	16.5	17.5(8.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	29	40	19	57	0.24	59%	0.06	-38.7	3.63%	0	2.5	62	0
10	May_26_2016	16.49	15.83	15.69	16.06	16.16	16.16	16.2(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	20	7	30	0.1	55%	-0.12	-59.6	3.53%	0	0.5	56	0

11	May_25_2016	16.51	15.9	15.59	15.84	16.01	16.28	15.9(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	150	11	13	0.16	55%	-0.12	-65.2	3.53%	0	0	52	0
12	May_24_2016	16.53	15.99	15.55	15.66	15.73	16.16	16.3(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	200	17	1	0.16	55%	-0.12	-67.6	3.52%	0	0.4	55	0
13	May_23_2016	16.55	16.05	15.51	15.44	15.43	15.74	16.2(3.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	140	10	-16	0.2	49%	-0.06	-70	3.54%	0	0.2	48	0
14	May_20_2016	16.56	16.13	15.46	15.36	15.32	15.3	15.7(3.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-20	5	-34	0.26	49%	-0.18	-67.8	3.71%	0	-0.4	35	0
15	May_19_2016	16.59	16.26	15.45	15.28	15.38	15.13	15.1(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-90	-4	-57	0.19	50%	-0.3	-64	3.7%	0	-1	26	0

16	May_18_2016	16.64	16.44	15.51	15.3	15.43	15.34	15(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-25	-20	-8	-74	0.17	46%	-0.3	-62.4	3.78%	0	-1.2	22	0
17	May_17_2016	16.69	16.61	15.6	15.4	15.49	15.64	15.2(-3.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-25	90	-5	-84	0.28	46%	-0.24	-63.9	3.88%	0	-1.2	22	0
18	May_16_2016	16.73	16.76	15.69	15.4	15.59	15.51	15.8(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	-30	1	-86	0.23	46%	-0.06	-62.2	3.88%	0	-0.8	28	0
19	May_13_2016	16.74	16.9	15.81	15.58	15.75	15.35	15.3(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-150	-7	-97	0.11	46%	-0.3	-60.5	3.89%	0	-1.3	19	0
20	May_12_2016	16.79	17.06	15.99	15.64	15.86	15.66	15.2(-1.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-34	-50	-10	-106	0.21	46%	-0.3	-62.6	3.92%	0	-1.5	15	0

21	May_11_2016	16.84	17.24	16.24	15.75	15.92	16.15	15.5(-3.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-26	130	-0	-105	0.25	46%	-0.24	-66.2	3.94%	0	-1.4	15	0
22	May_10_2016	16.88	17.42	16.47	15.81	15.88	16.05	16.1(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	90	4	-106	0.2	46%	-0.24	-71.8	3.91%	0	-1.1	25	0
23	May_9_2016	16.92	17.56	16.62	15.83	15.81	15.69	15.8(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-60	-10	-115	0.23	46%	-0.24	-75.4	3.92%	0	-1.5	24	0
24	May_6_2016	16.96	17.7	16.84	16.09	16.03	15.72	15.6(-0.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-39	-150	-15	-112	0.19	46%	-0.18	-80	3.93%	0	-1.9	18	0
25	May_5_2016	16.99	17.88	17.13	16.41	16.36	15.93	15.75(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-40	-190	-20	-100	0.2	46%		-77.8	3.96%	0	-2	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.