Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARNA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Thu. Mar. 10, 2022)

(Arena Pharmaceuticals)
ARNA latest price $19.8000 (0.51%) ($19.3400 - $20.2000) on Fri. Apr. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.88% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $19.8000(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARNA advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARNA advances 12.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(45%)    IBB(42%)    ARKG(38%)    IWO(35%)    ARKK(34%)
Factors Impacting ARNA price   ARNA will decline at least -2.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.44% (StdDev 4.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.1(3.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.59(6.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.88(17.3%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   40.4%
Market Cap   $1.14b

Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel drugs that target G protien-coupled receptors. It offers drugs for treatment in the field of cardiovascular, central nervous system, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases. The company was founded by Dominic P. Behan and Jack Lief on April 14, 1997 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. ARNA price fluctuates within 11.37% (three month std-dev: 4.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 2.87%(54%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 4.02%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -4.12%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 4.28%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.88%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_1_2016	17.37	16.88	18.59	19.1	19.17	19.64	19.8(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	180	12	161	0.17	46%	0.17	55.2	4.88%	0	1.5	74	0
2	Mar_31_2016	17.34	16.66	18.15	18.8	18.84	19.34	19.7(3.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	190	17	161	0.15	46%	0.06	55.7	4.92%	0	1.7	75	0
3	Mar_30_2016	17.33	16.44	17.61	18.44	18.49	18.7	19.1(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	90	3	137	0.15	46%	0.06	55.5	4.91%	0	1.6	67	0
4	Mar_29_2016	17.32	16.24	17.16	18.5	18.42	18.35	18.6(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-40	4	142	0.15	46%	-0.17	63.6	4.94%	0	1.5	67	0
5	Mar_28_2016	17.35	16.04	16.83	18.34	18.49	18.28	18.3(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	40	-50	8	137	0.24	46%	-0.29	60	4.97%	0	1.5	60	0

6	Mar_24_2016	17.4	15.88	16.49	17.98	18.16	18.49	18.3(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	160	15	127	0.14	46%	-0.23	55	4.97%	0	1.8	64	0
7	Mar_23_2016	17.44	15.71	16.12	17.38	17.64	18.7	17.9(-7.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	470	34	102	0.27	46%	-0.17	45.1	4.97%	0	1.8	59	0
8	Mar_22_2016	17.47	15.56	15.85	16.62	16.58	17.83	19.4(8.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	52	520	45	74	0.23	48%	-0.11	24.5	4.88%	0	3.3	66	0
9	Mar_21_2016	17.49	15.3	15.38	15.62	15.53	16.58	17.8(7.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	29	460	31	22	0.3	47%	-0.06	-6.5	4.77%	0	3.2	62	0
10	Mar_18_2016	17.5	15.2	15.15	15.12	14.94	15.33	16.5(7.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	15	150	19	2	0.85	44%	-0.11	-24.9	4.74%	0	2.2	60	0

11	Mar_17_2016	17.52	15.17	14.99	14.82	14.7	14.49	15.3(8.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-120	3	-21	0.42	41%	-0.28	-32.7	4.66%	0	0.3	51	0
12	Mar_16_2016	17.57	15.16	15.02	14.68	14.76	14.55	14.1(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-80	-13	-30	0.25	37%	-0.45	-33.2	4.53%	0	-1.9	45	0
13	Mar_15_2016	17.65	15.28	15.16	14.94	14.94	14.91	14.4(-5.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10	-5	-12	0.28	37%	-0.45	-12.9	4.59%	0	-1.7	46	0
14	Mar_14_2016	17.73	15.28	15.26	15.06	15.04	14.91	15.3(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-3	-40	-4	-0	0.32	39%	-0.45	0.3	4.56%	0	-0.1	58	0
15	Mar_11_2016	17.81	15.35	15.22	15.18	15.14	14.96	15(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-90	-3	-4	0.21	36%	-0.5	2.5	4.55%	0	-0.7	42	0

16	Mar_10_2016	17.9	15.34	15.26	15.2	15.26	15.13	14.6(-5.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-50	-8	-11	0.22	36%	-0.44	-8.4	4.69%	0	-1.5	41	0
17	Mar_9_2016	17.98	15.36	15.31	15.4	15.35	15.31	15.4(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2	-30	-2	-1	0.13	37%	-0.39	5	4.69%	0	0.1	53	0
18	Mar_8_2016	18.05	15.36	15.28	15.42	15.42	15.4	15(-5.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3	-10	-1	-10	0.15	37%	-0.44	13.5	4.68%	0	-0.7	42	0
19	Mar_7_2016	18.13	15.35	15.25	15.48	15.36	15.39	15.9(5.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10	6	-14	0.15	37%	-0.44	15	4.63%	0	1.1	51	0
20	Mar_4_2016	18.21	15.33	15.26	15.28	15.17	15.44	15.1(-3.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-4	100	1	-18	0.23	32%	-0.49	9.7	4.67%	0	-0.5	51	0

21	Mar_3_2016	18.3	15.38	15.35	15.32	15.09	15.33	15.6(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	70	8	-3	0.14	32%	-0.38	25	4.71%	0	0.4	58	0
22	Mar_2_2016	18.37	15.33	15.31	15.2	14.99	14.91	15.5(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-80	3	-7	0.27	32%	-0.38	11.6	4.73%	0	0.3	57	0
23	Mar_1_2016	18.44	15.28	15.39	15.12	14.96	14.85	15.3(2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-80	1	-3	0.39	32%	-0.38	-7.6	4.73%	0	0	52	0
24	Feb_29_2016	18.51	15.27	15.44	14.98	14.99	15.08	14.9(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	40	-7	-7	0.22	38%	-0.43	-24.2	4.94%	0	-0.6	52	0
25	Feb_26_2016	18.59	15.29	15.48	15.24	15.06	15.06	15.3(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-40	-4	2	0.1	38%		-27.1	4.94%	0	0	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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