Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: ARNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Thu. Mar. 10, 2022)

(Arena Pharmaceuticals)
ARNA latest price $17.8000 (7.88%) ($16.2000 - $18.2000) on Mon. Mar. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.77% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $17.8000(7.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARNA advances 3.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARNA advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(45%)    IBB(42%)    ARKG(38%)    IWO(36%)    ARKK(34%)
Factors Impacting ARNA price   ARNA will decline at least -2.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-9%)    UUP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.385% (StdDev 4.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $15.62(13.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.38(15.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.3(16.34%)
To recent high   -12.3%
To recent low   26.2%
Market Cap   $1.025b

Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel drugs that target G protien-coupled receptors. It offers drugs for treatment in the field of cardiovascular, central nervous system, inflammatory, and metabolic diseases. The company was founded by Dominic P. Behan and Jack Lief on April 14, 1997 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. ARNA price fluctuates within 5.1% (three month std-dev: 4.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160421

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_21_2016	17.49	15.3	15.38	15.62	15.53	16.58	17.8(7.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	29	460	31	22	0.3	47%	-0.06	-6.5	4.77%	0	3.2	62	0
2	Mar_18_2016	17.5	15.2	15.15	15.12	14.94	15.33	16.5(7.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	15	150	19	2	0.85	44%	-0.11	-24.9	4.74%	0	2.2	60	0
3	Mar_17_2016	17.52	15.17	14.99	14.82	14.7	14.49	15.3(8.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-120	3	-21	0.42	41%	-0.28	-32.7	4.66%	0	0.3	51	0
4	Mar_16_2016	17.57	15.16	15.02	14.68	14.76	14.55	14.1(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-80	-13	-30	0.25	37%	-0.45	-33.2	4.53%	0	-1.9	45	0
5	Mar_15_2016	17.65	15.28	15.16	14.94	14.94	14.91	14.4(-5.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10	-5	-12	0.28	37%	-0.45	-12.9	4.59%	0	-1.7	46	0

6	Mar_14_2016	17.73	15.28	15.26	15.06	15.04	14.91	15.3(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-3	-40	-4	-0	0.32	39%	-0.45	0.3	4.56%	0	-0.1	58	0
7	Mar_11_2016	17.81	15.35	15.22	15.18	15.14	14.96	15(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-90	-3	-4	0.21	36%	-0.5	2.5	4.55%	0	-0.7	42	0
8	Mar_10_2016	17.9	15.34	15.26	15.2	15.26	15.13	14.6(-5.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-50	-8	-11	0.22	36%	-0.44	-8.4	4.69%	0	-1.5	41	0
9	Mar_9_2016	17.98	15.36	15.31	15.4	15.35	15.31	15.4(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2	-30	-2	-1	0.13	37%	-0.39	5	4.69%	0	0.1	53	0
10	Mar_8_2016	18.05	15.36	15.28	15.42	15.42	15.4	15(-5.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3	-10	-1	-10	0.15	37%	-0.44	13.5	4.68%	0	-0.7	42	0

11	Mar_7_2016	18.13	15.35	15.25	15.48	15.36	15.39	15.9(5.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10	6	-14	0.15	37%	-0.44	15	4.63%	0	1.1	51	0
12	Mar_4_2016	18.21	15.33	15.26	15.28	15.17	15.44	15.1(-3.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-4	100	1	-18	0.23	32%	-0.49	9.7	4.67%	0	-0.5	51	0
13	Mar_3_2016	18.3	15.38	15.35	15.32	15.09	15.33	15.6(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	70	8	-3	0.14	32%	-0.38	25	4.71%	0	0.4	58	0
14	Mar_2_2016	18.37	15.33	15.31	15.2	14.99	14.91	15.5(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-80	3	-7	0.27	32%	-0.38	11.6	4.73%	0	0.3	57	0
15	Mar_1_2016	18.44	15.28	15.39	15.12	14.96	14.85	15.3(2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-80	1	-3	0.39	32%	-0.38	-7.6	4.73%	0	0	52	0

16	Feb_29_2016	18.51	15.27	15.44	14.98	14.99	15.08	14.9(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	40	-7	-7	0.22	38%	-0.43	-24.2	4.94%	0	-0.6	52	0
17	Feb_26_2016	18.59	15.29	15.48	15.24	15.06	15.06	15.3(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-40	-4	2	0.1	38%	-0.27	-27.1	4.94%	0	0	48	0
18	Feb_25_2016	18.64	15.26	15.43	15.4	15.33	14.9	15(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-210	-3	0	0.12	38%	-0.37	-33.9	4.97%	0	-0.4	44	0
19	Feb_24_2016	18.71	15.27	15.42	15.44	15.45	15.05	15.1(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-180	-15	-1	0.22	38%	-0.27	-43.5	4.97%	0	-0.3	56	0
20	Feb_23_2016	18.76	15.32	15.43	15.7	15.71	15.75	14.6(-9.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-1	20	-8	20	0.14	38%	-0.37	-24.6	4.96%	0	-1.1	55	0

21	Feb_22_2016	18.83	15.42	15.49	15.94	15.89	15.85	16.2(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-30	8	37	0.11	41%	-0.21	-13.8	4.81%	0	1.2	57	0
22	Feb_19_2016	18.87	15.44	15.43	15.74	15.73	15.68	16.1(5.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-20	6	32	0.15	41%	-0.11	-18	4.82%	0	0.9	57	0
23	Feb_18_2016	18.89	15.46	15.41	15.46	15.54	15.94	15.2(-7.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	200	6	31	0.16	45%	-0.21	-25.4	4.76%	0	-0.3	56	0
24	Feb_17_2016	18.93	15.53	15.35	15.38	15.21	15.78	16.4(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	17	230	14	25	0.18	48%	-0.16	-21.4	5.09%	0	1.1	58	0
25	Feb_16_2016	18.96	15.48	15.15	15.14	14.98	15.15	15.8(3.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	50	10	-0	0.15	48%		-25.2	5.07%	0	0.4	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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