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     Fri. Mar. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Thu. Apr. 15, 2021)

(ARK Innovation ETF)

ARKK latest price $117.0700 (-1.15%) ($106.2500 - $119.4400) on Fri. Mar. 5, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $12.57 (8.89% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.76% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -2.2% (StdDev 2.76%)
Daily Moving Force  -4.5%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Hourly Trend Strength  -4.72%
Trend   -1.5%
Trend Strength  -7.6%
Trend Clarity  -0.25(-2.2/12.57/141.41)
RSI   18
Momentum  3.2
Latest Price  $117.0700(-1.15%)
Forecasted Low Price  109.11(-6.8%)
Forecasted High Price  117.89(0.7%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-8%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  17.7% ((137.81))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  13.1%
Hourly Trend   -5.7% [$118.1(-6.74), $125.25(-4.99)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Complacency  1
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  ARKK declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  ARKK declines -9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support ARKK decline at-1.2% a week (96% probability)
  ARKG(97%)    IPO(97%)    EDOC(93%)    SKYY(92%)    ICLN(91%)  
Factors Impacting ARKK price  ARKK will decline at least -0.7% in a week (52% probabilities).
  VXX(-64%)    UUP(-61%)    VIXM(-45%)    TBT(-36%)    XLE(-8%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -2.1
 
Relative Volatility   2.6 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -4.1% (StdDev 2.76%)
Hourly BBV   -0.6 ()
Intraday Trend   -1.8%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $118.38(1.12%)
Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $141.41
5 Day Moving Average  $126.16(-7.21%)
10 Day Moving Average  $130.71(-10.44%)
20 Day Moving Average  $141.41(-17.21%)
To recent high  -25.2%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 8.89% (three month std-dev: 2.76%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. ARKK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20210405

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
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NextDayPriceRangeVolume
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To High-Low
1Mar_5_2021141.41 (-0.6%)130.71 (-1.8%)126.16 (-2.1%) 125.25 118.1(0%)117.07(-1.15%)106.25-119.44-1.9(-1.9)-0.6 -4.5%-2.2%0%-4.72%-1.5%-7.6%183.2 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-6.1%)1-2.1-0.3Downtrend 110.07(-5.98%)105.62-120.4538.91   -25.2%-0
2Mar_4_2021143.08 (-0.6%)134.22 (-1.6%)128.82 (-1.7%) 130.24 124.84(0%)118.43(-5.34%)114.63-125.93-1.8(-2.2)-1.5 -3.9%-2%0%-4.43%-1.34%-6.2%212.8 Oversold  Lower(-3.2%)1-2.20.3Downtrend 113.29(-4.34%)109.6-121.9227.15   -24.4%-1.1
3Mar_3_2021144.6 (-0.4%)137.35 (-1.6%)131.04 (-2%) 132.56 132.4(0%)125.11(-6.29%)124.44-133.44-1.8(-2)-2.1 -1.9%-1.6%0%-1.64%-1.22%-5%262.5 Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop Range(-0.4%)1-20.1Growing Downtrend 121.19(-3.13%)117.62-128.0215.95   -20.1%-9.5% 
4Mar_2_2021145.8 (-0.2%)140.05 (-1.4%)133.68 (-0.8%) 133.62 135.63(0%)133.51(-2.33%)133.16-138.37-1.7(-1.5)0.1 0.8%-1.2%0%1.61%-1.08%-3.9%292.2 Rebound  Range(0.8%)1-1.60.5Downtrend 129.69(-2.86%)127.31-135.259.2   -14.7%-18.8% 
5Mar_1_2021146.34 (-0.2%)142.15 (-1.4%)134.79 (-1%) 134.13 132.73(0%)136.7(4.86%)133.51-137-1.8(-1.2)1.2 0.2%-1%0%0.38%-1.02%-2.9%332.1 Downtrend Pop  Range(-0.8%)1-1.50.3Growing Downtrend 133.41(-2.41%)130.72-138.1911.53   -12.7%-21.7% 
 
6Feb_26_2021146.49 (-0.2%)144.07 (-1.2%)136.2 (-3.2%) 134.15 131.61(0%)130.36(0.66%)126.07-132.97-1.8(-2)-1 -3.1%-1.3%0%-2.49%-0.9%-1.6%312.2 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-4.4%)2-2.10.4Relative Oversold 130.33(-0.02%)121.87-137.2616.92   -16.7%-16.6% 
7Feb_25_2021147.11 (-0.2%)146.57 (-0.8%)140.65 (-2.7%) 138.37 135.53(0%)129.51(-6.37%)128.41-138.69-1.3(-2.4)-1.8 -2%-1.3%0%-0.68%-0.6%-0.4%322 Oversold  Range(-0.1%)3-2.80.5Growing Downtrend 127.96(-1.2%)126.03-132.216.26   -17.3%-19.4% 
8Feb_24_2021147.71 (-0%)149.08 (-0.4%)144.59 (-1.9%) 143.14 136.69(0%)138.32(-0.52%)134.5-140.22-0.7(-1.5)-0.5 -2.6%-0.9%0%-2.59%-0.32%0.9%441.8 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-3.2%)4-2.41.1Downtrend 137.31(-0.73%)136.26-139.7915.77   -11.7%-30.3% 
9Feb_23_2021147.97 (0%)150.82 (-0.2%)147.31 (-2.1%) 145.83 141.21(0%)139.04(-3.3%)126.82-139.99-0.3(-1.5)-0.9 -4.2%-0.8%0%-3.65%-0.1%1.9%431.7 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-3.4%)5-2.31.5Correction 135.2(-2.76%)134.46-138.1837.44   -11.2%-31% 
10Feb_22_2021148.41 (0.2%)152.37 (0.2%)150.53 (-1.7%) 149.86 149.6(0%)143.78(-5.79%)143.25-150.930.3(-0.8)-2.4 -1.1%-0.4%0%-0.17%0.2%2.7%561.7 Downtrend Reversal  Higher(1.4%)6-1.41.7Downtrend Reversal 142.56(-0.85%)142.11-144.3416.32   -8.2%-35.5% 
 
11Feb_19_2021148.56 (0.2%)153.07 (0.6%)153.09 (-0.3%) 152.42 150.46(0%)152.61(2.29%)151-1540.8(0.7)1.3 -0.1%0.3%0%0.29%0.46%3%751.8 Correction  Range(0.2%)70.81.9Uptrend 154.03(0.93%)151.88-154.957.87   -2.5%-47.8% 
12Feb_18_2021148.16 (0.4%)152.7 (0.6%)153.48 (-0.5%) 153.04 150.12(0%)149.19(-1.8%)146.09-150.221(0.2)-0.8 -1.8%0.1%0%-1.83%0.58%3.1%661.8 Confirmed Correction  Range(-0.8%)8-0.31.9Uptrend Consolidation 149.23(0.03%)148.62-151.0910.95   -4.7%-47.7% 
13Feb_17_2021148.05 (0.4%)152.5 (0.8%)154.26 (-0.4%) 154.53 154.38(0%)151.93(-2.06%)147.46-153.511.3(0.7)-0.8 -0.7%0.3%0%-1.13%0.72%3%721.8 Correction  Range(0.6%)90.32.1Uptrend 154.35(1.59%)151.21-155.6913.53   -3%-50.4% 
14Feb_16_2021147.75 (0.4%)152.05 (1%)154.86 (0.2%) 155.3 155.97(0%)155.12(-0.93%)154.73-159.71.6(1.3)-0.5 0.6%0.7%0%0.55%0.84%2.9%691.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.8%)101.32Uptrend 157.79(1.72%)153.8-159.5111.1   -0.9%-55.8% 
15Feb_12_2021147.07 (0.4%)150.86 (1%)154.5 (0.9%) 154.65 154.68(0%)156.58(1.3%)152.01-156.61.8(1.8)2.2 0.3%1%0%0.03%0.82%2.6%611.8 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.3%)101.92.1Growing Uptrend 159.92(2.13%)154.85-161.196.58   0%-58.3% 
 
16Feb_11_2021146.46 (0.4%)149 (0.8%)153.07 (0.8%) 154.13 154.63(0%)154.57(0.96%)152.38-156.381.8(1.6)0.1 0.4%0.8%0%-0.14%0.68%1.7%601.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.2%)91.72.2Growing Uptrend 157(1.57%)153.14-157.958.81   -0.2%-56.6% 
17Feb_10_2021145.79 (0.6%)147.59 (0.6%)151.83 (0.9%) 152.7 154.62(0%)153.1(-1.18%)150.46-157.911.9(1.6)-1.1 0.8%0.8%0%0.41%0.58%1.2%601.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.2%)81.52.2Uptrend Dip 157.28(2.73%)150.67-158.9314.28   -1.2%-61.6% 
18Feb_9_2021145.17 (0.6%)146.14 (0.4%)150.43 (1.1%) 151.01 153.63(0%)154.93(1.06%)152.83-156.651.8(2.2)0.9 1.5%0.8%0%1.38%0.46%0.7%581.4 Breakout  Higher(2.3%)72.22Growing Uptrend 156.43(0.97%)153.05-157.288.1   0%-63.5% 
19Feb_8_2021144.31 (0.6%)144.76 (0.2%)148.83 (1.5%) 149.17 150.77(0%)153.31(2.58%)151.45-153.891.6(2.2)1.3 1.4%0.5%0%1.13%0.34%0.3%581.2 Breakout  Higher(1.9%)62.11.8Growing Uptrend 154.34(0.67%)151.61-155.018.52   0%-61.8% 
20Feb_5_2021143.72 (0.6%)143.96 (0.2%)146.69 (1.7%) 147.57 148.39(0%)149.46(0.75%)147.42-149.751.2(1.7)1 1%0.3%0%0.49%0.28%0.2%601.1 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.3%)511.7Growing Uptrend 150.27(0.54%)148.48-150.715.57   0%-57.7% 
 
21Feb_4_2021143.16 (0.6%)143.53 (-0%)144.29 (1.1%) 145.59 147.57(0%)148.35(1.53%)146.92-148.50.8(1.6)0.7 1%0.4%0%0.36%0.16%0.3%531 Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.4%)40.91.5Growing Uptrend 148.85(0.34%)147.4-149.225.24   0%-56.6% 
22Feb_3_2021142.21 (0.6%)143.11 (-0.2%)142.69 (1.1%) 143.21 146.74(0%)146.11(-0.54%)145.42-148.70.5(0.9)0.5 1.7%0.2%0%2.04%0.08%0.6%561.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.2%)40.81.7N/A 145.74(-0.25%)144.05-147.146.47   -0.7%-56.8% 
23Feb_2_2021141.34 (0.6%)143.13 (-0.2%)141.15 (0.7%) 141.33 143.61(0%)146.91(3.01%)144.93-147.950.3(1)1.3 1.9%0.3%0%2.12%0.04%1.3%581.6 Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.2%)41.11.4Correction 144.72(-1.49%)142.48-147.467.91   -0.1%-61.8% 
24Feb_1_2021140.28 (0.4%)142.98 (-0.2%)140.13 (-0.6%) 139.48 139.67(0%)142.62(3.77%)138.41-142.80.1(0.4)1.8 -0.1%0.2%0%-0.09%0.02%1.9%581.9 Correction  Range(0.1%)40.71.1Correction 141.72(-0.63%)140.71-142.947.8   -3.1%-57.1% 
25Jan_29_2021139.44 (0.4%)142.93 (-0%)140.94 (-1.2%) 140.37 139.06(0%)137.44(-2.09%)135.05-141.180.2(-0.3)-1.5 -0.8%-0.3%0%-0.23%0.06%2.5%451.9 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.1%)40.40.2Correction 134.92(-1.83%)134.29-137.447.17   -6.6%-51.4% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
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Force
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Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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