Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARKK: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Thu. Apr. 15, 2021)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $117.0700 (-1.15%) ($106.2500 - $119.4400) on Fri. Mar. 5, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative   Downtrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $12.57 (8.89% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.76% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   -2.2% (StdDev 2.76%)
Daily Moving Force   -4.5%
Rebound Strength   None(0%)
Hourly Trend Strength   -4.72%
Trend   -1.5%
Trend Strength   -7.6%
Trend Clarity   -0.25(-2.2/12.57/141.41)
RSI   18
Momentum   3.2
Latest Price   $117.0700(-1.15%)
Forecasted Low Price   109.11(-6.8%)
Forecasted High Price   117.89(0.7%)
Direction of Next Movement   Lower(-8%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound   17.7% ((137.81))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   13.1%
Hourly Trend -5.7% [$118.1(-6.74), $125.25(-4.99)]
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Complacency   1
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   ARKK declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK declines -9.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK decline at-1.2% a week (96% probability)
ARKG(97%)    IPO(97%)    EDOC(93%)    SKYY(92%)    ICLN(91%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.7% in a week (52% probabilities).
VXX(-64%)    UUP(-61%)    VIXM(-45%)    TBT(-36%)    XLE(-8%)
Explanation The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY -2.1

Relative Volatility 2.6 (options are extremely expensive)

Market Trend Strength   -4.1% (StdDev 2.76%)
Hourly BBV -0.6 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

Next Day Open Price   $118.38(1.12%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $141.41
5 Day Moving Average   $126.16(-7.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $130.71(-10.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $141.41(-17.21%)
To recent high   -25.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 8.89% (three month std-dev: 2.76% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. ARKK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210405

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Hourly Trend Strength	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Mar_5_2021	141.41 (-0.6%)	130.71 (-1.8%)	126.16 (-2.1%)	125.25	118.1(0%)	117.07(-1.15%)	106.25-119.44	-1.9(-1.9)	-0.6	-4.5%	-2.2%	0%	-4.72%	-1.5%	-7.6%	18	3.2	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-6.1%)	1	-2.1	-0.3	Downtrend	110.07(-5.98%)	105.62-120.45	38.91	-25.2%-0%
2	Mar_4_2021	143.08 (-0.6%)	134.22 (-1.6%)	128.82 (-1.7%)	130.24	124.84(0%)	118.43(-5.34%)	114.63-125.93	-1.8(-2.2)	-1.5	-3.9%	-2%	0%	-4.43%	-1.34%	-6.2%	21	2.8	Oversold	Lower(-3.2%)	1	-2.2	0.3	Downtrend	113.29(-4.34%)	109.6-121.92	27.15	-24.4%-1.1%
3	Mar_3_2021	144.6 (-0.4%)	137.35 (-1.6%)	131.04 (-2%)	132.56	132.4(0%)	125.11(-6.29%)	124.44-133.44	-1.8(-2)	-2.1	-1.9%	-1.6%	0%	-1.64%	-1.22%	-5%	26	2.5	Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop	Range(-0.4%)	1	-2	0.1	Growing Downtrend	121.19(-3.13%)	117.62-128.02	15.95	-20.1%-9.5%
4	Mar_2_2021	145.8 (-0.2%)	140.05 (-1.4%)	133.68 (-0.8%)	133.62	135.63(0%)	133.51(-2.33%)	133.16-138.37	-1.7(-1.5)	0.1	0.8%	-1.2%	0%	1.61%	-1.08%	-3.9%	29	2.2	Rebound	Range(0.8%)	1	-1.6	0.5	Downtrend	129.69(-2.86%)	127.31-135.25	9.2	-14.7%-18.8%
5	Mar_1_2021	146.34 (-0.2%)	142.15 (-1.4%)	134.79 (-1%)	134.13	132.73(0%)	136.7(4.86%)	133.51-137	-1.8(-1.2)	1.2	0.2%	-1%	0%	0.38%	-1.02%	-2.9%	33	2.1	Downtrend Pop	Range(-0.8%)	1	-1.5	0.3	Growing Downtrend	133.41(-2.41%)	130.72-138.19	11.53	-12.7%-21.7%

6	Feb_26_2021	146.49 (-0.2%)	144.07 (-1.2%)	136.2 (-3.2%)	134.15	131.61(0%)	130.36(0.66%)	126.07-132.97	-1.8(-2)	-1	-3.1%	-1.3%	0%	-2.49%	-0.9%	-1.6%	31	2.2	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-4.4%)	2	-2.1	0.4	Relative Oversold	130.33(-0.02%)	121.87-137.26	16.92	-16.7%-16.6%
7	Feb_25_2021	147.11 (-0.2%)	146.57 (-0.8%)	140.65 (-2.7%)	138.37	135.53(0%)	129.51(-6.37%)	128.41-138.69	-1.3(-2.4)	-1.8	-2%	-1.3%	0%	-0.68%	-0.6%	-0.4%	32	2	Oversold	Range(-0.1%)	3	-2.8	0.5	Growing Downtrend	127.96(-1.2%)	126.03-132.2	16.26	-17.3%-19.4%
8	Feb_24_2021	147.71 (-0%)	149.08 (-0.4%)	144.59 (-1.9%)	143.14	136.69(0%)	138.32(-0.52%)	134.5-140.22	-0.7(-1.5)	-0.5	-2.6%	-0.9%	0%	-2.59%	-0.32%	0.9%	44	1.8	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-3.2%)	4	-2.4	1.1	Downtrend	137.31(-0.73%)	136.26-139.79	15.77	-11.7%-30.3%
9	Feb_23_2021	147.97 (0%)	150.82 (-0.2%)	147.31 (-2.1%)	145.83	141.21(0%)	139.04(-3.3%)	126.82-139.99	-0.3(-1.5)	-0.9	-4.2%	-0.8%	0%	-3.65%	-0.1%	1.9%	43	1.7	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-3.4%)	5	-2.3	1.5	Correction	135.2(-2.76%)	134.46-138.18	37.44	-11.2%-31%
10	Feb_22_2021	148.41 (0.2%)	152.37 (0.2%)	150.53 (-1.7%)	149.86	149.6(0%)	143.78(-5.79%)	143.25-150.93	0.3(-0.8)	-2.4	-1.1%	-0.4%	0%	-0.17%	0.2%	2.7%	56	1.7	Downtrend Reversal	Higher(1.4%)	6	-1.4	1.7	Downtrend Reversal	142.56(-0.85%)	142.11-144.34	16.32	-8.2%-35.5%

11	Feb_19_2021	148.56 (0.2%)	153.07 (0.6%)	153.09 (-0.3%)	152.42	150.46(0%)	152.61(2.29%)	151-154	0.8(0.7)	1.3	-0.1%	0.3%	0%	0.29%	0.46%	3%	75	1.8	Correction	Range(0.2%)	7	0.8	1.9	Uptrend	154.03(0.93%)	151.88-154.95	7.87	-2.5%-47.8%
12	Feb_18_2021	148.16 (0.4%)	152.7 (0.6%)	153.48 (-0.5%)	153.04	150.12(0%)	149.19(-1.8%)	146.09-150.22	1(0.2)	-0.8	-1.8%	0.1%	0%	-1.83%	0.58%	3.1%	66	1.8	Confirmed Correction	Range(-0.8%)	8	-0.3	1.9	Uptrend Consolidation	149.23(0.03%)	148.62-151.09	10.95	-4.7%-47.7%
13	Feb_17_2021	148.05 (0.4%)	152.5 (0.8%)	154.26 (-0.4%)	154.53	154.38(0%)	151.93(-2.06%)	147.46-153.51	1.3(0.7)	-0.8	-0.7%	0.3%	0%	-1.13%	0.72%	3%	72	1.8	Correction	Range(0.6%)	9	0.3	2.1	Uptrend	154.35(1.59%)	151.21-155.69	13.53	-3%-50.4%
14	Feb_16_2021	147.75 (0.4%)	152.05 (1%)	154.86 (0.2%)	155.3	155.97(0%)	155.12(-0.93%)	154.73-159.7	1.6(1.3)	-0.5	0.6%	0.7%	0%	0.55%	0.84%	2.9%	69	1.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.8%)	10	1.3	2	Uptrend	157.79(1.72%)	153.8-159.51	11.1	-0.9%-55.8%
15	Feb_12_2021	147.07 (0.4%)	150.86 (1%)	154.5 (0.9%)	154.65	154.68(0%)	156.58(1.3%)	152.01-156.6	1.8(1.8)	2.2	0.3%	1%	0%	0.03%	0.82%	2.6%	61	1.8	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.3%)	10	1.9	2.1	Growing Uptrend	159.92(2.13%)	154.85-161.19	6.58	0%-58.3%

16	Feb_11_2021	146.46 (0.4%)	149 (0.8%)	153.07 (0.8%)	154.13	154.63(0%)	154.57(0.96%)	152.38-156.38	1.8(1.6)	0.1	0.4%	0.8%	0%	-0.14%	0.68%	1.7%	60	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.2%)	9	1.7	2.2	Growing Uptrend	157(1.57%)	153.14-157.95	8.81	-0.2%-56.6%
17	Feb_10_2021	145.79 (0.6%)	147.59 (0.6%)	151.83 (0.9%)	152.7	154.62(0%)	153.1(-1.18%)	150.46-157.91	1.9(1.6)	-1.1	0.8%	0.8%	0%	0.41%	0.58%	1.2%	60	1.5	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.2%)	8	1.5	2.2	Uptrend Dip	157.28(2.73%)	150.67-158.93	14.28	-1.2%-61.6%
18	Feb_9_2021	145.17 (0.6%)	146.14 (0.4%)	150.43 (1.1%)	151.01	153.63(0%)	154.93(1.06%)	152.83-156.65	1.8(2.2)	0.9	1.5%	0.8%	0%	1.38%	0.46%	0.7%	58	1.4	Breakout	Higher(2.3%)	7	2.2	2	Growing Uptrend	156.43(0.97%)	153.05-157.28	8.1	0%-63.5%
19	Feb_8_2021	144.31 (0.6%)	144.76 (0.2%)	148.83 (1.5%)	149.17	150.77(0%)	153.31(2.58%)	151.45-153.89	1.6(2.2)	1.3	1.4%	0.5%	0%	1.13%	0.34%	0.3%	58	1.2	Breakout	Higher(1.9%)	6	2.1	1.8	Growing Uptrend	154.34(0.67%)	151.61-155.01	8.52	0%-61.8%
20	Feb_5_2021	143.72 (0.6%)	143.96 (0.2%)	146.69 (1.7%)	147.57	148.39(0%)	149.46(0.75%)	147.42-149.75	1.2(1.7)	1	1%	0.3%	0%	0.49%	0.28%	0.2%	60	1.1	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.3%)	5	1	1.7	Growing Uptrend	150.27(0.54%)	148.48-150.71	5.57	0%-57.7%

21	Feb_4_2021	143.16 (0.6%)	143.53 (-0%)	144.29 (1.1%)	145.59	147.57(0%)	148.35(1.53%)	146.92-148.5	0.8(1.6)	0.7	1%	0.4%	0%	0.36%	0.16%	0.3%	53	1	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.4%)	4	0.9	1.5	Growing Uptrend	148.85(0.34%)	147.4-149.22	5.24	0%-56.6%
22	Feb_3_2021	142.21 (0.6%)	143.11 (-0.2%)	142.69 (1.1%)	143.21	146.74(0%)	146.11(-0.54%)	145.42-148.7	0.5(0.9)	0.5	1.7%	0.2%	0%	2.04%	0.08%	0.6%	56	1.3	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.2%)	4	0.8	1.7	N/A	145.74(-0.25%)	144.05-147.14	6.47	-0.7%-56.8%
23	Feb_2_2021	141.34 (0.6%)	143.13 (-0.2%)	141.15 (0.7%)	141.33	143.61(0%)	146.91(3.01%)	144.93-147.95	0.3(1)	1.3	1.9%	0.3%	0%	2.12%	0.04%	1.3%	58	1.6	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.2%)	4	1.1	1.4	Correction	144.72(-1.49%)	142.48-147.46	7.91	-0.1%-61.8%
24	Feb_1_2021	140.28 (0.4%)	142.98 (-0.2%)	140.13 (-0.6%)	139.48	139.67(0%)	142.62(3.77%)	138.41-142.8	0.1(0.4)	1.8	-0.1%	0.2%	0%	-0.09%	0.02%	1.9%	58	1.9	Correction	Range(0.1%)	4	0.7	1.1	Correction	141.72(-0.63%)	140.71-142.94	7.8	-3.1%-57.1%
25	Jan_29_2021	139.44 (0.4%)	142.93 (-0%)	140.94 (-1.2%)	140.37	139.06(0%)	137.44(-2.09%)	135.05-141.18	0.2(-0.3)	-1.5	-0.8%	-0.3%	0%	-0.23%	0.06%	2.5%	45	1.9	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.1%)	4	0.4	0.2	Correction	134.92(-1.83%)	134.29-137.44	7.17	-6.6%-51.4%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Strength	RSI	Momentum	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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