Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARKK: Intraday Forecast Similar Waves Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $108.4800 (2.2%) ($105.9200 - $108.5400) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Trend Pattern   Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative   Growing Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing   $4.89 (4.9% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.53% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force   0.9% (StdDev 2.53%)
Daily Moving Force   0.7%
Correction Force   Weak (0%)
Trend   0.68%
Latest Price   $108.4800(2.2%)
Forecasted Low Price   107.83(-0.6%)
Forecasted High Price   110.87(2.2%)
Direction of Next Movement   Higher(1.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction   3.1% (105.17)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal   6.4%
Hourly Trend 0.2% [$107.52(0.22), $106.57(1.23)]
Complacency   10
Intraday Reversal Probability   N/A.
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0.4% a week (85% probability)
ARKG(89%)    SKYY(83%)    IWF(75%)    VUG(74%)    IWO(73%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will advance at least 0.1% in a week (27% probabilities).
VXX(-39%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-23%)    TBT(-12%)    BJK(-11%)
Explanation The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan   Not Available

Valuation to SPY 1.7

Relative Volatility 2.6 (options are extremely expensive)

Market Trend Strength   1.4% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV 1.4 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

Next Day Open Price   $109.07(0.54%)
Support Level   $99.89
5 Day Moving Average   $106.04(2.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $103.23(5.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.89(8.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   30.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Option Sentiment

$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 4.9% (three month std-dev: 2.53% one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. ARKK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201225

i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low
1	Nov_25_2020	99.89 (0.5%)	103.23 (0.8%)	106.04 (1.4%)	106.57	107.52(0%)	108.48(2.2%)	105.92-108.54	1.6(1.8)	1.4	0.7%	0.9%	0%	0.68%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.6%)	10	63	1.9	1.7	1.4	Growing Uptrend	110.5(1.86%)	106.89-111.4	2.13	0%-30.5%
2	Nov_24_2020	99.18 (0.4%)	102.23 (0.7%)	104.55 (1%)	105.34	107.3(0%)	106.14(-1.19%)	105.91-109.39	1.4(1.6)	-1.5	1.4%	0.9%	0%	0.56%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.9%)	9	66	1.8	1	1.5	Uptrend	107.24(1.04%)	104.83-108.28	3.06	-1.2%-27.7%
3	Nov_23_2020	98.76 (0.3%)	101.12 (0.7%)	103.57 (1.6%)	103.75	105.62(0%)	107.42(2.4%)	105.6-108.28	1.9(2.1)	-0.3	1.8%	0.9%	0%	0.48%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(2.7%)	8	74	1.7	2.1	1.3	Uptrend	108.33(0.85%)	105.72-109.46	3.72	0%-29.3%
4	Nov_20_2020	98.21 (0.2%)	100.08 (0.7%)	101.99 (1.1%)	102.2	103.37(0%)	104.9(1.59%)	103.17-105.5	1.7(1.8)	0	1.3%	0.4%	0%	0.42%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.7%)	8	75	1.5	1.7	1.4	Uptrend	105.48(0.55%)	103.63-106.26	2	0%-26.2%
5	Nov_19_2020	97.87 (0.1%)	99.71 (0.9%)	100.89 (0.9%)	100.95	101.89(0%)	103.26(2.22%)	101.24-103.87	1.5(1.6)	0	0.8%	0.3%	0%	0.46%	Growing Uptrend	Range(1.1%)	8	74	1.4	0.6	1.7	N/A	102.85(-0.4%)	100.1-105.1	2.27	-1.5%-24.3%

6	Nov_18_2020	97.6 (-0.1%)	99.41 (1%)	100.02 (0.5%)	100.27	101.03(0%)	101.02(-0.21%)	100.56-102.42	1(1.1)	0	0.7%	0.3%	0%	0.44%	Growing Uptrend	Range(1.1%)	8	58	1.3	-0.1	1.9	N/A	101.08(0.06%)	99.1-102.7	2.45	-3.6%-21.6%
7	Nov_17_2020	97.43 (-0.2%)	99.06 (1%)	99.56 (1.3%)	99.76	100.02(0%)	101.23(1.7%)	99.64-101.25	1(1.2)	0	0.8%	0.6%	0%	0.42%	Growing Uptrend	Higher(1.4%)	8	60	1.3	-0.5	1.8	Uptrend Reversal	102.25(1.01%)	101.39-102.83	2.46	-3.4%-21.8%
8	Nov_16_2020	97.37 (-0.3%)	98.29 (0.6%)	98.26 (0.4%)	98.98	99.51(0%)	99.54(0.14%)	98.2-99.99	0.5(0.7)	0	0.4%	0.6%	0%	0.22%	Growing Uptrend	Range(1%)	7	51	1.3	-1.3	1.9	Uptrend Reversal	100.58(1.04%)	99.7-101.15	2.06	-5%-19.8%
9	Nov_13_2020	97.46 (-0.4%)	97.47 (0.4%)	97.84 (-0.6%)	97.98	99.49(0%)	99.4(0.52%)	98.7-100.68	0.4(0.6)	0	0.3%	0.5%	0%	0.1%	Growing Uptrend	Range(0.8%)	6	53	1.3	-1	1.1	Uptrend Reversal	100.48(1.09%)	99.57-101.09	1.83	-5.2%-19.6%
10	Nov_12_2020	97.59 (-0.3%)	96.65 (0.2%)	98.38 (-0.4%)	98.39	98.44(0%)	98.89(0.16%)	98.32-100.4	0.3(0.4)	0	0.8%	0.2%	0%	0.04%	Growing Uptrend	Range(1%)	5	49	1.4	-0.7	0.7	N/A	98.53(-0.36%)	98.1-98.89	2.49	-5.7%-19%

11	Nov_11_2020	97.76 (-0.2%)	96.33 (0.2%)	98.76 (0.2%)	98.91	96.47(0%)	98.73(4.19%)	96.01-98.78	0.2(0.3)	0	-1.1%	0.2%	0%	0.06%	Uptrend Consolidation	Range(-0.9%)	4	50	1.5	-1.1	1.3	Uptrend Reversal	99.92(1.21%)	98.92-100.59	4.15	-5.8%-21%
12	Nov_10_2020	97.97 (-0.2%)	95.92 (0.1%)	98.52 (0.3%)	99.62	98.34(0%)	94.76(-2.74%)	91.8-97.62	-0.7(-0.8)	0	-1.6%	-0.4%	0%	0%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.6%)	4	46	1.6	-2.2	0.7	Range Bound	95.28(0.55%)	95.91-94.76	4.42	-9.6%-16.2%
13	Nov_9_2020	98.46 (-0.1%)	96.29 (0%)	98.2 (1.4%)	99.97	101.35(0%)	97.43(-4.56%)	97.38-105.5	-0.3(-0.3)	0	1.2%	-0%	0%	-0.02%	N/A Downtrend Pop	Higher(3.5%)	4	45	1.6	-1.4	-0.4	Rebound	98.31(0.9%)	97.63-98.6	4.65	-7.1%-19.4%
14	Nov_6_2020	98.46 (-0.1%)	96.24 (-0.3%)	96.87 (2.4%)	97.77	100.9(0%)	102.08(1.25%)	99.61-102.63	0.8(0.8)	0	2.4%	0.3%	0%	-0.2%	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(2.7%)	3	48	1.7	0.7	1.9	N/A	101.2(-0.86%)	100.52-101.77	3.24	-2.6%-25.1%
15	Nov_5_2020	98.69 (-0.2%)	95.85 (-0.7%)	94.62 (1%)	95.22	98.59(0%)	100.82(3.39%)	99.21-100.98	0.5(0.5)	0	2.8%	0.2%	0%	-0.44%	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(3%)	2	45	1.6	0.2	0.9	Downtrend Consolidation	100(-0.81%)	100.01-100.01	4.25	-3.8%-23.6%

16	Nov_4_2020	98.65 (-0.2%)	95.85 (-1%)	93.65 (0.6%)	93.29	94.64(0%)	97.51(4.67%)	95.22-98.32	-0.3(-0.3)	0	1.7%	-0%	0%	-0.58%	Uptrend Reversal	Higher(1.7%)	1	39	1.6	-0.3	0.5	After Bottom	96.93(-0.59%)	95.16-98.39	4.37	-7%-19.5%
17	Nov_3_2020	98.75 (-0.1%)	95.54 (-1.2%)	93.1 (-1.2%)	93.04	91.85(0%)	93.16(2.6%)	90.95-93.78	-1.2(-1.4)	0	-0.5%	-0.6%	0%	-0.7%	Downtrend Pop	Range(-1.1%)	0	27	1.7	-1.1	-1.6	Downtrend	91.83(-1.43%)	90.89-94.01	2.81	-11.1%-14.2%
18	Nov_2_2020	98.92 (-0%)	96.29 (-1.2%)	94.19 (-1.3%)	93.77	91.95(0%)	90.8(0.01%)	89.39-92.52	-1.9(-2.1)	0	-2.1%	-0.9%	0%	-0.64%	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-3%)	0	18	1.6	-1.4	-2.5	Downtrend	89.83(-1.07%)	88.85-92.13	3.89	-13.4%-11.3%
19	Oct_30_2020	99.24 (0.1%)	97.44 (-1%)	95.47 (-1.7%)	95.55	94.23(0%)	90.79(-5.42%)	89.95-95.15	-2(-2.3)	0	-1.5%	-0.9%	0%	-0.52%	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.3%)	0	28	1.6	-0.9	-2.2	Correction	86.66(-4.55%)	86.01-89.25	4.22	-13.4%-13%
20	Oct_29_2020	99.4 (0.3%)	98.67 (-0.9%)	97.15 (-0.5%)	96.81	95.6(0%)	95.99(1.31%)	94.93-96.46	-0.9(-1)	0	-1%	-0.5%	0%	-0.36%	Growing Downtrend	Lower(-1.5%)	0	33	1.5	0.7	-2.4	Correction	92.9(-3.22%)	92.37-95	2.08	-8.4%-19.9%

21	Oct_28_2020	99.38 (0.4%)	99.35 (-0.7%)	97.67 (-0.7%)	97.55	96.86(0%)	94.75(-3.93%)	94.35-96.37	-1.1(-1.3)	0	-1%	-0.6%	0%	-0.28%	Growing Downtrend	Range(0.4%)	0	38	1.6	0.6	-2.4	Correction	92.09(-2.81%)	91.59-94.05	2.52	-9.6%-19.4%
22	Oct_27_2020	99.3 (0.5%)	100.27 (-0.5%)	98.31 (-0.5%)	98.34	98.02(0%)	98.63(1.47%)	97.64-98.99	-0.1(-0.2)	0	-0.3%	-0.3%	0%	-0.16%	Growing Downtrend	Range(-0.6%)	1	51	1.7	0.8	-0.6	Correction	96.43(-2.23%)	95.98-98.25	1.41	-5.9%-24.3%
23	Oct_26_2020	99.05 (0.5%)	100.87 (-0.2%)	98.75 (-1%)	98.56	98.24(0%)	97.2(-2%)	95.86-99.84	-0.4(-0.5)	0	-0.7%	-0.3%	0%	-0%	Growing Downtrend	Range(0%)	2	58	1.8	0.2	-0.2	Correction	95.59(-1.66%)	95.18-97.2	2.34	-7.3%-22.5%
24	Oct_23_2020	98.82 (0.5%)	101.41 (0%)	99.76 (-0.7%)	99.6	98.67(0%)	99.18(0.61%)	97.41-99.18	0.1(0.1)	0	-0.6%	-0.1%	0%	0.18%	Downtrend Reversal	Range(-0.7%)	3	63	1.9	0.3	0.8	Uptrend Consolidation	99.12(-0.06%)	98.96-99.62	1.88	-5.4%-25.8%
25	Oct_22_2020	98.44 (0.5%)	101.79 (0.3%)	100.47 (-0.8%)	100.72	98.88(0%)	98.58(0.64%)	96.86-99.84	0(0)	0	-1.4%	-0%	0%	0.38%	Downtrend Reversal	Lower(-1.4%)	4	69	2.1	0.2	0.6	Uptrend Consolidation	98.83(0.25%)	98.58-99.57	2.44	-6%-25.1%
i	Date	ema20(Trend)	ema10(Trend)	ema5(Trend)	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	ActualPriceRange	BBV	Hourly BBV	Daily Moving Force	Weekly Trend Force	Reversal Force	Trend	Trend Pattern	Next Direction	C	RSI	Scale	RV	VIXCD	Trend-Narrative	NextDay PriceTarget	NextDayPriceRange	Volume millions	To High-Low

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