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     Wed. Nov. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(ARK Innovation ETF)

ARKK latest price $108.4800 (2.2%) ($105.9200 - $108.5400) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Growing Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $4.89 (4.9% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.53% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.9% (StdDev 2.53%)
Daily Moving Force  0.7%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.68%
Latest Price  $108.4800(2.2%)
Forecasted Low Price  107.83(-0.6%)
Forecasted High Price  110.87(2.2%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(1.6%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  3.1% (105.17)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  6.4%
Hourly Trend   0.2% [$107.52(0.22), $106.57(1.23)]
Complacency  10
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  ARKK advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  ARKK advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0.4% a week (85% probability)
  ARKG(89%)    SKYY(83%)    IWF(75%)    VUG(74%)    IWO(73%)  
Factors Impacting ARKK price  ARKK will advance at least 0.1% in a week (27% probabilities).
  VXX(-39%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-23%)    TBT(-12%)    BJK(-11%)  
Explanation   The rally is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.7
 
Relative Volatility   2.6 (options are extremely expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  1.4% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV   1.4 ()
Intraday Trend   1.9%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $109.07(0.54%)
Support Level  $99.89
5 Day Moving Average  $106.04(2.3%)
10 Day Moving Average  $103.23(5.09%)
20 Day Moving Average  $99.89(8.6%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  30.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 4.9% (three month std-dev: 2.53%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. ARKK price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201225

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Nov_25_202099.89 (0.5%)103.23 (0.8%)106.04 (1.4%) 106.57 107.52(0%)108.48(2.2%)105.92-108.541.6(1.8)1.4 0.7%0.9%0%0.68% Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.6%)10631.91.71.4Growing Uptrend 110.5(1.86%)106.89-111.42.13   0%-30.5% 
2Nov_24_202099.18 (0.4%)102.23 (0.7%)104.55 (1%) 105.34 107.3(0%)106.14(-1.19%)105.91-109.391.4(1.6)-1.5 1.4%0.9%0%0.56% Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.9%)9661.811.5Uptrend 107.24(1.04%)104.83-108.283.06   -1.2%-27.7% 
3Nov_23_202098.76 (0.3%)101.12 (0.7%)103.57 (1.6%) 103.75 105.62(0%)107.42(2.4%)105.6-108.281.9(2.1)-0.3 1.8%0.9%0%0.48% Growing Uptrend  Higher(2.7%)8741.72.11.3Uptrend 108.33(0.85%)105.72-109.463.72   0%-29.3% 
4Nov_20_202098.21 (0.2%)100.08 (0.7%)101.99 (1.1%) 102.2 103.37(0%)104.9(1.59%)103.17-105.51.7(1.8)0 1.3%0.4%0%0.42% Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.7%)8751.51.71.4Uptrend 105.48(0.55%)103.63-106.262   0%-26.2% 
5Nov_19_202097.87 (0.1%)99.71 (0.9%)100.89 (0.9%) 100.95 101.89(0%)103.26(2.22%)101.24-103.871.5(1.6)0 0.8%0.3%0%0.46% Growing Uptrend  Range(1.1%)8741.40.61.7N/A 102.85(-0.4%)100.1-105.12.27   -1.5%-24.3% 
 
6Nov_18_202097.6 (-0.1%)99.41 (1%)100.02 (0.5%) 100.27 101.03(0%)101.02(-0.21%)100.56-102.421(1.1)0 0.7%0.3%0%0.44% Growing Uptrend  Range(1.1%)8581.3-0.11.9N/A 101.08(0.06%)99.1-102.72.45   -3.6%-21.6% 
7Nov_17_202097.43 (-0.2%)99.06 (1%)99.56 (1.3%) 99.76 100.02(0%)101.23(1.7%)99.64-101.251(1.2)0 0.8%0.6%0%0.42% Growing Uptrend  Higher(1.4%)8601.3-0.51.8Uptrend Reversal 102.25(1.01%)101.39-102.832.46   -3.4%-21.8% 
8Nov_16_202097.37 (-0.3%)98.29 (0.6%)98.26 (0.4%) 98.98 99.51(0%)99.54(0.14%)98.2-99.990.5(0.7)0 0.4%0.6%0%0.22% Growing Uptrend  Range(1%)7511.3-1.31.9Uptrend Reversal 100.58(1.04%)99.7-101.152.06   -5%-19.8% 
9Nov_13_202097.46 (-0.4%)97.47 (0.4%)97.84 (-0.6%) 97.98 99.49(0%)99.4(0.52%)98.7-100.680.4(0.6)0 0.3%0.5%0%0.1% Growing Uptrend  Range(0.8%)6531.3-11.1Uptrend Reversal 100.48(1.09%)99.57-101.091.83   -5.2%-19.6% 
10Nov_12_202097.59 (-0.3%)96.65 (0.2%)98.38 (-0.4%) 98.39 98.44(0%)98.89(0.16%)98.32-100.40.3(0.4)0 0.8%0.2%0%0.04% Growing Uptrend  Range(1%)5491.4-0.70.7N/A 98.53(-0.36%)98.1-98.892.49   -5.7%-19% 
 
11Nov_11_202097.76 (-0.2%)96.33 (0.2%)98.76 (0.2%) 98.91 96.47(0%)98.73(4.19%)96.01-98.780.2(0.3)0 -1.1%0.2%0%0.06% Uptrend Consolidation  Range(-0.9%)4501.5-1.11.3Uptrend Reversal 99.92(1.21%)98.92-100.594.15   -5.8%-21% 
12Nov_10_202097.97 (-0.2%)95.92 (0.1%)98.52 (0.3%) 99.62 98.34(0%)94.76(-2.74%)91.8-97.62-0.7(-0.8)0 -1.6%-0.4%0%0% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.6%)4461.6-2.20.7Range Bound 95.28(0.55%)95.91-94.764.42   -9.6%-16.2% 
13Nov_9_202098.46 (-0.1%)96.29 (0%)98.2 (1.4%) 99.97 101.35(0%)97.43(-4.56%)97.38-105.5-0.3(-0.3)0 1.2%-0%0%-0.02% N/A Downtrend Pop Higher(3.5%)4451.6-1.4-0.4Rebound 98.31(0.9%)97.63-98.64.65   -7.1%-19.4% 
14Nov_6_202098.46 (-0.1%)96.24 (-0.3%)96.87 (2.4%) 97.77 100.9(0%)102.08(1.25%)99.61-102.630.8(0.8)0 2.4%0.3%0%-0.2% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(2.7%)3481.70.71.9N/A 101.2(-0.86%)100.52-101.773.24   -2.6%-25.1% 
15Nov_5_202098.69 (-0.2%)95.85 (-0.7%)94.62 (1%) 95.22 98.59(0%)100.82(3.39%)99.21-100.980.5(0.5)0 2.8%0.2%0%-0.44% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(3%)2451.60.20.9Downtrend Consolidation 100(-0.81%)100.01-100.014.25   -3.8%-23.6% 
 
16Nov_4_202098.65 (-0.2%)95.85 (-1%)93.65 (0.6%) 93.29 94.64(0%)97.51(4.67%)95.22-98.32-0.3(-0.3)0 1.7%-0%0%-0.58% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(1.7%)1391.6-0.30.5After Bottom 96.93(-0.59%)95.16-98.394.37   -7%-19.5% 
17Nov_3_202098.75 (-0.1%)95.54 (-1.2%)93.1 (-1.2%) 93.04 91.85(0%)93.16(2.6%)90.95-93.78-1.2(-1.4)0 -0.5%-0.6%0%-0.7% Downtrend Pop  Range(-1.1%)0271.7-1.1-1.6Downtrend 91.83(-1.43%)90.89-94.012.81   -11.1%-14.2% 
18Nov_2_202098.92 (-0%)96.29 (-1.2%)94.19 (-1.3%) 93.77 91.95(0%)90.8(0.01%)89.39-92.52-1.9(-2.1)0 -2.1%-0.9%0%-0.64% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-3%)0181.6-1.4-2.5Downtrend 89.83(-1.07%)88.85-92.133.89   -13.4%-11.3% 
19Oct_30_202099.24 (0.1%)97.44 (-1%)95.47 (-1.7%) 95.55 94.23(0%)90.79(-5.42%)89.95-95.15-2(-2.3)0 -1.5%-0.9%0%-0.52% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.3%)0281.6-0.9-2.2Correction 86.66(-4.55%)86.01-89.254.22   -13.4%-13% 
20Oct_29_202099.4 (0.3%)98.67 (-0.9%)97.15 (-0.5%) 96.81 95.6(0%)95.99(1.31%)94.93-96.46-0.9(-1)0 -1%-0.5%0%-0.36% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-1.5%)0331.50.7-2.4Correction 92.9(-3.22%)92.37-952.08   -8.4%-19.9% 
 
21Oct_28_202099.38 (0.4%)99.35 (-0.7%)97.67 (-0.7%) 97.55 96.86(0%)94.75(-3.93%)94.35-96.37-1.1(-1.3)0 -1%-0.6%0%-0.28% Growing Downtrend  Range(0.4%)0381.60.6-2.4Correction 92.09(-2.81%)91.59-94.052.52   -9.6%-19.4% 
22Oct_27_202099.3 (0.5%)100.27 (-0.5%)98.31 (-0.5%) 98.34 98.02(0%)98.63(1.47%)97.64-98.99-0.1(-0.2)0 -0.3%-0.3%0%-0.16% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.6%)1511.70.8-0.6Correction 96.43(-2.23%)95.98-98.251.41   -5.9%-24.3% 
23Oct_26_202099.05 (0.5%)100.87 (-0.2%)98.75 (-1%) 98.56 98.24(0%)97.2(-2%)95.86-99.84-0.4(-0.5)0 -0.7%-0.3%0%-0% Growing Downtrend  Range(0%)2581.80.2-0.2Correction 95.59(-1.66%)95.18-97.22.34   -7.3%-22.5% 
24Oct_23_202098.82 (0.5%)101.41 (0%)99.76 (-0.7%) 99.6 98.67(0%)99.18(0.61%)97.41-99.180.1(0.1)0 -0.6%-0.1%0%0.18% Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.7%)3631.90.30.8Uptrend Consolidation 99.12(-0.06%)98.96-99.621.88   -5.4%-25.8% 
25Oct_22_202098.44 (0.5%)101.79 (0.3%)100.47 (-0.8%) 100.72 98.88(0%)98.58(0.64%)96.86-99.840(0)0 -1.4%-0%0%0.38% Downtrend Reversal  Lower(-1.4%)4692.10.20.6Uptrend Consolidation 98.83(0.25%)98.58-99.572.44   -6%-25.1% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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