Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 23, 2018

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $41.5700 (1.27%) ($41.0500 - $41.6000) on Tue. Jan. 23, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $41.5700(1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    IBUY(78%)    BOTZ(77%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-15%)    VXX(-4%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.43(2.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.93(4.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.16(6.15%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 2.81% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 41 Average positive next day return: 1.55%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.86%(44%) Sample size 41 Average positive next three day return: 2.68%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.94%(54%) Sample size 41 Average positive next weekly return: 3.05%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.55%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2018	36.1	39.16	39.93	40.43	40.44	41.02	41.57(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	69	100	56	107	0.63	65%	0.17	43.4	1.36%	0	2.2	78	0.1
2	Jan_22_2018	36.04	38.96	39.68	39.88	40	40.3	41.05(2.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	46	60	33	86	0.82	65%	0.19	35	1.37%	0	2.2	83	0.9
3	Jan_19_2018	35.97	38.82	39.51	39.61	39.68	39.85	39.94(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	40	9	85	0.29	64%	0.17	33.9	1.34%	0	1.3	74	1
4	Jan_18_2018	35.91	38.76	39.41	39.53	39.64	39.7	39.87(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	20	12	96	0.26	64%	0.2	39.7	1.34%	0	1.3	72	0
5	Jan_17_2018	35.84	38.75	39.29	39.44	39.57	39.5	39.73(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-0	3	93	0.26	64%	0.2	55.7	1.35%	0	1.2	62	0

6	Jan_16_2018	35.77	38.69	39.18	39.35	39.45	39.58	38.82(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	21	30	-5	98	0.45	62%	0.31	65.2	1.32%	0	0.2	61	0
7	Jan_12_2018	35.66	38.63	39.03	39.43	39.43	39.65	39.71(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	40	19	112	0.35	66%	0.25	69.3	1.27%	0	1.3	69	0
8	Jan_11_2018	35.57	38.52	38.81	39.39	39.22	39.33	39.51(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	10	11	99	0.3	66%	0.23	74.6	1.27%	0	1.2	60	0
9	Jan_10_2018	35.49	38.42	38.62	39.26	39.17	39.2	39.41(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-0	11	75	0.21	66%	0.23	78.7	1.27%	0	1.2	51	0
10	Jan_9_2018	35.41	38.3	38.5	39.13	39.11	39.1	39.31(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-0	7	46	0.25	66%	0.25	77	1.28%	0	1.3	43	0

11	Jan_8_2018	35.32	38.18	38.34	38.98	39.01	39.14	39.23(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	30	24	36	0.42	66%	0.26	67.4	1.28%	0	1.3	54	0
12	Jan_5_2018	35.23	38.07	38.18	38.55	38.76	39.12	39.5(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	80	38	14	0.36	67%	0.26	50.7	1.27%	0	1.7	61	0
13	Jan_4_2018	35.14	37.92	38.18	38.14	38.26	38.89	38.87(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	28	120	39	-6	0.36	65%	0.2	36.4	1.27%	0	1.2	58	0
14	Jan_3_2018	35.07	37.8	38.05	37.88	37.89	38.4	38.74(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	29	100	41	-7	0.67	65%	0.23	19.8	1.27%	0	1.1	58	0
15	Jan_2_2018	34.99	37.69	38.14	37.78	37.59	37.64	38.58(4.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10	16	9	0.42	65%	0.32	13.3	1.27%	0	1	61	0

16	Dec_29_2017	34.88	37.63	38.12	37.62	37.63	37.37	37.08(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-50	-13	6	0.22	62%	0.2	10.9	1.18%	0	-0.6	55	0
17	Dec_28_2017	34.81	37.64	38.19	37.75	37.64	37.54	37.44(-0.29%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-16	-30	-27	17	0.22	62%	0.2	17.7	1.17%	0	-0.2	55	0
18	Dec_27_2017	34.74	37.62	38.22	37.93	37.8	37.89	37.55(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	10	-14	50	0.22	63%	0.2	26.2	1.17%	0	-0.1	60	0
19	Dec_26_2017	34.67	37.63	38.24	38.24	38.06	37.74	38.26(1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	6	-70	-22	88	0.19	66%	0.35	46.3	1.16%	0	0.7	66	0
20	Dec_22_2017	34.55	37.58	38.12	38.57	38.38	37.72	37.75(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-9	-140	-49	110	0.34	63%	0.2	69.2	1.16%	0	0.2	59	0

21	Dec_21_2017	34.48	37.54	38.04	38.71	38.91	38.39	37.75(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	11	-80	-27	124	0.37	63%	0.23	82.1	1.17%	0	0.2	53	0
22	Dec_20_2017	34.4	37.49	37.98	38.68	38.94	39.04	38.33(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	31	40	-4	134	0.45	65%	0.26	92.2	1.15%	0	1	58	0
23	Dec_19_2017	34.31	37.4	37.81	38.53	38.69	39.44	39.09(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	76	150	53	145	0.61	69%	0.29	97.9	1.12%	0	1.9	65	0
24	Dec_18_2017	34.21	37.23	37.53	38.22	38.25	38.85	39.94(3.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	94	110	85	120	0.92	73%	0.29	98.2	1.09%	0	3.2	64	0
25	Dec_15_2017	34.11	37	37.19	37.63	37.72	37.94	38.45(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	50	42	52	0.39	69%		106.2	0.99%	0	2.2	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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