Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $29.4300 (1.1%) ($29.0500 - $29.4300) on Tue. Jul. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $29.4300(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    BOTZ(77%)    IBUY(77%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.3(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.01(1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.25(0.62%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   21.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.32%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.27%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.2%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.44%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.2%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.33%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2017	26.28	29.25	29.01	29.3		29.23	29.43(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-20	2	14	0.05	63%	0.23	29.2	1.36%	0	0.4	52	0
2	Jul_17_2017	26.22	29.24	28.94	29.2	29.29	29.3	29.11(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	10	7	-7	0.04	63%	0.23	33.3	1.35%	0	-0.3	41	0
3	Jul_14_2017	26.16	29.21	28.92	29.08	29.17	29.34	29.32(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	50	14	-33	0.03	63%	0.27	23.6	1.35%	0	0.2	38	0
4	Jul_13_2017	26.09	29.17	28.91	28.93	28.99	29.29	29.26(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	80	23	-53	0.06	63%	0.23	3.7	1.36%	0	0.2	41	0
5	Jul_12_2017	26.03	29.13	28.95	28.76	28.81	29.01	29.39(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	50	20	-71	0.05	62%	0.23	-12.8	1.35%	0	0.5	45	0

6	Jul_11_2017	25.97	29.1	28.92	28.68	28.64	28.69	28.9(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	10	3	-88	0.03	61%	0.12	-22.1	1.35%	0	-0.3	46	0
7	Jul_10_2017	25.94	29.07	29.01	28.66	28.67	28.61	28.54(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10	-5	-87	0.06	61%	0.23	-29.1	1.35%	0	-0.9	43	0
8	Jul_7_2017	25.88	29.09	29.18	28.74	28.75	28.58	28.58(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-40	-15	-62	0.11	61%	0.23	-28.6	1.35%	0	-0.9	53	0
9	Jul_6_2017	25.82	29.15	29.32	28.87	28.88	28.74	28.4(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-30	-26	-34	0.05	61%	0.19	-16.5	1.35%	0	-1.3	54	0
10	Jul_5_2017	25.77	29.21	29.47	29.15	29.09	28.93	28.99(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-40	-10	14	0.05	62%	0.35	4.5	1.31%	0	-0.4	58	0

11	Jul_3_2017	25.68	29.23	29.51	29.2	29.25	29.03	28.8(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-11	-50	-22	23	0.03	62%	0.23	17.2	1.32%	0	-0.8	53	0
12	Jun_30_2017	25.62	29.25	29.57	29.41	29.38	29.24	28.95(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-9	-40	-30	54	0.12	62%	0.23	36.2	1.31%	0	-0.5	59	0
13	Jun_29_2017	25.56	29.26	29.55	29.68	29.68	29.47	29.23(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-50	-14	83	0.07	62%	0.27	55.3	1.3%	0	-0.1	55	0
14	Jun_28_2017	25.49	29.25	29.48	29.68	29.86	29.52	29.79(1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-80	-17	81	0.09	64%	0.31	65.3	1.27%	0	0.9	49	0
15	Jun_27_2017	25.41	29.18	29.35	29.84	29.97	29.89	29.21(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10	-14	70	0.09	63%	0.24	70.8	1.25%	0	0	48	0

16	Jun_26_2017	25.35	29.13	29.31	29.86	29.99	30.2	29.85(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	32	60	16	78	0.11	66%	0.32	76.4	1.21%	0	1.1	53	0
17	Jun_23_2017	25.27	29.05	29.15	29.76	29.79	30.06	30.3(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	70	39	65	0.09	69%	0.32	82	1.19%	0	2	60	0
18	Jun_22_2017	25.19	28.96	29	29.4	29.52	29.79	30.05(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	80	41	26	0.16	69%	0.32	89.6	1.19%	0	1.9	58	0
19	Jun_21_2017	25.11	28.87	28.94	29.07	29.14	29.51	29.77(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	100	36	4	0.07	65%	0.32	97.8	1.19%	0	1.7	58	0
20	Jun_20_2017	25.03	28.76	28.9	28.8	28.77	29.26	29.35(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	22	120	31	-6	0.09	64%	0.28	81	1.25%	0	1.1	62	0

21	Jun_19_2017	24.96	28.66	28.89	28.68	28.58	28.76	29.32(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	30	34	2	0.06	64%	0.32	71.3	1.25%	0	1.1	63	0
22	Jun_16_2017	24.88	28.55	28.87	28.47	28.45	28.28	28.53(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-40	-7	-21	0.02	61%	0.24	56.7	1.21%	0	-0	56	0
23	Jun_15_2017	24.82	28.47	28.94	28.53	28.42	28.39	28.36(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-20	-32	-16	0.05	61%	0.28	54.9	1.21%	0	-0.1	49	0
24	Jun_14_2017	24.75	28.37	28.94	28.8	28.7	28.61	28.46(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-30	-11	30	0.05	61%	0.24	53.2	1.21%	0	0.1	54	0
25	Jun_13_2017	24.69	28.31	29.01	29	28.95	28.44	28.71(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-130	-29	58	0.06	61%		61.8	1.2%	0	0.4	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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