Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $29.7700 (1.43%) ($29.4100 - $29.7800) on Wed. Jun. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $29.7700(1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Rotation from value to growth for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    BOTZ(77%)    IBUY(77%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    IPO(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.07(2.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.94(2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.87(3.12%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   29.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 41 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(54%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(46%) Sample size 41 Average positive next three day return: 2.22%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.42%(54%) Sample size 41 Average positive next weekly return: 2.11%(41%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.03%(59%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170721

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_21_2017	25.11	28.87	28.94	29.07	29.14	29.51	29.77(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	100	36	4	0.07	65%	0.32	97.8	1.19%	0	1.7	58	0
2	Jun_20_2017	25.03	28.76	28.9	28.8	28.77	29.26	29.35(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	22	120	31	-6	0.09	64%	0.28	81	1.25%	0	1.1	62	0
3	Jun_19_2017	24.96	28.66	28.89	28.68	28.58	28.76	29.32(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	30	34	2	0.06	64%	0.32	71.3	1.25%	0	1.1	63	0
4	Jun_16_2017	24.88	28.55	28.87	28.47	28.45	28.28	28.53(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-40	-7	-21	0.02	61%	0.24	56.7	1.21%	0	-0	56	0
5	Jun_15_2017	24.82	28.47	28.94	28.53	28.42	28.39	28.36(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-20	-32	-16	0.05	61%	0.28	54.9	1.21%	0	-0.1	49	0

6	Jun_14_2017	24.75	28.37	28.94	28.8	28.7	28.61	28.46(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-30	-11	30	0.05	61%	0.24	53.2	1.21%	0	0.1	54	0
7	Jun_13_2017	24.69	28.31	29.01	29	28.95	28.44	28.71(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-130	-29	58	0.06	61%	0.28	61.8	1.2%	0	0.4	65	0
8	Jun_12_2017	24.62	28.23	28.96	29.14	29.18	28.8	28.27(-1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-13	-90	-44	80	0.07	60%	0.29	70.1	1.2%	0	0	64	0
9	Jun_9_2017	24.55	28.15	28.98	29.33	29.18	29.46	28.83(-3.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	30	20	-8	142	0.13	61%	0.29	76.9	1.16%	0	0.6	74	0
10	Jun_8_2017	24.48	28.05	28.96	29.4	29.42	29.56	29.75(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	68	40	22	206	0.06	66%	0.33	82.3	1.09%	0	1.6	88	0

11	Jun_7_2017	24.4	27.88	28.81	29.24	29.28	29.38	29.45(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	77	30	24	234	0.04	66%	0.33	85.3	1.09%	0	1.5	90	0
12	Jun_6_2017	24.32	27.72	28.61	29.02	29.09	29.27	29.41(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	77	50	28	224	0.13	66%	0.21	84.3	1.09%	0	1.6	71	0
13	Jun_5_2017	24.27	27.53	28.41	28.76	28.82	29.18	29.21(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	77	90	32	210	0.05	66%	0.29	77.8	1.09%	0	1.6	71	0
14	Jun_2_2017	24.2	27.36	28.18	28.57	28.56	28.91	29.16(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	73	80	32	196	0.07	66%	0.33	77.5	1.1%	0	1.8	72	0
15	Jun_1_2017	24.12	27.18	27.96	28.46	28.39	28.47	28.96(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	10	21	189	0.11	67%	0.29	76.4	1.11%	0	1.8	72	0

16	May_31_2017	24.05	27.01	27.68	28.32	28.37	28.21	28.35(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	49	-30	9	168	0.13	64%	0.29	77.5	1.1%	0	1.4	70	0
17	May_30_2017	23.98	26.87	27.55	28.14	28.29	28.31	28.14(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	46	20	6	164	0.08	64%	0.38	77.4	1.1%	0	1.4	71	0
18	May_26_2017	23.89	26.75	27.42	27.98	28.09	28.52	28.25(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	120	36	185	0.11	67%	0.29	78	1.11%	0	1.6	76	0
19	May_25_2017	23.82	26.59	27.27	27.72	27.8	28.27	28.61(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	94	130	62	188	0.12	69%	0.34	78.1	1.1%	0	2.2	79	0
20	May_24_2017	23.74	26.43	27.05	27.37	27.4	27.66	28.26(2.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	82	70	53	167	0.1	68%	0.34	82.8	1.11%	0	2.3	79	0

21	May_23_2017	23.66	26.28	26.87	26.94	27.06	27.33	27.44(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	80	21	131	0.04	65%	0.17	81.7	1.06%	0	1.6	74	0
22	May_22_2017	23.62	26.16	26.75	26.87	26.84	27.13	27.35(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	70	23	137	0.09	65%	0.3	83.7	1.07%	0	1.6	71	0
23	May_19_2017	23.55	26.03	26.59	26.79	26.77	26.79	26.93(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	0	15	129	0.05	64%	0.3	83.9	1.05%	0	1.2	68	0
24	May_18_2017	23.48	25.9	26.47	26.75	26.73	26.55	26.88(2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	28	-50	-6	130	0.04	64%	0.3	84.1	1.06%	0	1.3	73	0
25	May_17_2017	23.41	25.79	26.34	26.68	26.75	26.76	26.12(-3.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	21	10	-14	127	0.05	60%		84.8	1.01%	0	0.4	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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