Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $29.3500 (0.1%) ($29.2800 - $29.6600) on Tue. Jun. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $29.3500(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    BOTZ(77%)    IBUY(77%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    IPO(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.8(1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.9(1.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.76(2.05%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   27.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 1.95% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.62%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.4%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.4%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.74%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.73%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2017	25.03	28.76	28.9	28.8	28.77	29.26	29.35(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	22	120	31	-6	0.09	64%	0.28	81	1.25%	0	1.1	62	INF
2	Jun_19_2017	24.96	28.66	28.89	28.68	28.58	28.76	29.32(2.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	30	34	2	0.06	64%	0.32	71.3	1.25%	0	1.1	63	INF
3	Jun_16_2017	24.88	28.55	28.87	28.47	28.45	28.28	28.53(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-40	-7	-21	0.02	61%	0.24	56.7	1.21%	0	-0	56	INF
4	Jun_15_2017	24.82	28.47	28.94	28.53	28.42	28.39	28.36(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-20	-32	-16	0.05	61%	0.28	54.9	1.21%	0	-0.1	49	INF
5	Jun_14_2017	24.75	28.37	28.94	28.8	28.7	28.61	28.46(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-30	-11	30	0.05	61%	0.24	53.2	1.21%	0	0.1	54	INF

6	Jun_13_2017	24.69	28.31	29.01	29	28.95	28.44	28.71(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-130	-29	58	0.06	61%	0.28	61.8	1.2%	0	0.4	65	INF
7	Jun_12_2017	24.62	28.23	28.96	29.14	29.18	28.8	28.27(-1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-13	-90	-44	80	0.07	60%	0.29	70.1	1.2%	0	0	64	INF
8	Jun_9_2017	24.55	28.15	28.98	29.33	29.18	29.46	28.83(-3.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	30	20	-8	142	0.13	61%	0.29	76.9	1.16%	0	0.6	74	INF
9	Jun_8_2017	24.48	28.05	28.96	29.4	29.42	29.56	29.75(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	68	40	22	206	0.06	66%	0.33	82.3	1.09%	0	1.6	88	INF
10	Jun_7_2017	24.4	27.88	28.81	29.24	29.28	29.38	29.45(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	77	30	24	234	0.04	66%	0.33	85.3	1.09%	0	1.5	90	INF

11	Jun_6_2017	24.32	27.72	28.61	29.02	29.09	29.27	29.41(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	77	50	28	224	0.13	66%	0.21	84.3	1.09%	0	1.6	71	INF
12	Jun_5_2017	24.27	27.53	28.41	28.76	28.82	29.18	29.21(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	77	90	32	210	0.05	66%	0.29	77.8	1.09%	0	1.6	71	INF
13	Jun_2_2017	24.2	27.36	28.18	28.57	28.56	28.91	29.16(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	73	80	32	196	0.07	66%	0.33	77.5	1.1%	0	1.8	72	INF
14	Jun_1_2017	24.12	27.18	27.96	28.46	28.39	28.47	28.96(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	63	10	21	189	0.11	67%	0.29	76.4	1.11%	0	1.8	72	INF
15	May_31_2017	24.05	27.01	27.68	28.32	28.37	28.21	28.35(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	49	-30	9	168	0.13	64%	0.29	77.5	1.1%	0	1.4	70	INF

16	May_30_2017	23.98	26.87	27.55	28.14	28.29	28.31	28.14(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	46	20	6	164	0.08	64%	0.38	77.4	1.1%	0	1.4	71	INF
17	May_26_2017	23.89	26.75	27.42	27.98	28.09	28.52	28.25(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	120	36	185	0.11	67%	0.29	78	1.11%	0	1.6	76	INF
18	May_25_2017	23.82	26.59	27.27	27.72	27.8	28.27	28.61(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	94	130	62	188	0.12	69%	0.34	78.1	1.1%	0	2.2	79	INF
19	May_24_2017	23.74	26.43	27.05	27.37	27.4	27.66	28.26(2.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	82	70	53	167	0.1	68%	0.34	82.8	1.11%	0	2.3	79	INF
20	May_23_2017	23.66	26.28	26.87	26.94	27.06	27.33	27.44(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	80	21	131	0.04	65%	0.17	81.7	1.06%	0	1.6	74	INF

21	May_22_2017	23.62	26.16	26.75	26.87	26.84	27.13	27.35(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	70	23	137	0.09	65%	0.3	83.7	1.07%	0	1.6	71	INF
22	May_19_2017	23.55	26.03	26.59	26.79	26.77	26.79	26.93(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	0	15	129	0.05	64%	0.3	83.9	1.05%	0	1.2	68	INF
23	May_18_2017	23.48	25.9	26.47	26.75	26.73	26.55	26.88(2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	28	-50	-6	130	0.04	64%	0.3	84.1	1.06%	0	1.3	73	INF
24	May_17_2017	23.41	25.79	26.34	26.68	26.75	26.76	26.12(-3.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	21	10	-14	127	0.05	60%	0.26	84.8	1.01%	0	0.4	59	INF
25	May_16_2017	23.35	25.7	26.3	26.76	26.74	26.92	27.07(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	67	40	28	184	0.03	68%		83.9	0.89%	0	1.6	76	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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