Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 31, 2017

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $28.3500 (0.75%) ($27.8400 - $28.3700) on Wed. May. 31, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $28.3500(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    BOTZ(77%)    IBUY(77%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    IPO(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.32(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.68(2.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.01(4.96%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   23.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 3.55% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.79%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.16%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.54%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -2.32%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.33%(30%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.3%(70%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_31_2017	24.05	27.01	27.68	28.32	28.37	28.21	28.35(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	49	-30	9	168	0.13	64%	0.29	77.5	1.1%	0	1.4	70	INF
2	May_30_2017	23.98	26.87	27.55	28.14	28.29	28.31	28.14(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	46	20	6	164	0.08	64%	0.38	77.4	1.1%	0	1.4	71	INF
3	May_26_2017	23.89	26.75	27.42	27.98	28.09	28.52	28.25(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	73	120	36	185	0.11	67%	0.29	78	1.11%	0	1.6	76	INF
4	May_25_2017	23.82	26.59	27.27	27.72	27.8	28.27	28.61(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	94	130	62	188	0.12	69%	0.34	78.1	1.1%	0	2.2	79	INF
5	May_24_2017	23.74	26.43	27.05	27.37	27.4	27.66	28.26(2.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	82	70	53	167	0.1	68%	0.34	82.8	1.11%	0	2.3	79	INF

6	May_23_2017	23.66	26.28	26.87	26.94	27.06	27.33	27.44(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	80	21	131	0.04	65%	0.17	81.7	1.06%	0	1.6	74	INF
7	May_22_2017	23.62	26.16	26.75	26.87	26.84	27.13	27.35(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	70	23	137	0.09	65%	0.3	83.7	1.07%	0	1.6	71	INF
8	May_19_2017	23.55	26.03	26.59	26.79	26.77	26.79	26.93(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	0	15	129	0.05	64%	0.3	83.9	1.05%	0	1.2	68	INF
9	May_18_2017	23.48	25.9	26.47	26.75	26.73	26.55	26.88(2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	28	-50	-6	130	0.04	64%	0.3	84.1	1.06%	0	1.3	73	INF
10	May_17_2017	23.41	25.79	26.34	26.68	26.75	26.76	26.12(-3.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	21	10	-14	127	0.05	60%	0.26	84.8	1.01%	0	0.4	59	INF

11	May_16_2017	23.35	25.7	26.3	26.76	26.74	26.92	27.07(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	67	40	28	184	0.03	68%	0.13	83.9	0.89%	0	1.6	76	INF
12	May_15_2017	23.32	25.55	26.15	26.6	26.61	26.74	26.95(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	40	38	183	0.05	68%	0.3	80.8	0.9%	0	1.6	78	INF
13	May_12_2017	23.25	25.41	26.02	26.35	26.41	26.56	26.71(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	50	29	172	0.03	67%	0.3	77.8	0.89%	0	1.6	79	INF
14	May_11_2017	23.18	25.26	25.87	26.16	26.2	26.47	26.57(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	80	38	172	0.04	67%	0.26	72.2	0.89%	0	1.6	81	INF
15	May_10_2017	23.12	25.12	25.76	25.95	25.98	26.25	26.52(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	73	80	41	168	0.02	67%	0.26	67.2	0.9%	0	1.8	76	INF

16	May_9_2017	23.06	25	25.64	25.76	25.78	25.92	26.27(2.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	60	40	26	163	0.03	68%	0.26	65	0.9%	0	1.7	76	INF
17	May_8_2017	23	24.88	25.51	25.64	25.65	25.72	25.69(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	20	5	166	0.02	65%	0.22	64.9	0.88%	0	1.1	74	INF
18	May_5_2017	22.95	24.8	25.42	25.65	25.63	25.63	25.76(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	-0	14	192	0.01	65%	0.22	65.7	0.88%	0	1.4	77	INF
19	May_4_2017	22.9	24.7	25.28	25.53	25.61	25.59	25.5(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	45	0	-2	185	0.01	64%	0.22	61.8	0.88%	0	1.1	77	INF
20	May_3_2017	22.85	24.61	25.19	25.55	25.55	25.59	25.59(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	20	6	214	0.01	64%	0.26	62.3	0.88%	0	1.4	79	INF

21	May_2_2017	22.79	24.52	25.07	25.49	25.54	25.63	25.68(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	75	30	24	226	0.02	64%	0.22	65.9	0.88%	0	1.7	74	INF
22	May_1_2017	22.74	24.43	24.92	25.36	25.42	25.48	25.71(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	20	24	213	0.04	64%	0.26	70.5	0.88%	0	2.1	73	INF
23	Apr_28_2017	22.68	24.34	24.74	25.16	25.27	25.46	25.17(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	68	70	26	193	0.01	60%	0.22	76.1	0.85%	0	1.5	71	INF
24	Apr_27_2017	22.63	24.27	24.61	24.99	25.13	25.37	25.58(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	83	80	48	187	0.03	65%	0.27	79.4	0.82%	0	2.5	82	INF
25	Apr_26_2017	22.57	24.18	24.43	24.78	24.86	25.09	25.33(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	70	70	40	159	0.01	63%		91.6	0.81%	0	2.7	81	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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