Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 24, 2017

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $24.6800 (1.4%) ($24.5300 - $25.0000) on Mon. Apr. 24, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $24.6800(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    IBUY(77%)    SKYY(77%)    BOTZ(76%)    IWO(75%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    IPO(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.41(1.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.19(2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24(2.83%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 0.78%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.42%(33%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 1.56%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.69%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 1.77%(39%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.25%(61%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170524

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_24_2017	22.47	24	24.19	24.41	24.52	24.63	24.68(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	40	31	101	0.01	57%	0.22	102.4	0.8%	0	2.3	62	0
2	Apr_21_2017	22.42	23.93	24.12	24.27	24.35	24.47	24.34(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	19	75	0.01	53%	0.22	79.2	0.78%	0	1.3	58	0
3	Apr_20_2017	22.37	23.86	24.06	24.17	24.22	24.41	24.55(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	60	33	62	0.01	56%	0.22	53.7	0.78%	0	2	66	0
4	Apr_19_2017	22.32	23.79	23.97	24.02	24.05	24.24	24.3(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	60	23	29	0.02	53%	0.18	35.4	0.77%	0	1.5	63	0
5	Apr_18_2017	22.28	23.73	23.93	23.97	23.96	24.02	24.16(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	20	12	25	0.01	53%	0.13	26.3	0.77%	0	1.2	66	0

6	Apr_17_2017	22.25	23.7	23.93	23.96	23.92	23.87	23.99(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-20	-3	35	0.01	47%	0.14	29.7	0.77%	0	0.8	67	0
7	Apr_13_2017	22.22	23.7	23.93	23.95	23.92	23.89	23.85(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-20	-2	57	0.01	47%	0.14	38.1	0.79%	0	0.5	70	0
8	Apr_12_2017	22.19	23.68	23.93	23.93	23.98	23.96	23.82(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	0	-2	78	0	47%	0.14	46.8	0.8%	0	0.4	72	0
9	Apr_11_2017	22.16	23.66	23.91	23.9	23.94	24.07	24.03(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	40	7	102	0.01	50%	0.18	49.6	0.79%	0	1.1	79	0
10	Apr_10_2017	22.12	23.63	23.87	23.88	23.9	24.01	24.09(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	30	16	119	0	55%	0.14	50	0.8%	0	1.4	80	0

11	Apr_7_2017	22.09	23.6	23.8	23.88	23.84	23.81	23.94(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	25	-10	-1	102	0.01	55%	0.18	53.7	0.82%	0	1.1	54	0
12	Apr_6_2017	22.05	23.56	23.73	23.87	23.89	23.79	23.77(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-30	-9	86	0.01	55%	0.14	52.9	0.82%	0	0.6	50	0
13	Apr_5_2017	22.02	23.52	23.66	23.89	23.93	23.88	23.66(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10	-9	71	0.01	55%	0.14	51.4	0.83%	0	0.4	48	0
14	Apr_4_2017	21.99	23.5	23.6	23.91	23.95	23.88	23.93(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	20	9	69	0	70%	0.14	50.7	0.82%	0	1.3	57	0
15	Apr_3_2017	21.96	23.47	23.51	23.84	23.89	23.99	24.03(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	40	19	46	0.01	73%	0.18	48.5	0.98%	0	1.8	64	0

16	Mar_31_2017	21.92	23.43	23.47	23.72	23.77	23.9	23.96(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	40	23	36	0	73%	0.18	41.9	1.01%	0	1.8	62	0
17	Mar_30_2017	21.88	23.39	23.44	23.56	23.61	23.8	23.85(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	60	26	26	0	73%	0.18	34.8	1.01%	0	1.7	65	0
18	Mar_29_2017	21.84	23.35	23.42	23.4	23.44	23.65	23.79(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	70	29	21	0.01	73%	0.18	25.2	1.02%	0	1.8	68	0
19	Mar_28_2017	21.8	23.34	23.39	23.25	23.26	23.42	23.59(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	19	50	23	5	0	66%	0.18	15.2	1.02%	0	1.1	57	0
20	Mar_27_2017	21.76	23.31	23.39	23.14	23.11	23.23	23.43(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	30	1	-15	0.01	69%	0.18	0	1.06%	0	0.5	55	0

21	Mar_24_2017	21.72	23.3	23.37	23.19	23.15	23.1	23.16(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-20	-7	-8	0	67%	0.18	8.7	1.08%	0	-0.6	48	0
22	Mar_23_2017	21.68	23.3	23.37	23.3	23.27	23	23.03(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-90	-25	-1	0	67%	0.18	18.7	1.09%	0	-1	48	0
23	Mar_22_2017	21.64	23.29	23.38	23.44	23.45	23.2	23.02(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-19	-70	-29	11	0.01	63%	0.19	30.8	1.09%	0	-1.1	46	0
24	Mar_21_2017	21.6	23.3	23.41	23.55	23.64	23.54	23.04(-2.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-3	-20	-13	27	0.01	59%	0.14	44.7	1.1%	0	-1.1	40	0
25	Mar_20_2017	21.57	23.31	23.43	23.62	23.65	23.7	23.7(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	20	5	48	0	67%		56.3	1.06%	0	1.6	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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