Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $21.8600 (0.05%) ($21.8600 - $21.9100) on Fri. Sep. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $21.8600(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    IBUY(77%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)    IWF(72%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-5%)    GDXJ(-1%)    SHY(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.56(1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.27(2.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.1(3.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 0.8%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(44%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 2.1%(61%) Average negative next three day return: -1.27%(39%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 2.62%(78%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.84%(22%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2016	20.05	21.1	21.27	21.56	21.61	21.84	21.86(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	80	24	68	0	56%	0.2	33.7	1.28%	0	2.1	70	0
2	Sep_22_2016	20.01	21.05	21.18	21.43	21.48	21.55	21.85(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	110	30	113	99	0	56%	0.2	22.3	1.28%	0	2.4	72	0
3	Sep_21_2016	19.97	21.05	21.18	21.3	17.36	21.38	21.25(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	1070	8	56	0	52%	0.1	15	1.25%	0	0.8	63	0
4	Sep_20_2016	19.95	21.02	21.11	21.19	17.3	21.42	21.45(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	304	1120	343	187	0	52%	0.15	3.8	1.24%	0	1.5	60	0
5	Sep_19_2016	19.92	21	21.08	21.02	17.12	13.34	21.38(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	-2100	17	39	0	52%	0.1	-14.5	1.24%	0	1.5	55	0

6	Sep_16_2016	19.9	21	21.01	20.94	16.92	13.19	21.2(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-257	-2120	-308	-105	0	52%	0.1	-26.1	1.24%	0	0.9	55	0
7	Sep_15_2016	19.88	21	20.94	20.9	16.91	20.9	21.2(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	1080	10	7	0	52%	0.1	-28.6	1.24%	0	0.9	54	0
8	Sep_14_2016	19.86	20.98	20.88	20.91	16.88	20.66	20.72(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.8	259	990	307	115	0	49%	0.05	-23.5	1.21%	0	-1	40	0
9	Sep_13_2016	19.85	21.01	20.9	21.03	17.02	12.92	20.61(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-2260	-21	-10	0	47%	0.05	-3.4	1.21%	0	-1.6	38	0
10	Sep_12_2016	19.84	21.01	20.94	21.14	17.19	13.11	20.98(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-359	-2220	-425	-160	0	49%	0.05	14.9	1.21%	0	-0.2	46	0

11	Sep_9_2016	19.83	21.04	20.94	21.08	21.17	21.13	20.98(-1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	3	-0	4	-0	0	47%	0.05	14.9	1.21%	0	-0.2	48	0
12	Sep_8_2016	19.82	21.05	20.93	20.98	21.09	21.27	21.28(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	10	80	18	-15	0	49%	0.1	11.4	1.21%	0	1	49	0
13	Sep_7_2016	19.8	21.03	20.93	20.84	20.89	21.22	21.28(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	9	120	22	-30	0	49%	0.1	5.5	1.21%	0	1.1	51	0
14	Sep_6_2016	19.78	21.01	20.91	20.76	20.76	20.91	21.17(2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	3	50	19	-44	0	52%	0.05	8.3	1.21%	0	0.7	45	0
15	Sep_2_2016	19.77	21	20.9	20.73	20.68	20.56	20.69(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-50	-8	-61	0	48%	0.05	10.5	1.19%	0	-1.4	39	0

16	Sep_1_2016	19.76	21.01	20.94	20.77	20.78	20.61	20.47(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-28	-60	-17	-62	0	48%	0.05	20.2	1.19%	0	-2.3	32	0
17	Aug_31_2016	19.75	21.03	21.02	20.86	20.88	20.79	20.61(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-30	-18	-50	0	48%	0.05	31.2	1.19%	0	-1.8	38	0
18	Aug_30_2016	19.74	21.02	21.08	20.99	20.93	20.95	20.84(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-0	-10	-25	0	48%	0.05	38.3	1.18%	0	-0.7	50	0
19	Aug_29_2016	19.73	21	21.13	21.07	21.05	20.97	21.04(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-30	-2	-2	0	48%	0.1	44.4	1.19%	0	0.1	56	0
20	Aug_26_2016	19.71	20.98	21.14	21.1	21.11	20.92	20.89(-0.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-10	-60	-14	3	0	48%	0.05	53.6	1.18%	0	-0.3	52	0

21	Aug_25_2016	19.7	20.96	21.17	21.14	21.18	21.13	20.92(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-10	-13	16	0	48%	0.1	62.9	1.18%	0	-0.1	56	0
22	Aug_24_2016	19.68	20.95	21.2	21.2	21.21	21.31	21.24(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	30	5	42	0	55%	0.1	71.6	1.17%	0	0.9	74	0
23	Aug_23_2016	19.66	20.92	21.17	21.18	21.19	21.23	21.27(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	16	10	5	50	0	55%	0.05	70.6	1.22%	0	1.1	81	0
24	Aug_22_2016	19.65	20.87	21.13	21.19	21.15	21.11	21.17(0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-20	-4	64	0	55%	0.15	69	1.22%	0	0.9	83	0
25	Aug_19_2016	19.62	20.82	21.11	21.2	21.21	21.16	21.08(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	97	-20	93	110	0	53%		61.8	1.23%	0	0.7	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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