Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $20.3000 (0.05%) ($20.2200 - $20.3000) on Fri. Jul. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $20.3000(0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)    IWF(72%)    QQQ(72%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-4%)    IPO(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.33(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.94(1.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.59(3.62%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 2.91% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.13%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.66%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.29%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -0.75%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.7%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2016	19	19.59	19.94	20.33	20.39	20.28	20.3(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-30	-0	161	0	44%	0.16	45.4	1.41%	0	1.2	67	INF
2	Jul_14_2016	18.97	19.55	19.84	20.27	20.36	20.42	20.29(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	45	30	8	154	0	44%	0.21	43.1	1.42%	0	1.3	56	INF
3	Jul_13_2016	18.93	19.5	19.73	20.14	20.29	20.49	20.48(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	90	30	144	0	44%	0.26	34.1	1.42%	0	1.9	60	INF
4	Jul_12_2016	18.88	19.43	19.56	19.88	20.06	20.29	20.46(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	47	110	30	97	0	44%	0.21	16.1	1.44%	0	2.2	58	INF
5	Jul_11_2016	18.84	19.37	19.34	19.64	19.78	20.09	20.11(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	130	23	38	0	42%	0.21	-4.8	1.42%	0	1.9	53	INF

6	Jul_8_2016	18.8	19.34	19.22	19.51	19.55	19.83	20.03(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	110	27	12	0	42%	0.21	-15.2	1.42%	0	1.9	54	INF
7	Jul_7_2016	18.76	19.31	19.16	19.36	19.4	19.46	19.62(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	30	15	-7	0	38%	0.16	-30.1	1.4%	0	0.9	52	INF
8	Jul_6_2016	18.73	19.32	19.13	19.27	19.31	19.27	19.19(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-1	-10	6	-23	0	34%	0.21	-30.6	1.37%	0	-0.4	47	INF
9	Jul_5_2016	18.69	19.36	19.17	19.17	19.27	19.35	19.25(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	9	40	19	-23	0	34%	0.21	-31.6	1.37%	0	-0.3	51	INF
10	Jul_1_2016	18.65	19.36	19.2	18.97	19.13	19.34	19.45(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	100	19	-41	0	34%	0.27	-37.8	1.38%	0	0.2	52	INF

11	Jun_30_2016	18.6	19.39	19.21	18.87	18.85	19.2	19.29(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	130	6	-60	0	34%	0.27	-40.3	1.38%	0	-0.3	45	INF
12	Jun_29_2016	18.55	19.41	19.22	18.94	18.81	18.92	19.16(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	20	8	-57	0	40%	0.22	-28.6	1.37%	0	-0.6	43	INF
13	Jun_28_2016	18.51	19.43	19.24	19	18.91	18.5	18.7(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-170	-24	-73	0	36%	0.22	-18.9	1.39%	0	-1.9	31	INF
14	Jun_27_2016	18.47	19.48	19.3	19.17	19.1	18.7	18.26(-3.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-58	-160	-51	-79	0.01	31%	0.16	6.5	1.36%	0	-3.4	22	INF
15	Jun_24_2016	18.44	19.54	19.42	19.45	19.41	19.32	18.96(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-28	-40	-21	-47	0.01	31%	0.11	63.4	1.29%	0	-2.4	28	INF

16	Jun_23_2016	18.42	19.55	19.42	19.58	19.57	19.5	19.62(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-30	4	-21	0.01	35%	0.22	117.8	1.28%	0	0.3	51	INF
17	Jun_22_2016	18.38	19.53	19.49	19.54	19.57	19.49	19.44(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-20	-5	-32	0	35%	0.16	119.5	1.28%	0	-0.4	42	INF
18	Jun_21_2016	18.35	19.51	19.53	19.53	19.56	19.64	19.58(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	30	7	-21	0	35%	0.11	115.9	1.28%	0	0.3	52	INF
19	Jun_20_2016	18.33	19.45	19.56	19.46	19.52	19.63	19.67(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	50	14	-18	0.01	35%	0.16	83.8	1.28%	0	0.6	55	INF
20	Jun_17_2016	18.3	19.38	19.56	19.46	19.42	19.48	19.57(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	30	3	-19	0	40%	0.16	63.8	1.31%	0	0.4	59	INF

21	Jun_16_2016	18.27	19.31	19.58	19.39	19.4	19.42	19.42(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	10	-3	-14	0	40%	0.16	54.3	1.31%	0	0.2	58	INF
22	Jun_15_2016	18.24	19.26	19.62	19.44	19.44	19.36	19.4(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-30	-10	3	0	36%	0.11	53.2	1.31%	0	0.2	61	INF
23	Jun_14_2016	18.22	19.2	19.63	19.54	19.5	19.38	19.24(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-50	-19	24	0.01	41%	0.11	52.9	1.37%	0	0.1	62	INF
24	Jun_13_2016	18.2	19.16	19.66	19.68	19.65	19.52	19.31(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-50	-15	66	0.01	41%	0.11	57.2	1.4%	0	0.2	73	INF
25	Jun_10_2016	18.18	19.1	19.67	19.8	19.78	19.63	19.6(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-60	-6	110	0	43%		60.7	1.39%	0	0.7	82	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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