Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARKK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $19.9200 (-0.05%) ($19.8900 - $19.9200) on Wed. Jun. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.39% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $19.9200(-0.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(79%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(75%)    IWF(72%)    QQQ(72%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -0.695% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-5%)    IBUY(-4%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.695% (StdDev 1.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.82(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.59(1.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.96(5.06%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 3.74% (three month std-dev: 1.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 1.27%(61%) Average negative next day return: -1.16%(39%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 2.5%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -1.3%(30%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 2.29%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.99%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2016	18.13	18.96	19.59	19.82	19.81	19.93	19.92(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	40	9	168	0	44%	0.17	60.4	1.39%	0	1.4	81	0
2	Jun_7_2016	18.1	18.88	19.49	19.74	19.76	19.88	19.93(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	50	15	178	0.01	44%	0.11	58.3	1.41%	0	1.5	82	0
3	Jun_6_2016	18.08	18.79	19.34	19.65	19.65	19.7	19.92(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	20	13	173	0	44%	0.11	53.4	1.41%	0	1.8	77	0
4	Jun_3_2016	18.06	18.69	19.17	19.52	19.57	19.64	19.57(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	30	7	160	0	49%	0.11	43.6	1.42%	0	1.4	77	0
5	Jun_2_2016	18.04	18.62	19.02	19.45	19.51	19.61	19.74(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	50	16	158	0	49%	0.11	31.5	1.44%	0	1.9	82	0

6	Jun_1_2016	18.02	18.54	18.87	19.32	19.38	19.5	19.52(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	50	15	144	0	52%	0.06	17.5	1.44%	0	1.9	69	0
7	May_31_2016	18.01	18.49	18.73	19.2	19.25	19.4	19.49(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	60	24	129	0	49%	0.06	3.9	1.45%	0	2.1	65	0
8	May_27_2016	18	18.46	18.6	18.98	19.12	19.26	19.29(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	70	26	103	0.01	52%	0	-16.7	1.46%	0	2	65	0
9	May_26_2016	18	18.43	18.48	18.76	18.88	19.1	19.22(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	100	27	81	0	55%	-0.06	-37.3	1.47%	0	1.8	69	0
10	May_25_2016	18.01	18.44	18.35	18.51	18.64	18.98	19.09(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	150	27	45	0.01	55%	-0.06	-51.5	1.51%	0	1.4	63	0

11	May_24_2016	18.02	18.45	18.26	18.35	18.37	18.66	18.92(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	110	26	27	0	55%	-0.06	-58.3	1.51%	0	0.9	60	0
12	May_23_2016	18.03	18.47	18.21	18.2	18.21	18.29	18.38(0.99%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	7	30	10	-3	0	52%	0	-59.7	1.47%	0	-0.2	43	0
13	May_20_2016	18.03	18.53	18.2	18.18	18.15	18.09	18.2(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-30	-0	-23	0	54%	-0.11	-57.8	1.49%	0	-0.5	36	0
14	May_19_2016	18.05	18.6	18.17	18.16	18.17	18.13	17.97(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10	-3	-46	0	54%	-0.17	-55.9	1.49%	0	-1	35	0
15	May_18_2016	18.08	18.69	18.17	18.15	18.21	18.13	18.28(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	10	0	-75	0	57%	-0.17	-58.3	1.47%	0	-0.6	30	0

16	May_17_2016	18.11	18.75	18.19	18.16	18.17	18.22	18.15(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-29	20	-5	-102	0	61%	-0.11	-59.7	1.47%	0	-0.9	30	0
17	May_16_2016	18.13	18.81	18.24	18.16	18.21	18.2	18.28(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10	2	-106	0	64%	0	-57.6	1.53%	0	-0.8	30	0
18	May_13_2016	18.13	18.89	18.3	18.22	18.25	18.12	18.11(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-40	-2	-116	0	64%	-0.17	-54.4	1.6%	0	-1.1	27	0
19	May_12_2016	18.16	18.97	18.38	18.19	18.29	18.22	17.95(-1.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-40	-10	-8	-137	0	64%	-0.22	-53.3	1.61%	0	-1.5	23	0
20	May_11_2016	18.2	19.07	18.53	18.23	18.28	18.38	18.31(-0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	50	2	-135	0	67%	-0.11	-51.2	1.59%	0	-1.2	25	0

21	May_10_2016	18.22	19.15	18.64	18.21	18.24	18.37	18.44(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-33	50	3	-139	0	67%	-0.16	-51.8	1.61%	0	-1.1	31	0
22	May_9_2016	18.25	19.21	18.75	18.27	18.18	18.18	18.3(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-41	-10	-9	-137	0	67%	-0.16	-51.9	1.61%	0	-1.5	33	0
23	May_6_2016	18.28	19.26	18.88	18.41	18.29	18.11	17.94(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-45	-90	-18	-125	0	59%	-0.16	-49.5	1.69%	0	-2.3	21	0
24	May_5_2016	18.31	19.34	19.06	18.59	18.52	18.18	18.16(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-51	-140	-30	-113	0	52%	-0.16	-46.6	1.7%	0	-2.4	24	0
25	May_4_2016	18.34	19.42	19.22	18.88	18.71	18.46	18.21(-2.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-43	-120	-30	-83	0	52%		-33.2	1.88%	0	-3	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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