Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARKK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 20, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Innovation ETF)
ARKK latest price $17.9900 (0.84%) ($17.8400 - $17.9900) on Wed. Mar. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.05% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $17.9900(0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   ARKK advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(78%)    SKYY(77%)    IWO(74%)    IWF(72%)    QQQ(72%)
Factors Impacting ARKK price   ARKK will decline at least -1.025% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-5%)    XME(-1%)    IPO(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.025% (StdDev 2.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.99(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.13(-0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.47(2.98%)
To recent high   -15.4%
To recent low   21.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKK price fluctuates within 4.87% (three month std-dev: 2.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.55%(43%) Average negative next day return: -2.97%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.04%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -3.32%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.84%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.46%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2016	18.52	17.47	18.13		18.05	17.92	17.99(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-40	-7	58	0	37%	0	79.3	2.05%	0	0.6	72	0
2	Mar_15_2016	18.52	17.39	18.11	17.99	18.09	17.92	17.84(-3.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	50	-5	79	0	39%	-0.05	80.9	2.06%	0	0.5	72	0
3	Mar_14_2016	18.53	17.28	18.08	18.07	18.11	18.17	18.4(2.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	30	4	112	0	39%	0	86.4	2.04%	0	1.2	82	0
4	Mar_11_2016	18.53	17.11	17.96	18.09	18.06	18	17.93(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-30	-9	121	0	36%	-0.05	78.5	2.05%	0	0.8	75	0
5	Mar_10_2016	18.54	16.96	17.87	18.21	18.17	18.04	17.81(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	33	-60	-7	154	0	38%	-0.05	68.8	2.04%	0	0.8	77	0

6	Mar_9_2016	18.55	16.83	17.76	18.28	18.26	18.11	17.98(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	43	-60	-1	174	0	37%	-0.05	62.8	2.06%	0	1	81	0
7	Mar_8_2016	18.56	16.67	17.61	18.23	18.24	18.29	18.21(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	20	7	183	0	37%	0	54.1	2.06%	0	1.3	83	0
8	Mar_7_2016	18.56	16.5	17.43	18.08	18.12	18.41	18.51(-0.16%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.4	67	120	24	194	0	37%	0	42.6	2.05%	0	1.7	92	0
9	Mar_4_2016	18.56	16.34	17.22	17.8	17.89	18.18	18.54(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	72	130	30	198	0	37%	0	33.4	2.06%	0	2	94	0
10	Mar_3_2016	18.56	16.23	16.97	17.49	17.56	17.83	18.14(2.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	69	120	27	196	0	33%	-0.05	29.3	2.04%	0	1.9	94	0

11	Mar_2_2016	18.57	16.13	16.76	17.17	17.33	17.61	17.73(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	140	27	186	0	31%	-0.05	20	2.03%	0	1.8	85	0
12	Mar_1_2016	18.58	16.05	16.59	16.91	17.03	17.29	17.48(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	64	130	23	185	0	31%	-0.11	9.6	2.02%	0	1.8	85	0
13	Feb_29_2016	18.6	16.01	16.4	16.68	16.77	17.06	17.1(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	140	18	180	0	29%	-0.11	-1.3	1.98%	0	1.5	84	0
14	Feb_26_2016	18.62	15.98	16.19	16.55	16.57	16.78	17.02(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	90	21	161	0	31%	-0.16	-11.1	2%	0	1.4	67	0
15	Feb_25_2016	18.65	15.95	15.97	16.37	16.43	16.47	16.53(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	30	10	111	0	29%	-0.16	-23.8	1.97%	0	0.8	48	0

16	Feb_24_2016	18.68	15.96	15.82	16.28	16.32	16.36	16.44(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	20	5	77	0	29%	-0.21	-28.1	1.98%	0	0.7	49	0
17	Feb_23_2016	18.72	15.98	15.66	16.21	16.24	16.39	16.3(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	70	13	47	0	29%	-0.16	-32.2	1.97%	0	0.4	47	0
18	Feb_22_2016	18.75	16.02	15.51	16.06	16.18	16.29	16.47(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	21	70	28	-0	0	29%	-0.21	-35.3	1.97%	0	0.6	43	0
19	Feb_19_2016	18.79	16.06	15.4	15.76	15.95	16.09	16.1(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	100	22	-58	0	27%	-0.27	-45	1.96%	0	0	42	0
20	Feb_18_2016	18.84	16.11	15.43	15.5	15.64	16.07	16.07(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	220	26	-85	0	27%	-0.21	-55.1	1.97%	0	-0	45	0

21	Feb_17_2016	18.88	16.16	15.44	15.29	15.31	15.81	16.13(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	230	35	-111	0	27%	-0.26	-66.6	1.99%	0	-0	41	0
22	Feb_16_2016	18.93	16.22	15.45	15.04	15.05	15.22	15.55(4.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	80	24	-158	0	22%	-0.32	-74.2	1.93%	0	-0.7	33	0
23	Feb_12_2016	18.99	16.31	15.57	14.89	15.05	14.81	14.95(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-59	-30	-10	-204	0	17%	-0.37	-84.6	1.85%	0	-1.4	23	0
24	Feb_11_2016	19.06	16.46	15.75	15	14.88	14.89	14.78(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-77	-20	-30	-216	0	17%	-0.42	-86.1	1.85%	0	-1.7	19	0
25	Feb_10_2016	19.14	16.62	15.92	15.35	15.1	14.96	15.05(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-64	-110	-22	-190	0	17%		-89.8	1.86%	0	-1.7	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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