Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Genomic Revolution ETF)
ARKG latest price $19.2200 (0.73%) ($19.0300 - $19.2600) on Fri. Aug. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $19.2200(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKG advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKG advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(79%)    XBI(78%)    IBB(75%)    IWO(72%)    SKYY(68%)
Factors Impacting ARKG price   ARKG will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-5%)    IBUY(-5%)    TLT(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.99(1.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.79(2.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.41(4.4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKG price fluctuates within 2.61% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 32 Average positive next day return: 1.67%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(53%) Sample size 32 Average positive next three day return: 3.5%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -1.78%(53%) Sample size 32 Average positive next weekly return: 3.76%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.78%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2016	17.68	18.41	18.79	18.99	18.95	19.1	19.22(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	50	9	93	0	58%	0.17	90	1.64%	0	1.7	68	0
2	Aug_4_2016	17.65	18.34	18.69	18.89	18.92	19.02	19.08(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	40	11	90	0	54%	0.17	93.9	1.64%	0	1.5	68	0
3	Aug_3_2016	17.62	18.26	18.6	18.86	18.81	18.8	18.97(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10	2	90	0	54%	0.11	94.6	1.72%	0	1.4	69	0
4	Aug_2_2016	17.6	18.16	18.52	18.81	18.8	18.8	18.63(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	10	2	94	0	53%	0.11	94.9	1.72%	0	0.9	66	0
5	Aug_1_2016	17.58	18.09	18.44	18.77	18.83	18.83	19.03(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	10	18	93	0	55%	0.11	101.7	1.7%	0	1.8	63	0

6	Jul_29_2016	17.56	17.99	18.34	18.56	18.67	18.78	18.73(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	60	8	71	0	52%	0.06	96.2	1.7%	0	1.4	63	0
7	Jul_28_2016	17.55	17.89	18.26	18.45	18.51	18.83	18.95(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	130	20	67	0	52%	0.11	84.1	1.74%	0	2	70	0
8	Jul_27_2016	17.53	17.79	18.14	18.3	18.33	18.57	18.72(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	100	20	57	0	52%	0.11	73.8	1.74%	0	1.8	71	0
9	Jul_26_2016	17.51	17.67	18.04	18.19	18.2	18.2	18.4(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	0	11	55	0	50%	0	60.6	1.75%	0	1.3	74	0
10	Jul_25_2016	17.51	17.56	18.01	18.08	18.15	18.1	18(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10	-3	57	0	48%	0	42.1	1.73%	0	0.7	69	0

11	Jul_22_2016	17.51	17.5	18	18.09	18.1	18.21	18.2(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	40	5	79	0	48%	0.06	40.6	1.72%	0	1.1	74	0
12	Jul_21_2016	17.5	17.45	17.95	18.03	18.07	18.2	18.18(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	60	12	94	0	48%	0.06	42.6	1.72%	0	1.2	76	0
13	Jul_20_2016	17.49	17.4	17.89	17.95	18	18	18.19(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	10	10	98	0	48%	0.06	42.6	1.73%	0	1.4	77	0
14	Jul_19_2016	17.48	17.34	17.78	17.86	17.88	17.94	17.82(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	30	-6	97	0	42%	0.11	41.2	1.71%	0	0.9	79	0
15	Jul_18_2016	17.46	17.31	17.71	17.92	17.92	17.99	18.05(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	30	5	125	0	42%	0.06	48.1	1.77%	0	1.4	86	0

16	Jul_15_2016	17.45	17.25	17.61	17.9	17.94	17.83	17.93(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-40	2	131	0	42%	0.11	44.9	1.77%	0	1.3	68	0
17	Jul_14_2016	17.43	17.19	17.51	17.86	17.93	17.85	17.74(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-20	-3	121	0	42%	0.11	37.5	1.77%	0	1.1	55	0
18	Jul_13_2016	17.41	17.16	17.41	17.81	17.94	18.05	17.75(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	60	12	114	0	45%	0.06	26.1	1.77%	0	1.2	55	0
19	Jul_12_2016	17.4	17.11	17.28	17.67	17.82	18.01	18.14(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	100	23	95	0	47%	0.06	4.4	1.77%	0	2.2	65	0
20	Jul_11_2016	17.39	17.05	17.09	17.46	17.55	17.84	17.93(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	130	21	51	0	47%	0.12	-23.4	1.77%	0	2.2	56	0

21	Jul_8_2016	17.37	17.02	16.96	17.28	17.37	17.63	17.76(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	120	26	32	0	47%	0.06	-49.5	1.78%	0	2.1	60	0
22	Jul_7_2016	17.36	17.01	16.9	17.1	17.16	17.26	17.47(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	50	16	15	0	47%	0.06	-72.3	1.77%	0	1.3	57	0
23	Jul_6_2016	17.35	17.04	16.87	16.97	16.98	17.11	17.04(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	60	11	2	0	44%	0.12	-67.5	1.74%	0	0	49	0
24	Jul_5_2016	17.33	17.09	16.86	16.84	16.92	17.06	17.08(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	15	70	22	-7	0	44%	0.12	-61.1	1.75%	0	-0	54	0
25	Jul_1_2016	17.31	17.15	16.87	16.65	16.73	16.86	17.07(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	70	9	-29	0	47%		-54.7	1.79%	0	-0.1	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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