Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Genomic Revolution ETF)
ARKG latest price $18.7300 (-1.16%) ($18.3800 - $18.7300) on Fri. Jul. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $18.7300(-1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKG advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKK(79%)    XBI(78%)    IBB(75%)    IWO(72%)    SKYY(68%)
Factors Impacting ARKG price   ARKG will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    IBUY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.56(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.34(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.99(4.11%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKG price fluctuates within 2.89% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(30%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.62%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.65%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 2.06%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.46%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160829

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_29_2016	17.56	17.99	18.34	18.56	18.67	18.78	18.73(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	60	8	71	0	52%	0.06	96.2	1.7%	0	1.4	63	INF
2	Jul_28_2016	17.55	17.89	18.26	18.45	18.51	18.83	18.95(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	130	20	67	0	52%	0.11	84.1	1.74%	0	2	70	INF
3	Jul_27_2016	17.53	17.79	18.14	18.3	18.33	18.57	18.72(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	100	20	57	0	52%	0.11	73.8	1.74%	0	1.8	71	INF
4	Jul_26_2016	17.51	17.67	18.04	18.19	18.2	18.2	18.4(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	0	11	55	0	50%	0	60.6	1.75%	0	1.3	74	INF
5	Jul_25_2016	17.51	17.56	18.01	18.08	18.15	18.1	18(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10	-3	57	0	48%	0	42.1	1.73%	0	0.7	69	INF

6	Jul_22_2016	17.51	17.5	18	18.09	18.1	18.21	18.2(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	40	5	79	0	48%	0.06	40.6	1.72%	0	1.1	74	INF
7	Jul_21_2016	17.5	17.45	17.95	18.03	18.07	18.2	18.18(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	60	12	94	0	48%	0.06	42.6	1.72%	0	1.2	76	INF
8	Jul_20_2016	17.49	17.4	17.89	17.95	18	18	18.19(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	10	10	98	0	48%	0.06	42.6	1.73%	0	1.4	77	INF
9	Jul_19_2016	17.48	17.34	17.78	17.86	17.88	17.94	17.82(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	30	-6	97	0	42%	0.11	41.2	1.71%	0	0.9	79	INF
10	Jul_18_2016	17.46	17.31	17.71	17.92	17.92	17.99	18.05(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	30	5	125	0	42%	0.06	48.1	1.77%	0	1.4	86	INF

11	Jul_15_2016	17.45	17.25	17.61	17.9	17.94	17.83	17.93(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-40	2	131	0	42%	0.11	44.9	1.77%	0	1.3	68	INF
12	Jul_14_2016	17.43	17.19	17.51	17.86	17.93	17.85	17.74(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-20	-3	121	0	42%	0.11	37.5	1.77%	0	1.1	55	INF
13	Jul_13_2016	17.41	17.16	17.41	17.81	17.94	18.05	17.75(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	60	12	114	0	45%	0.06	26.1	1.77%	0	1.2	55	INF
14	Jul_12_2016	17.4	17.11	17.28	17.67	17.82	18.01	18.14(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	100	23	95	0	47%	0.06	4.4	1.77%	0	2.2	65	INF
15	Jul_11_2016	17.39	17.05	17.09	17.46	17.55	17.84	17.93(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	130	21	51	0	47%	0.12	-23.4	1.77%	0	2.2	56	INF

16	Jul_8_2016	17.37	17.02	16.96	17.28	17.37	17.63	17.76(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	28	120	26	32	0	47%	0.06	-49.5	1.78%	0	2.1	60	INF
17	Jul_7_2016	17.36	17.01	16.9	17.1	17.16	17.26	17.47(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	50	16	15	0	47%	0.06	-72.3	1.77%	0	1.3	57	INF
18	Jul_6_2016	17.35	17.04	16.87	16.97	16.98	17.11	17.04(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	60	11	2	0	44%	0.12	-67.5	1.74%	0	0	49	INF
19	Jul_5_2016	17.33	17.09	16.86	16.84	16.92	17.06	17.08(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	15	70	22	-7	0	44%	0.12	-61.1	1.75%	0	-0	54	INF
20	Jul_1_2016	17.31	17.15	16.87	16.65	16.73	16.86	17.07(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	70	9	-29	0	47%	0.12	-54.7	1.79%	0	-0.1	49	INF

21	Jun_30_2016	17.29	17.19	16.85	16.59	16.73	16.79	16.85(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	100	0	-49	0	50%	0.06	-51.6	1.78%	0	-0.5	44	INF
22	Jun_29_2016	17.28	17.27	16.86	16.67	16.53	16.59	16.79(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	0	-1	-55	0	50%	0.06	-43.7	1.81%	0	-0.8	39	INF
23	Jun_28_2016	17.27	17.32	16.88	16.77	16.69	16.28	16.39(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-190	-16	-70	0	48%	0.06	-36.8	1.8%	0	-1.5	29	INF
24	Jun_27_2016	17.26	17.4	16.93	16.88	16.92	16.47	16.16(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-49	-180	-35	-92	0	48%	0	-27.5	1.8%	0	-2	25	INF
25	Jun_24_2016	17.26	17.48	17.04	17.11	17.09	17.09	16.74(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-0	-11	-82	0	51%		-14.2	1.76%	0	-1.4	28	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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