Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: ARKG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(ARK Genomic Revolution ETF)
ARKG latest price $20.4900 (0.79%) ($20.4900 - $20.4900) on Tue. Nov. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.16% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $20.4900(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   ARKG advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARKG advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARKG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(77%)    IBB(74%)    IWO(71%)    SKYY(67%)    VUG(65%)
Factors Impacting ARKG price   ARKG will decline at least -1.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.08% (StdDev 2.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.09(1.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.72(3.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.39(5.67%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. ARKG price fluctuates within 2.63% (three month std-dev: 2.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.7%(55%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 1.9%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.48%(45%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 2.89%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.75%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2015	20.05	19.39	19.72	20.09	20.11	20.41	20.49(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	34	110	19	80	0	63%	0.05	63.5	2.16%	0	2.2	77	0
2	Nov_2_2015	20.04	19.31	19.57	19.89	19.98	20.06	20.33(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	40	15	67	0	63%	0	66.5	2.18%	0	2.3	70	0
3	Oct_30_2015	20.04	19.25	19.47	19.75	19.77	19.81	19.83(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	20	2	54	0	62%	0	78.7	2.17%	0	1.5	58	0
4	Oct_29_2015	20.04	19.21	19.41	19.68	19.74	19.9	19.83(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	70	14	57	0	62%	-0.05	59.6	2.19%	0	1.5	59	0
5	Oct_28_2015	20.05	19.14	19.36	19.49	19.63	19.74	19.97(2.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	60	17	51	0	62%	0	23.8	2.21%	0	2.2	66	0

6	Oct_27_2015	20.05	19.08	19.22	19.29	19.36	19.57	19.5(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	90	7	26	0	60%	-0.05	-15.5	2.21%	0	1.1	56	0
7	Oct_26_2015	20.06	19.01	19.15	19.2	19.22	19.52	19.64(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	110	13	22	0	60%	-0.05	-52.8	2.23%	0	1.7	60	0
8	Oct_23_2015	20.07	18.96	19.1	19.14	19.07	19.16	19.48(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	20	6	13	0	60%	-0.05	-88.2	2.26%	0	1.3	51	0
9	Oct_22_2015	20.08	18.98	19.06	19.12	19.08	18.92	18.84(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-60	-7	7	0	57%	-0.15	-87.4	2.22%	0	-0.3	49	0
10	Oct_21_2015	20.11	19.05	19.06	19.21	19.19	18.99	18.99(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-80	-2	20	0	57%	-0.15	-79.5	2.24%	0	-0.1	58	0

11	Oct_20_2015	20.14	19.13	19.05	19.12	19.27	19.23	19.05(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	10	1	18	0	57%	-0.15	-80.1	2.27%	0	-0.1	54	0
12	Oct_19_2015	20.17	19.21	19.03	19.07	19.15	19.38	19.36(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	100	4	23	0	57%	-0.1	-70.6	2.29%	0	0.2	63	0
13	Oct_16_2015	20.19	19.32	19.02	19.04	19.02	19.32	19.34(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	110	11	34	0	57%	-0.1	-61.3	2.32%	0	0	57	0
14	Oct_15_2015	20.21	19.43	18.99	19	18.98	18.91	19.31(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-30	10	19	0	57%	-0.1	-54.2	2.35%	0	-0.1	44	0
15	Oct_14_2015	20.23	19.57	18.9	18.88	18.93	18.72	18.55(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-70	-12	-25	0	53%	-0.25	-51.2	2.28%	0	-0.8	35	0

16	Oct_13_2015	20.28	19.72	18.93	18.88	18.96	19.05	18.8(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	30	-2	-40	0	53%	-0.2	-47	2.3%	0	-0.7	34	0
17	Oct_12_2015	20.32	19.87	18.88	18.97	18.99	19.14	19.21(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	60	6	-67	0	53%	-0.2	-44.6	2.31%	0	-0.5	37	0
18	Oct_9_2015	20.36	19.99	18.81	19	18.86	18.88	19.15(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	-10	1	-105	0	53%	-0.15	-40.3	2.34%	0	-0.6	31	0
19	Oct_8_2015	20.39	20.11	18.88	18.98	18.93	18.88	18.68(-1.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-31	-40	2	-130	0	50%	-0.29	-38.5	2.33%	0	-1	26	0
20	Oct_7_2015	20.45	20.25	19.05	18.93	18.95	18.84	19(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-40	0	-153	0	50%	-0.2	-38.1	2.35%	0	-0.9	26	0

21	Oct_6_2015	20.49	20.36	19.21	18.88	18.81	19.02	18.82(-2.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-37	70	5	-164	0	50%	-0.29	-37.4	2.38%	0	-1.1	30	0
22	Oct_5_2015	20.55	20.49	19.4	18.75	18.82	19.07	19.36(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-30	100	20	-180	0	53%	-0.19	-40.4	2.37%	0	-0.9	31	0
23	Oct_2_2015	20.59	20.56	19.62	18.6	18.59	18.59	19.04(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-57	-0	-9	-200	0	53%	-0.29	-46.6	2.39%	0	-1.2	31	0
24	Oct_1_2015	20.65	20.66	19.89	18.79	18.67	18.59	18.41(-1.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-68	-50	-24	-198	0	49%	-0.39	-44.8	2.34%	0	-1.8	24	0
25	Sep_30_2015	20.73	20.78	20.27	19.21	19.08	18.58	18.75(3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-61	-200	-27	-164	0	49%		-39.5	2.36%	0	-1.8	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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