Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 3, 2020

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $55.9100 (1.1%) ($53.2600 - $56.6800) on Tue. Nov. 3, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.64% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $55.9100(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(51%)    IBB(50%)    XBI(50%)    ARKK(44%)    IPO(41%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -2.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-12%)    VXX(-10%)    TBT(-6%)    USO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.82% (StdDev 5.64%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $54.2(3.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.9(7.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.14(7.23%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   49.1%
Market Cap   $1.135b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 5.16% (three month std-dev: 5.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.58%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.72%(40%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 4.65%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -2.47%(38%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 7.65%(68%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.91%(32%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2020	49.28	52.14	51.9	54.2	54.54	55.29	55.91(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	120	19	25	0.39	49%	0.35	85.3	5.64%	1.1	1.4	58	-0.6
2	Nov_2_2020	49.11	51.71	51.29	53.52	53.33	54.39	55.3(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	130	17	10	0.54	49%	0.47	90.5	5.65%	0.5	1.4	53	-1.4
3	Oct_30_2020	48.88	51.42	51.06	52.47	52.52	53.79	54.23(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	170	24	3	0.4	49%	0.45	81.4	5.68%	1.2	0.9	53	-1.7
4	Oct_29_2020	48.66	50.88	51.07	51.47	51.88	52.28	54.99(8.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	20	80	27	0	0.4	49%	0.47	68.5	5.69%	2.1	1.2	57	-1.4
5	Oct_28_2020	48.43	50.29	50.96	49.92	50.55	51.24	50.58(-3.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	130	6	-21	0.31	41%	0.46	59.8	5.61%	0.2	0.1	49	-2.6

6	Oct_27_2020	48.21	49.94	51.06	49.23	49.87	51.49	52.49(4.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	270	22	-20	0.43	48%	0.46	55.3	5.79%	1	0.7	54	-0.5
7	Oct_26_2020	47.99	49.48	51.12	48.76	48.89	49.87	50.04(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	150	9	-19	0.64	48%	0.38	50.2	6.16%	0.4	0.1	59	-0.4
8	Oct_23_2020	47.81	49.06	51.37	49.49	48.84	48.26	49.27(4.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-120	-11	-15	0.24	45%	0.34	51.5	6.16%	1.6	0	51	1.1
9	Oct_22_2020	47.65	48.65	51.58	50.66	50.24	47.91	47.24(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-22	-350	-30	4	0.37	45%	0.23	47.2	6.29%	-0.9	-0.3	63	1.2
10	Oct_21_2020	47.54	48.23	52.08	52.17	52.14	49.42	47.09(-6.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-20	-370	-37	33	0.37	45%	0.15	46	6.35%	-1.3	-0.2	63	0.9

11	Oct_20_2020	47.47	47.87	52.54	53.07	53.59	52.58	50.15(-6.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-100	-24	64	0.47	45%	0.21	45.2	6.31%	-1.5	0.4	68	0.6
12	Oct_19_2020	47.37	47.44	52.32	53.73	53.97	54.86	53.68(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	130	5	95	0.43	46%	0.32	47.6	6.27%	-0.6	1.1	75	0.7
13	Oct_16_2020	47.22	46.79	51.94	53.5	53.69	54.61	55.15(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	130	21	119	0.57	46%	0.38	48.1	6.29%	0.8	1.5	81	1.4
14	Oct_15_2020	47.04	46.32	50.75	52.69	52.9	53.08	54.76(6.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	36	40	9	115	0.26	46%	0.36	55	6.29%	1.9	1.6	82	1.6
15	Oct_14_2020	46.87	45.81	49.58	52.06	52.24	52.78	51.62(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	80	2	122	0.28	50%	-0.06	61.1	6.29%	-1	1.2	83	2

16	Oct_13_2020	46.9	45.44	48.75	51.93	52.2	52.71	53.46(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	49	80	19	137	0.42	50%	0.15	68.5	6.48%	1.8	1.7	80	2.1
17	Oct_12_2020	46.83	44.83	47.68	50.66	51.39	51.71	52.52(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	90	8	124	0.68	50%	-0.13	69.3	6.54%	0.6	1.7	72	2.7
18	Oct_9_2020	46.89	44.24	46.52	50.13	50.35	51.68	51.08(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	200	18	127	0.4	50%	-0.09	73.2	6.55%	0.1	1.6	71	2.6
19	Oct_8_2020	46.93	43.6	45.43	48.47	49.67	51.06	51.64(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	54	270	38	102	0.6	50%	-0.11	65.2	6.58%	0.8	2.1	56	1.7
20	Oct_7_2020	46.98	43.01	44.01	46.71	47.19	49.02	50.95(8.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	300	25	61	0.57	50%	-0.09	58	6.59%	1.4	2.3	58	1

21	Oct_6_2020	47.02	42.41	42.78	45.1	45.4	48.27	47.13(-5.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	460	34	35	0.77	48%	-0.17	46.1	6.54%	0.2	1.5	54	0.3
22	Oct_5_2020	47.1	41.98	42.14	44.24	44.1	45.36	49.83(16.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	38	190	42	26	0.6	48%	0.11	25	6.51%	1.8	2.7	64	0.6
23	Oct_2_2020	47.05	41.38	41.15	42.45	42.54	42.52	42.8(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	0	4	-13	0.36	42%	0.02	-15.6	6.24%	-0.2	0.6	55	0.4
24	Oct_1_2020	47.04	41.19	41.47	41.91	42.06	42.85	42.85(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	140	14	1	0.48	42%	0.02	-49.4	6.25%	0.4	0.7	62	0.8
25	Sep_30_2020	47.03	41.07	41.68	40.84	41.26	42.57	42.91(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	250	23	1	0.61	42%		-89.4	6.26%	0.6	0.8	56	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.