Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 10, 2020

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $40.4900 (2.51%) ($38.9500 - $41.4000) on Thu. Sep. 10, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.62% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $40.4900(2.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   ARCT declines -17.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ARKG(51%)    XBI(51%)    IBB(50%)    ARKK(44%)    IPO(41%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -3.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-13%)    VXX(-10%)    TBT(-5%)    USO(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.31% (StdDev 6.62%)
Hourly BBV 1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.41(-64.41%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $48.86
5 Day Moving Average   $39.2(3.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.12(-6.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.86(-17.13%)
To recent high   -35.9%
To recent low   28.4%
Market Cap   $822m

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 15.78% (three month std-dev: 6.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.88%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.95%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 5.53%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -5.53%(67%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 5.07%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -13.35%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201010

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_10_2020	46.2	48.86	43.12	39.2	38.95	39.93	40.49(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	160	8	-153	0.63	45%	0.48	-46.5	6.62%	1	-1.1	25	-0.6
2	Sep_9_2020	45.98	49.26	44.66	39.21	38.76	38.91	39.5(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-37	-10	2	-154	0.51	45%	0.46	-53	6.66%	1.3	-1.3	25	-0.4
3	Sep_8_2020	45.77	49.8	46.08	39.8	38.99	37.98	38.62(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-240	-25	-162	0.6	45%	1.08	-57.3	6.66%	0	-1.6	27	-1.2
4	Sep_4_2020	45.28	50.82	47.66	41.72	40.34	38.61	38.31(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-69	-400	-42	-151	1.37	45%	0.49	-51.1	6.71%	-0.3	-1.8	32	-1.6
5	Sep_3_2020	45.06	51.83	50.06	44.49	43.34	40.01	39.07(-3.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-65	-620	-50	-111	0.81	45%	0.47	-42.3	6.78%	-0.9	-2.1	43	-3.2

6	Sep_2_2020	44.85	52.73	52.09	47.67	46.69	42.07	40.57(-4.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-70	-750	-68	-76	0.86	45%	0.52	-32.5	6.88%	-0.8	-2.2	46	-1.3
7	Sep_1_2020	44.62	53.56	53.92	50.92	50.34	46.66	42.41(-12.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-53	-550	-61	-30	1.22	45%	0.59	-17.3	6.86%	-1.5	-2.3	49	-1
8	Aug_31_2020	44.36	54.24	55.4	53.21	53.64	51.32	48.25(-7.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-22	-280	-33	13	0.64	49%	0.09	-6	6.68%	-1.8	-1.5	53	-0.6
9	Aug_28_2020	44.32	54.56	56.06	54.41	54.93	54.02	52.14(-5.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-18	-90	-30	19	0.42	52%	0.86	-8.2	6.64%	-1.7	-0.6	44	0.5
10	Aug_27_2020	43.94	54.6	55.79	56.51	55.83	55.96	54.98(-3.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-20	-12	33	0.35	42%	0.97	5.4	6.63%	-0.4	0.1	49	0.5

11	Aug_26_2020	43.52	54.59	55.16	57.27	57.77	55.83	56.81(5.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-210	-2	28	0.57	42%	1.02	11.2	7.56%	0.3	0.6	53	1
12	Aug_25_2020	43.08	54.4	54.26	57.49	58.23	55.69	53.86(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-22	-270	-31	7	0.48	42%	0.96	3	7.58%	-1.1	-0.1	49	1.3
13	Aug_24_2020	42.67	54.48	53.83	57.92	58.99	59.7	54.25(-13.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-0	140	-5	14	0.74	42%	0.99	3.5	7.64%	-1.7	-0.1	52	1.3
14	Aug_21_2020	42.25	54.88	54.22	57.82	58.68	60.77	62.64(6.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	290	41	38	1.43	46%	1.22	8	7.49%	1.3	1.8	63	1.4
15	Aug_20_2020	41.74	54.4	53.57	54.92	56.1	58.28	58.78(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	340	33	18	0.42	46%	1.16	-14.5	7.47%	0.9	1.1	62	1.5

16	Aug_19_2020	41.26	54.16	53.21	52.73	53.39	56.59	57.91(3.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	460	39	4	0.6	46%	1.1	-27.1	7.48%	1.1	0.9	55	1.5
17	Aug_18_2020	40.81	54.29	52.95	50.61	50.92	53.92	56.04(4.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	28	430	40	-10	0.64	53%	1.06	-33.5	7.47%	1.6	0.4	56	1.8
18	Aug_17_2020	40.38	54.34	52.76	49.22	49.08	50.19	53.71(11.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	150	11	-32	0.55	53%	0.98	-41.9	7.83%	1.7	-0.2	48	1.9
19	Aug_14_2020	39.99	54.54	52.78	50.21	48.74	47.92	48.18(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-210	-20	-49	0.43	49%	0.86	-27.9	7.78%	0.1	-1.6	29	1.6
20	Aug_13_2020	39.65	54.96	53.26	52.09	51.45	47.97	47.82(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-510	-28	-40	0.5	49%	0.81	-6.4	7.79%	-0.8	-1.9	47	1.5

21	Aug_12_2020	39.33	55.29	54.02	53.74	54.03	49.56	47.31(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-46	-560	-49	-36	0.58	49%	0.85	12	7.88%	-1.3	-2.3	45	1.6
22	Aug_11_2020	39	55.67	54.7	55.51	55.84	54.92	49.07(-16.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-31	-100	-32	-26	1.38	56%	0.96	34.8	7.88%	-1.8	-2.2	40	1.1
23	Aug_10_2020	38.63	56.11	55.4	56.63	56.94	58.5	58.67(1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	14	210	19	0	0.64	61%	1.23	60.2	8.12%	0.7	0.9	53	1.7
24	Aug_7_2020	38.16	55.71	55.73	55.71	55.79	56.76	57.6(2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	13	130	17	-1	1.08	61%	1.22	48	8.13%	0.7	0.6	51	1.6
25	Aug_6_2020	37.7	55.21	55.34	54.67	54.64	55.39	56.05(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	90	7	-16	0.48	61%		37.6	8.22%	0.9	0.2	53	1.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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