Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $36.3300 (0.97%) ($35.7700 - $36.8200) on Wed. May. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.84% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $36.3300(0.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 3.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 10.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(2%)    TIP(2%)    TLT(2%)    XLV(2%)    XOP(2%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -1.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
VCIT(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    IBUY(-4%)    CEMB(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.92% (StdDev 3.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.09(6.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.63(14.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.1(20.7%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   43.4%
Market Cap   $737m

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 9% (three month std-dev: 3.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 4.1%(20%) Average negative next day return: -3.99%(80%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 6.58%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -5.24%(80%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 5.77%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.19%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160625

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_25_2016	32.22	30.1	31.63	34.09	34.08	35.62	36.33(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	83	320	51	180	0.01	51%	-0.28	33.4	3.84%	0	2.3	69	INF
2	May_24_2016	32.31	29.71	30.67	32.82	32.76	34.08	35.98(5.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	70	280	46	143	0.01	51%	-0.25	19.5	3.84%	0	2.7	73	INF
3	May_23_2016	32.39	29.4	29.88	31.78	31.62	32.54	34.09(5.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	55	190	37	108	0.03	47%	0.06	6.7	3.78%	0	2.4	61	INF
4	May_20_2016	32.37	29.4	29.38	30.8	30.84	31.45	32.2(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	140	28	82	0.01	44%	-0.37	-3	3.77%	0	1.6	60	INF
5	May_19_2016	32.49	29.28	29.03	30	30.36	30.7	31.85(6.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	110	37	66	0.06	44%	-0.34	-10.4	3.8%	0	1.4	60	INF

6	May_18_2016	32.6	29.22	28.7	28.77	29.35	30.22	29.96(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	270	23	20	0.01	42%	-0.37	-28.7	3.71%	0	0.4	52	INF
7	May_17_2016	32.72	29.22	28.41	28.15	28.33	30.02	30.8(5.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	24	440	34	-5	0.01	40%	-0.37	-36.7	3.69%	0	0.9	55	INF
8	May_16_2016	32.84	29.26	28.22	27.71	27.75	28.49	29.19(3.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	190	25	-30	0.02	38%	-0.12	-40.5	3.68%	0	-0	46	INF
9	May_13_2016	32.88	29.34	28.14	27.79	27.54	26.65	28.21(9.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-250	-13	-64	0.01	38%	-0.39	-36.9	3.65%	0	-0.6	38	INF
10	May_12_2016	33.01	29.46	28.12	27.96	28.13	27.01	25.69(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-54	-260	-39	-99	0.01	36%	-0.48	-36.8	3.44%	0	-2.1	28	INF

11	May_11_2016	33.17	29.73	28.5	28.59	28.79	28.44	26.88(-5.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-60	-14	-79	0.01	37%	-0.42	-34.8	3.48%	0	-1.8	37	INF
12	May_10_2016	33.31	29.93	28.74	28.62	28.96	29.26	28.56(-3.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-20	110	1	-84	0.01	41%	-0.36	-38.8	3.42%	0	-1	43	INF
13	May_9_2016	33.43	30	28.93	28.77	28.7	29.15	29.61(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	100	12	-79	0.01	42%	-0.36	-35	3.45%	0	-0.3	45	INF
14	May_6_2016	33.55	30.01	29.19	28.55	28.65	28.66	29.05(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	10	10	-79	0.01	42%	-0.36	-38.1	3.42%	0	-0.7	45	INF
15	May_5_2016	33.67	30.14	29.53	28.35	28.62	28.25	28.84(6.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-27	-60	-8	-82	0.02	40%	-0.36	-29.3	3.45%	0	-0.9	44	INF

16	May_4_2016	33.79	30.29	29.77	28.45	28.6	28.64	27.02(-7.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34	30	-17	-83	0.01	37%	-0.44	-11.8	3.36%	0	-2.3	35	INF
17	May_3_2016	33.94	30.49	30.2	28.87	28.93	28.99	29.33(2.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	20	-0	-64	0.01	40%	-0.38	15.4	3.23%	0	-0.9	45	INF
18	May_2_2016	34.07	30.5	30.39	29.12	29.09	28.57	28.49(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-130	-28	-61	0.01	40%	-0.41	34.8	3.21%	0	-1.6	45	INF
19	Apr_29_2016	34.21	30.56	30.63	29.95	29.75	28.87	28.07(-4.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-39	-230	-40	-34	0.01	40%	-0.38	65.5	3.2%	0	-1.9	44	INF
20	Apr_28_2016	34.34	30.57	30.93	30.91	30.74	29.6	29.33(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-24	-280	-31	-2	0.01	41%	-0.38	81	3.17%	0	-0.8	40	INF

21	Apr_27_2016	34.47	30.45	31.09	31.3	31.42	30.63	29.12(-4.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-21	-160	-30	6	0.02	41%	-0.38	73.4	3.17%	0	-0.7	36	INF
22	Apr_26_2016	34.6	30.3	31.27	31.68	31.74	31.89	30.59(-6.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	40	-7	28	0.02	43%	-0.35	64	3.13%	0	0.1	52	INF
23	Apr_25_2016	34.72	30.08	31.22	31.8	31.69	32.21	32.62(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	100	21	49	0.02	46%	-0.32	54.1	3.04%	0	1.1	70	INF
24	Apr_22_2016	34.83	29.73	30.93	31.42	31.37	31.59	32.87(5.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	40	19	38	0.01	46%	-0.31	44.5	3.04%	0	1.4	69	INF
25	Apr_21_2016	34.94	29.41	30.76	31	31	31.18	31.29(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	40	4	41	0	43%		36.2	2.98%	0	0.9	73	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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