Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $28.4900 (-2.63%) ($28.0700 - $29.3300) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.94% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $28.4900(-2.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(3%)    XLV(3%)    ARKG(2%)    TIP(2%)    TLT(2%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -1.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
XME(-6%)    VCIT(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    CEMB(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.47% (StdDev 2.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.44(-28.26%)
Resistance Level   $32.27
5 Day Moving Average   $30.49(-6.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.32(-9.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.27(-11.71%)
To recent high   -36.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $578m

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 5.61% (three month std-dev: 2.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 5.99%(25%) Average negative next day return: -4.56%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.8%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -4.08%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.97%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	39.99	32.27	31.32	30.49	30.56	29.4	28.49(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-52	-260	-41	-86	0.02	25%	-0.6	-88.9	2.94%	0	-2.1	32	0
2	Mar_16_2016	40.23	32.65	31.8	31	31.22	30.78	29.26(-4.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-37	-80	-27	-65	0.01	25%	-0.49	-87.6	2.93%	0	-1.9	33	0
3	Mar_15_2016	40.43	33	32.12	31.36	31.54	31.71	30.66(-5.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	50	-10	-54	0.01	26%	-0.42	-74	2.89%	0	-1.2	38	0
4	Mar_14_2016	40.6	33.37	32.26	31.78	31.67	31.67	32.34(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10	-5	-45	0.01	28%	-0.39	-62.6	2.83%	0	-0.6	48	0
5	Mar_11_2016	40.76	33.69	32.28	32.09	32.02	31.37	31.71(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-150	-16	-52	0.01	28%	-0.32	-41	2.82%	0	-0.9	35	0

6	Mar_10_2016	40.89	33.97	32.42	32.31	32.54	31.68	31.01(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-160	-31	-67	0.01	28%	-0.37	-35.8	2.82%	0	-1.3	28	0
7	Mar_9_2016	41.04	34.25	32.67	32.75	32.97	32.66	31.08(-5.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-50	-20	-61	0.01	28%	-0.39	-30.4	2.83%	0	-1.4	28	0
8	Mar_8_2016	41.2	34.46	32.91	32.96	33.16	33.41	32.76(-3.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	70	11	-60	0.01	30%	-0.34	-31.5	2.77%	0	-0.8	31	0
9	Mar_7_2016	41.34	34.56	32.92	32.77	32.77	33.28	33.88(3.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	110	16	-96	0.02	32%	-0.24	-39.1	2.75%	0	-0.3	27	0
10	Mar_4_2016	41.44	34.62	32.98	32.52	32.46	32.92	32.83(-1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	90	11	-133	0.01	28%	-0.26	-44.6	2.74%	0	-0.9	18	0

11	Mar_3_2016	41.55	34.8	33.26	32.56	32.47	32.27	33.18(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-35	-50	2	-144	0.01	28%	-0.22	-41.8	2.75%	0	-0.8	33	0
12	Mar_2_2016	41.64	34.94	33.51	32.62	32.6	32	32.13(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-130	-22	-159	0.01	24%	-0.17	-41	2.71%	0	-1.4	33	0
13	Mar_1_2016	41.71	35.13	33.92	32.87	33	32.67	31.85(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-60	-15	-143	0.01	24%	-0.19	-41.4	2.71%	0	-1.7	41	0
14	Feb_29_2016	41.79	35.38	34.55	33.07	33.09	33.19	32.62(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	20	-13	-118	0.01	24%	-0.19	-40.4	2.68%	0	-1.6	46	0
15	Feb_26_2016	41.87	35.56	35.19	33.5	33.2	33.33	33.04(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	0	-12	-82	0.01	24%	-0.12	-36.7	2.68%	0	-1.5	45	0

16	Feb_25_2016	41.92	35.68	35.63	34.08	33.72	32.98	33.46(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-190	-19	-61	0.01	24%	-0.19	-29.1	2.7%	0	-1.5	41	0
17	Feb_24_2016	42	35.79	35.96	34.57	34.34	33.07	33.39(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-52	-280	-51	-54	0.01	32%	-0.21	-23.7	2.7%	0	-1.7	44	0
18	Feb_23_2016	42.09	35.94	36.16	35.14	35.59	34.45	32.83(-5.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-49	-190	-52	-39	0.02	32%	-0.17	-10.5	2.83%	0	-2.3	42	0
19	Feb_22_2016	42.16	36.11	36.39	36.23	36.55	35.62	34.79(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-38	-150	-47	-12	0.01	35%	-0.14	17.3	2.75%	0	-1.2	44	0
20	Feb_19_2016	42.22	36.17	36.45	37.13	37.34	36.74	35.91(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-14	-100	-26	23	0.01	37%	-0.12	46.7	2.74%	0	-0.2	52	0

21	Feb_18_2016	42.27	36.17	36.51	37.42	37.93	37.49	35.91(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	6	-40	-8	49	0.02	37%	-0.17	59.4	2.76%	0	-0.2	55	0
22	Feb_17_2016	42.34	36.13	36.52	37.55	37.67	37.95	36.26(-5.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	16	60	1	60	0.06	34%	-0.12	61	2.78%	0	0.1	55	0
23	Feb_16_2016	42.39	36.08	36.47	37.3	37.33	38.38	38.29(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	50	200	44	67	0.01	37%	-0.21	49.1	2.76%	0	1.9	58	0
24	Feb_12_2016	42.48	35.91	36.28	36.54	36.31	37.4	39.27(5.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	41	190	41	42	0.01	28%	-0.33	19.7	3.13%	0	3.2	63	0
25	Feb_11_2016	42.62	35.66	35.9	35.7	35.42	36.29	37.38(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	20	150	23	11	0.01	23%		-31.3	3.11%	0	2.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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