Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $35.7700 (2.2%) ($34.9300 - $36.6100) on Fri. Jan. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.58% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $35.7700(2.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT declines -8.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(3%)    IPO(3%)    XBI(3%)    XLV(3%)    ARKG(2%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -1.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
VCIT(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    CEMB(-4%)    XLU(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.79% (StdDev 3.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.15(-49.26%)
Resistance Level   $38.69
5 Day Moving Average   $35.39(1.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.6(0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.69(-7.55%)
To recent high   -38.7%
To recent low   6.2%
Market Cap   $726m

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 9.46% (three month std-dev: 3.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.91%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.15%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.22%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.57%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2016	45.24	38.69	35.6	35.39	35.45	35.7	35.77(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	50	13	-141	0.01	44%	-0.44	-36.5	3.58%	0	-0.8	26	INF
2	Jan_21_2016	45.44	38.93	35.88	35.13	34.89	35.37	35(-2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-32	80	11	-160	0.02	44%	-0.46	-39.7	3.59%	0	-1.1	31	INF
3	Jan_20_2016	45.65	39.22	36.5	34.86	34.38	35.2	35.98(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-36	130	9	-169	0.03	44%	-0.48	-45.2	3.59%	0	-0.9	32	INF
4	Jan_19_2016	45.87	39.46	37.31	34.97	34.44	34.41	35.14(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-36	-50	5	-160	0.05	46%	-0.63	-47.4	3.58%	0	-1.3	30	INF
5	Jan_15_2016	46.16	39.77	38.13	35.22	34.72	33.57	35.07(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-63	-270	-30	-160	0.01	46%	-0.43	-49.2	3.62%	0	-1.5	33	INF

6	Jan_14_2016	46.36	40.07	39	35.87	35.62	34.47	34.44(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-67	-250	-43	-140	0.03	51%	-0.45	-48.6	3.63%	0	-1.9	34	INF
7	Jan_13_2016	46.57	40.43	39.79	36.78	36.84	35.87	33.67(-7.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-60	-180	-43	-112	0.02	49%	-0.47	-47.8	3.79%	0	-2.5	32	INF
8	Jan_12_2016	46.79	40.88	40.71	38.37	38.03	36.77	36.54(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-56	-260	-49	-78	0.01	53%	-0.4	-39.5	3.7%	0	-2	39	INF
9	Jan_11_2016	46.98	41.16	41.3	40.01	39.64	37.81	36.4(-4.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-50	-350	-53	-41	0.03	53%	-0.47	-24.5	3.71%	0	-2.5	37	INF
10	Jan_8_2016	47.2	41.41	41.85	41.47	41.41	39.28	38.29(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-43	-360	-54	-8	0.03	52%	-0.46	-13.7	3.67%	0	-2	42	INF

11	Jan_7_2016	47.42	41.59	42.13	42.6	42.57	41.47	38.99(-6.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.7	-26	-180	-41	21	0.04	52%	-0.5	-3.4	3.78%	0	-1.9	46	INF
12	Jan_6_2016	47.66	41.76	42.32	43.22	43.31	43.54	41.65(-6.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	11	40	-2	50	0.04	58%	-0.48	-2.4	3.69%	0	-0.1	55	INF
13	Jan_5_2016	47.89	41.75	42.22	43.34	43.13	43.67	44.73(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	70	19	57	0.02	63%	-0.42	-16.4	3.64%	0	2.4	65	INF
14	Jan_4_2016	48.09	41.64	41.8	42.8	42.61	43.08	43.68(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	60	16	41	0.03	63%	-0.56	-50.4	3.63%	0	2	62	INF
15	Dec_31_2015	48.36	41.62	41.51	42.34	42.2	42.58	43.96(4.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	23	50	20	33	0.03	60%	-0.21	-70.4	3.63%	0	2.3	70	INF

16	Dec_30_2015	48.46	41.63	41.15	41.65	41.63	42.14	42.07(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	80	13	13	0.05	58%	-0.27	-88.9	3.63%	0	0.4	54	INF
17	Dec_29_2015	48.59	41.79	41.04	41.3	41.14	41.81	42.28(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	100	18	3	0.02	58%	-0.25	-71.9	3.64%	0	0.3	49	INF
18	Dec_28_2015	48.71	41.95	40.98	40.92	40.7	41.12	42(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	60	15	-5	0.02	49%	-0.35	-60.5	3.64%	0	0	52	INF
19	Dec_24_2015	48.88	42.15	40.94	40.66	40.43	40.47	41.37(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10	3	-17	0.02	46%	-0.29	-49.1	4.25%	0	-0.4	39	INF
20	Dec_23_2015	49.02	42.37	40.88	40.56	40.53	40.28	40.53(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-50	-3	-31	0.02	46%	-0.31	-37.9	4.24%	0	-0.9	29	INF

21	Dec_22_2015	49.17	42.66	40.97	40.59	40.71	40.38	40.32(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-50	-8	-43	0.02	44%	-0.24	-24.4	4.24%	0	-1.1	25	INF
22	Dec_21_2015	49.29	42.84	41.15	40.73	40.91	40.78	40.39(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-20	-10	-9	-51	0.03	44%	-0.22	-21.4	4.29%	0	-1.1	22	INF
23	Dec_18_2015	49.4	43.01	41.26	41.05	41.21	41.03	40.67(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-18	-20	-5	-58	0.11	46%	-0.22	-18.6	4.29%	0	-1.1	22	INF
24	Dec_17_2015	49.51	43.12	41.48	41.27	41.55	41.04	40.88(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-70	-4	-63	0.03	46%	-0.22	-32.2	4.36%	0	-1.1	22	INF
25	Dec_16_2015	49.62	43.18	41.77	41.24	41.61	41.4	40.67(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-26	-10	-10	-73	0.03	46%		-57.5	4.36%	0	-1.3	21	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.