Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $52.4300 (0.81%) ($51.8300 - $55.5100) on Mon. Feb. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.8% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $52.4300(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 10.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(5%)    XBI(5%)    XLV(5%)    IWM(3%)    XOP(3%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -2.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    GLD(-3%)    CEMB(-3%)    BND(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.9% (StdDev 5.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.53(1.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.87(9.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.88(14.28%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   132.6%
Market Cap   $1.064b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 8.41% (three month std-dev: 5.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.4%(80%) Average negative next day return: -6.09%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4.95%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -6%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.07%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.22%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150323

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2015	33.73	45.88	47.87	51.53	51.93	52.35	52.43(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	80	19	114	0.07	80%	-1.4	34.7	5.8%	0	1.7	76	INF
2	Feb_20_2015	34.21	45.46	47.1	50.74	51.36	51.14	52.01(3.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	10	16	110	0.05	80%	-1.64	31.3	5.81%	0	1.9	65	INF
3	Feb_19_2015	34.78	45.1	46.37	49	49.95	51.52	50.33(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	280	25	93	0.02	80%	-1.28	17.5	5.81%	0	1.6	59	INF
4	Feb_18_2015	35.23	44.9	45.59	47.12	47.76	51.58	50.54(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	59	600	53	78	0.04	80%	-1.65	8.4	5.81%	0	1.9	62	INF
5	Feb_17_2015	35.82	44.81	44.67	45.53	45.14	48.38	52.36(8.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	59	480	62	49	0.07	80%	-4.4	9.8	5.85%	0	2.6	56	INF

6	Feb_13_2015	37.47	44.57	43.4	43.72	43.25	43.95	48.44(11.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	19	80	25	1	0.05	78%	-2.24	12.3	5.81%	0	1.5	56	INF
7	Feb_12_2015	38.33	44.38	42.82	43.05	42.85	41.89	43.33(5.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-170	-13	-27	0.03	76%	-2.52	34.1	5.65%	0	-0.4	48	INF
8	Feb_11_2015	39.32	44.55	42.93	43.41	43.68	42.54	40.95(-3.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-160	-17	-27	0.03	75%	-2.6	75	5.62%	0	-1.5	41	INF
9	Feb_10_2015	40.37	44.65	43.21	43.75	44.18	43.8	42.56(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-30	-6	-26	0.01	75%	-2.46	113.6	5.6%	0	-0.9	40	INF
10	Feb_9_2015	41.39	44.53	43.63	43.57	43.87	44.81	43.33(-3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	3	170	13	-27	0.02	75%	-1.94	123.9	5.6%	0	-0.5	36	INF

11	Feb_6_2015	42.21	44.26	43.77	42.94	42.87	44.55	45.08(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	270	22	-40	0.01	75%	-1.93	117.8	5.59%	0	0.3	42	INF
12	Feb_5_2015	43.04	43.57	43.72	42.56	42.07	42.92	45.15(5.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	110	17	-48	0.02	75%	-1.91	85.3	5.63%	0	0.4	52	INF
13	Feb_4_2015	43.88	42.78	43.74	42.48	41.9	41.18	42.63(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-160	-4	-61	0.02	73%	-1.79	70.1	5.61%	0	-0	43	INF
14	Feb_3_2015	44.68	42.12	44.18	42.64	42.39	41.23	41.65(3.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-210	-28	-60	0.03	73%	-1.67	63.5	5.61%	0	-0.1	52	INF
15	Feb_2_2015	45.44	41.49	44.98	43.74	43.66	42.61	40.18(-6.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-170	-21	-22	0.02	73%	-1.71	63.3	5.62%	0	-0.2	56	INF

16	Jan_30_2015	46.23	40.9	45.87	44.67	44.69	43.56	43.19(-3.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-180	-15	18	0.03	79%	-1.6	61.9	5.54%	0	0.3	65	INF
17	Jan_29_2015	46.98	40.1	46.09	45	45.09	44.7	44.73(2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-50	-14	59	0.03	79%	-1.55	62.7	5.53%	0	0.6	77	INF
18	Jan_28_2015	47.72	39.22	46.32	45.19	45.55	45.82	43.47(-7.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	70	-4	114	0.02	79%	-1.57	59.9	5.53%	0	0.5	79	INF
19	Jan_27_2015	48.48	38.4	46.29	45.93	45.71	45.47	47.11(4.99%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	40	-50	-5	173	0.03	86%	-1.48	58.2	5.42%	0	1	84	INF
20	Jan_26_2015	49.21	37.43	45.56	46.49	46.15	45.28	44.87(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	40	-150	-21	221	0.02	86%	-1.48	58.6	5.42%	0	0.8	84	INF

21	Jan_23_2015	49.95	36.58	44.86	47.29	47.69	45.95	44.8(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	60	-230	-11	273	0.02	59%	-1.48	63	5.72%	0	0.9	85	INF
22	Jan_22_2015	50.7	35.66	43.5	47.32	47.95	47.03	45.71(-3.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	50	-90	-20	259	0.03	62%	-1.61	64.9	6.64%	0	1.1	87	INF
23	Jan_21_2015	51.53	34.71	41.85	47.57	47.97	49.43	47.18(-5.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	86	240	14	301	0.06	62%	-1.6	70.9	6.76%	0	1.4	89	INF
24	Jan_20_2015	52.37	33.83	39.98	46.61	47.04	48.87	49.91(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	114	300	43	325	0.13	62%	-1.65	75.2	6.74%	0	1.8	93	INF
25	Jan_16_2015	53.25	32.78	37.74	44.46	44.62	46.52	48.86(8.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	104	310	36	307	0.06	62%		81.9	6.7%	0	2.1	87	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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