Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $27.0900 (-11.64%) ($27.0200 - $30.4500) on Mon. Dec. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.59% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $27.0900(-11.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 11.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(6%)    XBI(6%)    XLV(5%)    IWM(3%)    XHB(3%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -4.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-5%)    VIXM(-4%)    CEMB(-3%)    BND(-3%)    XLU(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.795% (StdDev 9.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -11%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.99(-3.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.68(5.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.83(9.1%)
To recent high   -81%
To recent low   20.2%
Market Cap   $550m

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 9.42% (three month std-dev: 9.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 4.25%(67%) Average negative next day return: -4.1%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 6.86%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -5.91%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 7.27%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.63%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2014	73.51	24.83	25.68	27.99	28.62	29.51	27.09(-11.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	290	8	74	0.03	27%	-1.28	53.3	9.59%	0	1	63	0
2	Dec_19_2014	74.46	24.69	25.25	27.17	27.45	29.86	30.66(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	36	650	27	64	0.03	28%	-1.22	42.4	9.76%	0	2.6	68	0
3	Dec_18_2014	75.38	24.31	24.43	25.82	25.8	27.74	30.52(14.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	34	520	32	40	0.07	28%	-1.27	27.2	9.76%	0	3.4	62	0
4	Dec_17_2014	76.35	23.9	23.59	24.26	24.3	25.04	26.74(7.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	13	220	16	5	0.06	25%	-1.28	-4.2	9.56%	0	2.5	54	0
5	Dec_16_2014	77.34	23.69	23.22	23.42	23.5	23.85	24.92(8.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	1	110	6	-14	0.03	27%	-1.31	-40.3	9.53%	0	1.3	53	0

6	Dec_15_2014	78.37	23.64	23.07	23.06	23.19	23.56	23.03(-3.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-3	130	3	-22	0.02	27%	-1.32	-60.1	9.48%	0	-0.6	43	0
7	Dec_12_2014	79.42	23.77	23.23	23	22.97	23.14	23.87(4.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	50	4	-22	0.04	27%	-1.29	-60.1	9.48%	0	0.1	45	0
8	Dec_11_2014	80.46	23.83	23.4	22.81	22.84	22.83	22.75(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	0	0	-22	0.03	27%	-1.28	-70.2	9.45%	0	-1	47	0
9	Dec_10_2014	81.5	23.95	23.65	22.8	22.81	22.79	22.54(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-0	-2	-18	0.03	27%	-1.26	-71	9.44%	0	-1.3	51	0
10	Dec_9_2014	82.54	24.09	23.83	22.98	22.88	22.85	23.1(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-20	-1	-11	0.02	27%	-1.27	-64.4	9.44%	0	-0.9	56	0

11	Dec_8_2014	83.6	24.22	23.95	23.08	23.08	22.84	22.75(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-70	-5	-11	0.02	27%	-1.15	-57.1	9.44%	0	-1.3	44	0
12	Dec_5_2014	84.57	24.4	24.15	23.5	23.42	22.9	22.89(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-170	-9	-9	0.02	27%	-1.13	-43.1	9.44%	0	-1.4	38	0
13	Dec_4_2014	85.54	24.6	24.24	24.1	24.02	23.32	22.72(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-210	-10	-5	0.02	26%	-1.19	-21.7	9.43%	0	-1.6	40	0
14	Dec_3_2014	86.57	24.75	24.3	24.63	24.71	23.94	23.45(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5	-210	-6	-1	0.02	26%	-1.22	-6.6	9.45%	0	-1.2	42	0
15	Dec_2_2014	87.64	24.8	24.24	24.78	24.99	24.73	23.59(-5.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5	-50	-5	-5	0.02	25%	-1.25	-3.9	9.45%	0	-1.1	42	0

16	Dec_1_2014	88.75	24.86	24.31	24.92	24.98	25.47	24.85(-4.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	140	2	-4	0.02	25%	-1.2	-0.9	9.44%	0	-0	45	0
17	Nov_28_2014	89.83	24.88	24.36	24.88	24.77	25.26	25.9(2.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	6	130	9	-3	0.05	25%	-1.63	-2.4	9.45%	0	1	46	0
18	Nov_26_2014	91.32	24.86	24.27	24.42	24.39	24.49	25.34(4.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	30	7	-15	0.02	25%	-1.13	-31	9.36%	0	0.5	39	0
19	Nov_25_2014	92.36	24.82	24.24	23.94	24	24.27	24.22(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	90	4	-23	0.02	25%	-1.22	-106.8	9.33%	0	-0.6	44	0
20	Nov_24_2014	93.5	24.85	24.35	23.63	23.64	24.29	24.29(-1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	190	4	-26	0.02	25%	-0.74	-161.3	9.33%	0	-0.6	51	0

21	Nov_21_2014	94.2	24.87	24.47	23.6	23.34	23.72	24.64(4.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	80	2	-25	0.03	25%	-1.17	-210.8	9.34%	0	-0.2	52	0
22	Nov_20_2014	95.32	24.91	24.62	23.8	23.49	22.98	23.59(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-190	-5	-24	0.01	25%	-1.14	-185.7	9.3%	0	-1	43	0
23	Nov_19_2014	96.42	25.18	24.96	24.12	24.04	22.96	22.96(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-320	-12	-19	0.03	24%	-1.07	-85.1	9.29%	0	-0.7	37	0
24	Nov_18_2014	97.46	25.96	25.23	24.6	24.66	23.99	22.68(-6.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-180	-13	-11	0.09	24%	-1.01	-70.1	9.29%	0	-0.8	45	0
25	Nov_17_2014	98.45	26.59	25.44	25.13	25.25	25.12	24.15(-5.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-20	-4	-1	0.08	24%		-62.4	9.3%	0	-0.6	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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