Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $138.1100 (5.51%) ($127.6100 - $141.4000) on Fri. Jun. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.47% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $138.1100(5.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(6%)    XLV(5%)    IWM(3%)    XHB(3%)    XLB(3%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -1.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-5%)    LQD(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.735% (StdDev 3.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $133.39(3.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $134.27(2.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $127.35(8.45%)
To recent high   -10.8%
To recent low   40.6%
Market Cap   $2.803b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 6.49% (three month std-dev: 3.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.92%(44%) Average negative next day return: -2.93%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.65%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.97%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 5.62%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.83%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2014	132.89	127.35	134.27	133.39	133.51	133.41	138.11(5.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-0	14	97	0.02	50%	-0.12	45	3.47%	0	1.3	69	INF
2	Jun_19_2014	133.05	126.41	132.73	133.13	133.34	132.61	130.9(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-30	-33	84	0.06	48%	-0.14	49.4	3.43%	0	0.6	63	INF
3	Jun_18_2014	133.23	125.8	131.87	134.41	134.81	133.61	131.53(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-50	-37	97	0.01	48%	-0.11	57.7	3.44%	0	0.7	63	INF
4	Jun_17_2014	133.38	125.21	130.68	136.98	137.02	134.07	134.96(2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-150	-37	118	0.01	48%	-0.06	72.1	3.46%	0	1.2	65	INF
5	Jun_16_2014	133.46	124.44	128.79	136.58	138.29	136.01	131.46(-3.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-80	-39	112	0.01	48%	-0.13	78.3	3.44%	0	0.9	62	INF

6	Jun_13_2014	133.63	123.74	127.51	135.07	136.87	139.97	136.78(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	61	200	38	131	0.01	46%	-0.15	78.4	3.41%	0	1.7	69	INF
7	Jun_12_2014	133.83	122.58	125.77	132.1	133.07	140.56	137.34(-4.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	153	420	153	151	0.01	46%	-0.19	72.6	3.58%	0	2	71	INF
8	Jun_11_2014	134.08	121.31	123.92	128.83	127.85	133.78	144.34(8.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	171	300	181	141	0.02	48%	-0.13	65.8	3.53%	0	3.5	82	INF
9	Jun_10_2014	134.25	119.68	121.37	123.62	123.05	125.58	133(7.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	90	130	97	70	0.01	43%	-0.01	64.1	3.37%	0	3.2	71	INF
10	Jun_9_2014	134.27	118.65	120.04	120.04	120.31	121.91	123.9(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	100	41	19	0.01	39%	-0.19	49	3.24%	0	1.7	58	INF

11	Jun_6_2014	134.52	118.01	119.64	118.87	118.9	120.51	121.94(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	100	37	11	0	41%	-0.19	23	3.27%	0	1.2	61	INF
12	Jun_5_2014	134.78	117.52	119.39	118.44	118.13	118.71	120.96(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	30	22	9	0.01	41%	-0.19	8.8	3.4%	0	1	67	INF
13	Jun_4_2014	135.04	117.08	119.14	118.22	118.09	117.29	118.3(2.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-10	-50	-13	1	0	41%	-0.24	-4.8	3.38%	0	0.4	66	INF
14	Jun_3_2014	135.36	117.04	119.29	118.76	118.84	117.55	115.08(-2.55%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-25	-70	-35	6	0.01	40%	-0.24	-7.2	3.37%	0	-0.6	58	INF
15	Jun_2_2014	135.68	117.16	119.85	119.98	119.81	118.9	118.09(-1.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-13	-60	-27	29	0.01	40%	-0.17	-4.2	3.38%	0	0.3	67	INF

16	May_30_2014	135.91	117.27	119.86	119.98	120.54	120.13	119.77(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-20	-7	51	0	40%	-0.15	-0.3	3.41%	0	0.7	78	INF
17	May_29_2014	136.11	117.23	119.36	120.44	120.31	120.72	119.84(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	20	1	59	0	40%	-0.14	-4.4	3.43%	0	0.8	73	INF
18	May_28_2014	136.3	117.25	118.7	120.18	120.01	120.95	121.03(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	50	23	67	0	38%	-0.1	-11.3	3.46%	0	1.1	77	INF
19	May_27_2014	136.44	117.29	117.98	119.92	119.26	119.9	121.17(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	20	15	58	0.01	38%	0.04	-15.5	3.49%	0	1.1	56	INF
20	May_23_2014	136.39	117.3	117.2	119.74	118.97	119.08	120.4(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10	10	49	0.01	43%	-0.04	-9.5	3.61%	0	0.8	55	INF

21	May_22_2014	136.44	117.29	116.28	119.21	118.87	118.62	119.77(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-20	6	30	0	43%	-0.12	1.2	3.64%	0	0.7	46	INF
22	May_21_2014	136.61	117.39	115.5	118.09	118.41	118.86	118.51(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	30	12	14	0.01	43%	-0.06	15.6	3.67%	0	0.3	47	INF
23	May_20_2014	136.69	117.65	114.84	116.93	117.12	119.13	119.77(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	130	34	3	0	45%	-0.01	34.8	3.68%	0	0.5	45	INF
24	May_19_2014	136.71	117.85	114.54	115.7	115.66	117.96	120.26(2.14%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	38	140	53	-6	0.01	45%	-0.01	48.6	3.73%	0	0.6	43	INF
25	May_16_2014	136.73	117.65	114.15	114.32	114.61	115.11	117.74(3.13%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	20	40	37	-30	0.01	43%		42.7	3.74%	0	0	38	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.