Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $120.2600 (2.14%) ($115.3700 - $121.3800) on Mon. May. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.73% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $120.2600(2.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(6%)    XLV(5%)    IWM(3%)    XHB(3%)    XLB(3%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -1.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-5%)    LQD(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.865% (StdDev 3.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $115.7(3.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $114.54(4.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.85(2.04%)
To recent high   -31.3%
To recent low   22.5%
Market Cap   $2.441b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 3.68% (three month std-dev: 3.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.71%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.41%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.71%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2014	136.71	117.85	114.54	115.7	115.66	117.96	120.26(2.14%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	38	140	53	-6	0.01	45%	-0.01	48.6	3.73%	0	0.6	43	0
2	May_16_2014	136.73	117.65	114.15	114.32	114.61	115.11	117.74(3.13%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	20	40	37	-30	0.01	43%	-0.04	42.7	3.74%	0	0	38	0
3	May_15_2014	136.79	117.25	114.35	112.97	113.7	113.36	114.17(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-0	-4	-57	0.01	43%	-0.17	25.8	3.75%	0	-0.6	35	0
4	May_14_2014	137.02	116.76	114.84	112.53	113.26	114.1	112.7(-0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-12	70	5	-61	0	42%	-0.1	5.2	3.77%	0	-0.7	28	0
5	May_13_2014	137.16	116.16	115.63	112.39	112.85	114.05	113.61(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	90	17	-61	0.01	42%	-0.12	-5.8	3.81%	0	-0.4	26	0

6	May_12_2014	137.32	115.78	116.5	113.2	112.91	112.43	113.4(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-40	-2	-66	0.01	42%	-0.12	-10.7	3.83%	0	-0.3	25	0
7	May_9_2014	137.48	115.8	117.39	113.99	114	111.65	110.95(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-140	-47	-73	0.01	42%	-0.12	-12.2	3.79%	0	-0.6	45	0
8	May_8_2014	137.65	116.01	118.44	115.98	115.89	113.38	112(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-59	-150	-61	-51	0.01	42%	-0.13	-9.9	3.82%	0	-0.5	60	0
9	May_7_2014	137.83	116.45	119.53	117.47	117.87	116.34	112(-4.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-80	-44	-10	0.01	44%	-0.1	-8.2	3.85%	0	-0.6	67	0
10	May_6_2014	137.97	116.57	120.83	119.27	119.11	118.39	117.67(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-7	-50	-23	43	0.01	46%	-0.07	-11.2	3.9%	0	0.1	79	0

11	May_5_2014	138.06	116.59	121.55	120.27	119.83	119.4	117.32(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-40	-18	79	0.01	46%	-0.01	-12.8	3.9%	0	0.1	66	0
12	May_2_2014	138.08	116.73	121.56	120.27	120.84	119.83	120.89(1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-70	-10	97	0.01	44%	0.01	-14.2	3.89%	0	0.6	58	0
13	May_1_2014	138.07	116.75	120.47	121.31	121.44	120.26	119.49(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-60	-26	86	0.01	44%	-0.04	-21.5	3.92%	0	0.4	55	0
14	Apr_30_2014	138.13	117.06	118.95	121.91	121.84	121.84	120.96(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-0	-18	74	0.01	44%	-0.04	-22.1	3.91%	0	0.5	50	0
15	Apr_29_2014	138.18	117.4	116.85	122.64	122.44	122.62	122.71(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	10	4	72	0.01	44%	0.04	-23.4	3.93%	0	0.6	57	0

16	Apr_28_2014	138.13	117.53	115.09	123.07	123.05	121.83	122.5(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-70	1	58	0.01	44%	0.05	-27.3	3.94%	0	0.6	53	0
17	Apr_25_2014	138.06	117.8	114.07	121.84	122.81	122.26	120.89(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10	-0	40	0.01	43%	0.04	-37.2	3.95%	0	0.4	50	0
18	Apr_24_2014	138	118.38	113.34	119.39	120.87	124.27	122.5(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	230	59	36	0.01	41%	0.03	-50.4	3.98%	0	0.4	50	0
19	Apr_23_2014	137.96	118.83	112.99	115.37	116.91	123.37	124.6(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	115	430	142	32	0.01	41%	0.04	-65.2	4.04%	0	0.6	47	0
20	Apr_22_2014	137.9	119.36	111.74	110.1	110.76	117.47	124.88(7.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	103	440	144	-22	0.02	41%	0.04	-76.1	4.05%	0	0.5	46	0

21	Apr_21_2014	137.85	119.88	110.86	106.05	105.56	110.46	116.34(7.09%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	45	310	89	-86	0.01	42%	-0.04	-82.2	3.92%	0	-0.3	42	0
22	Apr_17_2014	137.91	121.17	111.14	105.42	105.02	104.06	108.64(6.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-80	26	-124	0.01	39%	-0.09	-67.8	3.99%	0	-0.9	33	0
23	Apr_16_2014	138.03	123.39	112.44	106.61	106.44	100.66	102.41(4.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-139	-380	-121	-192	0.01	36%	-0.12	-60.3	3.91%	0	-1.4	24	0
24	Apr_15_2014	138.19	125.72	114.91	110.31	111.1	105.97	98.21(-6.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-144	-300	-131	-181	0.02	34%	-0.16	-58	3.86%	0	-1.9	20	0
25	Apr_14_2014	138.41	128.15	118.1	113.37	115.74	112.22	104.65(-7.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-94	-150	-76	-149	0.02	36%		-61.8	3.8%	0	-1.8	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.