Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ARCT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 23, 2013

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $128.3800 (-0.81%) ($124.9500 - $130.1300) on Mon. Dec. 23, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.82% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $128.3800(-0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(4%)    UUP(4%)    XOP(4%)    BNDX(1%)    EWG(1%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -2.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-5%)    XLU(-3%)    XBI(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.41% (StdDev 4.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $127.86(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $125.73(2.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $122.3(4.97%)
To recent high   -28.1%
To recent low   21.6%
Market Cap   $2.606b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 3.6% (three month std-dev: 4.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.56%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.36%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -3.11%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.38%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.18%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140123

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2013	116.19	122.3	125.73	127.86	128.31	127.87	128.38(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	6	57	0.01	67%	0.27	97.2	4.82%	0	1.4	62	0
2	Dec_20_2013	115.88	121.54	124.73	127.44	128.02	127.58	129.43(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	4	-10	-11	48	0.01	67%	0.4	90.5	4.82%	0	1.7	64	0
3	Dec_19_2013	115.42	120.64	123.37	125.55	128.92	128.75	127.19(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	70	19	43	0.01	67%	0.48	73.3	4.82%	0	1.4	56	0
4	Dec_18_2013	114.87	119.82	122.18	124.08	127.06	128.47	129.01(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	150	7	26	0.02	67%	0.53	61.2	4.81%	0	1.9	61	0
5	Dec_17_2013	114.27	118.8	121.11	123.27	125.36	129.1	125.3(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	260	39	35	0.03	67%	0.48	51.4	4.8%	0	1.3	60	0

6	Dec_16_2013	113.72	118.16	120.49	123.33	124.75	125.66	126.28(5.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	56	90	60	45	0.05	67%	0.49	51.5	4.81%	0	1.7	60	0
7	Dec_13_2013	113.16	117.52	119.73	121.67	122.73	121.62	119.98(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-40	-15	12	0.01	66%	0.43	43.8	4.77%	0	0.5	63	0
8	Dec_12_2013	112.67	117.28	119.94	120.78	121.98	121.62	119.84(-4.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	140	15	29	0.01	66%	0.44	39.9	4.77%	0	0.6	65	0
9	Dec_11_2013	112.18	116.91	119.96	119.81	120.14	123.84	124.95(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	220	54	49	0.02	67%	0.5	25.6	4.74%	0	1.8	74	0
10	Dec_10_2013	111.62	116.32	119.26	118.59	118.55	120.12	125.58(6.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	43	90	42	47	0.02	67%	0.5	9.2	4.84%	0	2.2	77	0

11	Dec_9_2013	111.06	115.73	118.53	117.36	118.66	116.45	118.02(2.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-2	-100	-11	25	0.01	67%	0.43	-5.8	4.79%	0	0.6	60	0
12	Dec_6_2013	110.58	115.58	118.07	117.63	119.38	116.99	115.5(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-38	-100	-54	9	0	67%	0.43	0	4.84%	0	-0	54	0
13	Dec_5_2013	110.11	115.52	117.74	119	120.79	120.88	115.01(-3.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	50	-18	29	0.01	69%	0.42	10.4	4.85%	0	-0.1	51	0
14	Dec_4_2013	109.65	115.76	117.41	120.02	121.73	121.77	118.86(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	50	17	48	0.02	69%	0.45	22.8	4.9%	0	0.8	62	0
15	Dec_3_2013	109.16	115.93	116.45	119.92	120.82	120.71	119.42(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	20	-11	32	0.01	69%	0.44	28.4	4.9%	0	0.9	59	0

16	Dec_2_2013	108.68	115.94	115.77	119.83	120.99	121.69	119.35(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	70	17	42	0.01	69%	0.42	28.3	4.92%	0	0.8	57	0
17	Nov_29_2013	108.23	115.58	115.21	118.53	120.24	120.93	122.36(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	80	26	37	0	69%	0.93	12.1	4.91%	0	1.7	60	0
18	Nov_27_2013	107.23	115.15	114.41	116.31	118.35	120.29	120.09(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	170	28	26	0	69%	0.58	-9.7	4.87%	0	1.3	60	0
19	Nov_26_2013	106.61	114.92	113.57	114.42	116.08	119.54	118.37(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	250	57	19	0.01	69%	0.59	-16.8	4.91%	0	1	45	0
20	Nov_25_2013	105.98	114.79	113.04	112.46	113.14	116.41	119(5.46%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.8	41	220	55	-3	0.01	69%	0.67	-28.9	4.91%	0	1.2	41	0

21	Nov_22_2013	105.27	114.78	112.53	111.2	111.23	112.62	112.84(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	15	90	29	-27	0.01	68%	0.08	-46.8	4.87%	0	-0.5	38	0
22	Nov_21_2013	105.19	115.09	112.75	111.44	110.94	109.87	111.23(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-80	-9	-39	0.01	68%	0.6	-63.2	4.91%	0	-1	51	0
23	Nov_20_2013	104.56	115.51	113.04	112.25	112.01	109.83	110.67(1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-140	-31	-44	0.01	68%	0.61	-73.6	4.92%	0	-1.3	47	0
24	Nov_19_2013	103.93	115.52	113.96	112.55	113.34	112	108.57(-3.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-60	-27	-37	0.01	68%	0.58	-101.9	4.94%	0	-1.9	42	0
25	Nov_18_2013	103.33	115.85	115.43	113.58	113.6	114.19	112.7(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	40	-5	-16	0.01	68%		-113.7	4.91%	0	-0.8	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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