Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 8, 2013

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $159.3900 (-10.74%) ($137.9000 - $187.4600) on Tue. Oct. 8, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.36% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $159.3900(-10.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 4.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 24% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(4%)    XOP(4%)    VWO(2%)    BNDX(1%)    EEM(1%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -2.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.68% (StdDev 5.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -12.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $163.38(-2.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $144.35(10.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $128.13(24.4%)
To recent high   -10.7%
To recent low   188.2%
Market Cap   $3.235b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 17.72% (three month std-dev: 5.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2013	82.05	128.13	144.35	163.38	167.49	172.59	159.39(-10.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	95	290	32	282	0.02	89%	1	87.9	5.36%	0	1.4	76	NAN
2	Oct_7_2013	81.24	125.33	139.14	156.86	160.08	175.32	178.57(3.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	244	730	217	325	0.01	94%	1.27	86	5.39%	0	2.4	86	NAN
3	Oct_4_2013	80.22	121.31	132.04	146.4	147.45	162.4	172.76(6.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	256	730	246	285	0.01	94%	1.25	85.4	5.4%	0	2.7	82	NAN
4	Oct_3_2013	79.23	117.31	125.6	138.04	136.56	144.83	162.82(13.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	187	390	178	215	0.01	94%	1.15	89	5.42%	0	3	78	NAN
5	Oct_2_2013	78.33	113.7	119.98	129.14	129.53	132.5	143.36(13.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	102	170	91	134	0.01	94%	0.9	88.4	5.23%	0	2.4	73	NAN

6	Oct_1_2013	77.63	110.86	116.4	122.71	124.13	128.3	126.77(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	270	60	85	0	93%	0.7	78.3	5.04%	0	1.4	65	NAN
7	Sep_30_2013	77.09	108.92	114.63	118.47	119.3	126.55	126.28(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	103	450	109	85	0.01	93%	0.72	66.7	5.04%	0	1.6	72	NAN
8	Sep_27_2013	76.54	107.11	113.09	115.16	113.94	119.97	130.97(10.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	106	340	115	79	0.01	93%	0.8	56.6	4.99%	0	2.2	79	NAN
9	Sep_26_2013	75.93	105.09	111.14	111.26	110.27	112.05	118.3(6.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	55	90	56	50	0	93%	0.64	51	4.87%	0	1.4	78	NAN
10	Sep_25_2013	75.45	103.72	110.54	109.55	109.11	107.91	111.23(5.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-90	-7	36	0	92%	0.55	44	4.83%	0	0.8	77	NAN

11	Sep_24_2013	75.04	102.69	110.72	109.21	109.54	108.48	105.56(-3.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-60	-27	55	0	89%	0.48	40.8	4.81%	0	0.3	80	NAN
12	Sep_23_2013	74.68	102.15	110.76	110.05	110.29	110.32	109.76(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	10	-8	90	0	89%	0.55	42.5	4.81%	0	0.8	86	NAN
13	Sep_20_2013	74.27	101.38	110.09	110.52	110.86	110.59	111.44(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	-10	-4	112	0	87%	0.6	43.8	4.82%	0	1	81	NAN
14	Sep_19_2013	73.83	100.42	108.7	110.98	111.8	110.26	109.76(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-70	-17	121	0	87%	0.6	43.8	4.82%	0	1	76	NAN
15	Sep_18_2013	73.39	99.72	107.23	111.72	112.6	111.13	109.55(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-70	-31	130	0	87%	0.6	46.3	4.82%	0	1.1	76	NAN

16	Sep_17_2013	72.95	98.88	105.16	112.48	113.38	113.34	109.76(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	37	20	-1	151	0	87%	0.62	46.9	4.82%	0	1.2	77	NAN
17	Sep_16_2013	72.5	98.16	103.05	111.47	112.99	114.07	112.07(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	61	110	30	153	0	87%	0.69	43.2	4.82%	0	1.6	71	NAN
18	Sep_13_2013	72	97.3	100.87	109.48	110.52	113.42	113.75(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	210	51	145	0	87%	0.74	37.1	4.81%	0	2	73	NAN
19	Sep_12_2013	71.47	96.39	98.59	105.99	107.06	111.92	113.47(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	103	350	91	137	0	87%	0.75	26.3	4.81%	0	2.4	74	NAN
20	Sep_11_2013	70.94	95.59	96.24	102.04	102.2	107.63	113.33(8.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	108	380	108	108	0.01	87%	0.78	19.4	4.82%	0	3	66	NAN

21	Sep_10_2013	70.39	94.79	93.77	96.83	97.49	102.19	104.72(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	89	360	98	62	0.01	86%	0.66	1.1	4.75%	0	2.2	63	NAN
22	Sep_9_2013	69.93	94.53	92.59	93.4	93.51	96.78	102.13(6.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	57	250	69	22	0.01	86%	0.62	-22.4	4.77%	0	1.8	56	NAN
23	Sep_6_2013	69.5	94.4	91.7	91.02	91	92.78	96.32(2.79%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	23	140	34	-12	0	85%	0.52	-36.1	4.74%	0	0.5	49	NAN
24	Sep_5_2013	69.14	94.56	91.25	90.11	90.52	90.25	93.71(7.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10	15	-33	0	86%	0.48	-23.9	4.75%	0	-0.2	43	NAN
25	Sep_4_2013	68.81	94.45	91.47	89.59	90.22	89.22	87.29(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-60	-20	-56	0	85%		-8.3	4.7%	0	-1.7	27	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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