Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 13, 2013

Trading Signals: ARCT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. May. 22, 2013 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Arcturus Therapeutics)
ARCT latest price $99.8900 (-1.45%) ($98.0700 - $103.1100) on Tue. Aug. 13, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.95% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $99.8900(-1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ARCT advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ARCT advances 17% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ARCT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(4%)    XOP(4%)    VWO(2%)    BNDX(1%)    EEM(1%)
Factors Impacting ARCT price   ARCT will decline at least -2.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    IGOV(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.475% (StdDev 4.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $98.7(1.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.64(5.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.04(20.29%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   114.9%
Market Cap   $2.028b

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. engages in the research and development of medical applications for the nucleic acid-focused technology. The firm develops RNA therapeutics which focuses on the treatment of liver and respiratory diseases. Its pipeline include LUNAR-OTC and LUNAR CF. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

July 7, 2020 ARCT develops mRNA based covid vaccine. Now it's still in preclinical stage, and plan to start phase I clinic trail this summer.

$. ARCT price fluctuates within 16.29% (three month std-dev: 4.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -4.29%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.06%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.49%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130913

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_13_2013	62.46	83.04	94.64	98.7	99.86	100.62	99.89(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	69	90	21	214	0.01	77%	1.05	61.9	4.95%	0	1.2	78	0
2	Aug_12_2013	61.81	81.52	91.85	97.13	96.7	101.04	101.36(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	68	300	20	210	0.01	77%	1.16	66	4.98%	0	1.5	81	0
3	Aug_9_2013	61.1	79.96	88.79	97.31	96.53	99.09	100.94(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	112	160	68	242	0.01	77%	1.19	79.4	5.02%	0	1.7	80	0
4	Aug_8_2013	60.38	78.56	85.82	96.73	96.7	92.37	100.38(10.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	59	-310	4	225	0.01	77%	1.24	97.9	5.06%	0	1.9	80	0
5	Aug_7_2013	59.64	76.82	82.87	93.45	95.62	93.98	90.93(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-50	-44	193	0.01	75%	1	106.5	4.96%	0	1.3	78	0

6	Aug_6_2013	59.05	75.43	80.92	89.75	93.85	101.04	92.05(-9.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	130	670	100	221	0.02	75%	1.1	103.1	4.99%	0	1.6	77	0
7	Aug_5_2013	58.41	73.73	78.68	85.4	86.88	97.27	102.27(4.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	204	890	196	227	0.02	82%	1.49	95.7	4.79%	0	2.7	92	0
8	Aug_2_2013	57.55	71.31	75.25	78.93	78.77	86.66	98(16.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	166	700	171	152	0.02	82%	1.43	88	4.82%	0	2.8	85	0
9	Aug_1_2013	56.74	68.77	72.2	73.54	73.17	76.5	84(15.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	91	300	99	66	0.02	79%	0.98	91.4	4.33%	0	2.1	65	0
10	Jul_31_2013	56.19	67	70.61	71.02	70.62	70.88	72.45(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	10	16	10	0	74%	0.61	78.7	3.8%	0	0.7	65	0

11	Jul_30_2013	55.85	65.87	70.34	70.81	70.58	69.84	70.28(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-80	-10	11	0	74%	0.56	72.2	3.82%	0	0.5	70	0
12	Jul_29_2013	55.54	64.85	70.32	70.77	71.03	70.36	69.93(-1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-60	-14	33	0	74%	0.56	68.7	3.87%	0	0.6	77	0
13	Jul_26_2013	55.23	63.8	70.5	70.8	71.23	71.32	71.05(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	30	-1	74	0	74%	0.64	65.5	3.89%	0	0.7	82	0
14	Jul_25_2013	54.88	62.66	70.83	70.55	70.98	71.69	71.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	46	90	15	137	0	74%	0.7	61.6	3.93%	0	0.9	88	0
15	Jul_24_2013	54.5	61.48	70.43	70.11	70.4	71.15	71.4(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	58	90	18	178	0.01	74%	0.72	58.5	3.98%	0	1	86	0

16	Jul_23_2013	54.11	60.29	69.69	70.11	69.75	70.27	70.07(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	59	50	8	211	0.01	74%	0.71	56.9	4.02%	0	0.9	85	0
17	Jul_22_2013	53.73	59.12	68.63	69.83	69.7	69.65	70.07(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	59	-10	-1	240	0.01	74%	0.75	56.1	4.07%	0	1	85	0
18	Jul_19_2013	53.33	58.02	67.26	70.17	70.21	69.23	69.79(0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	49	-100	-23	266	0	74%	0.77	58	4.12%	0	1.1	85	0
19	Jul_18_2013	52.92	56.98	65.22	71.18	71.62	69.75	69.23(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	61	-160	-19	301	0.01	74%	0.8	64.4	4.17%	0	1.2	85	0
20	Jul_17_2013	52.5	55.96	63.25	70.77	72.27	71.18	70(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	71	-40	-11	317	0.01	74%	0.88	67.1	4.21%	0	1.4	87	0

21	Jul_16_2013	52.04	54.86	61.17	69.45	71.25	73.5	70.07(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	110	300	36	332	0.01	74%	0.95	66.8	4.27%	0	1.6	87	0
22	Jul_15_2013	51.55	53.73	59.02	67.1	68.75	73.36	71.75(-4.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	165	540	106	341	0.02	74%	1.1	63.2	4.29%	0	2.1	91	0
23	Jul_12_2013	50.99	52.54	56.58	63.81	64.33	69	74.83(11.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	177	530	133	309	0.04	74%	1.35	58.1	4.27%	0	2.9	89	0
24	Jul_11_2013	50.31	51.11	53.7	58.42	59.63	64.13	67.2(5.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	151	590	125	230	0.02	70%	1	48.9	3.94%	0	2.9	80	0
25	Jul_10_2013	49.81	50.07	51.6	54.67	55.21	59.66	63.42(8.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	123	590	112	156	0.02	67%		36.7	3.9%	0	3.2	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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