Trading Signals: APD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: APD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Air Products and Chemicals Inc.)
APD latest price $146.6000 (-0.2%) ($145.1000 - $146.8500) on Thu. Jun. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $146.6000(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APD advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APD advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(73%)    IWD(68%)    VYM(68%)    IVE(67%)    SDY(66%)
Factors Impacting APD price   APD will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-19%)    UUP(-13%)    GDXJ(-6%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $145.51(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $144.47(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $143.52(2.15%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $32.383b

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. engages in the manufacture and distribution of atmospheric gases. It operates through the following segments: Industrial Gases-Americas; Industrial Gases-EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa); Industrial Gases-Asia; Industrial Gases-Global; and Corporate and Other. The Industrial Gases-America, EMEA and Asia segment markets and produces atmospheric gases such as oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases; process gases such as hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, syngas, and specialty gases; and equipment for the production and processing of gases such as air separation units and non-cryogenic generators. The Industrial Gases-Global segment comprises cryogenic and gas processing equipment for air separation. The Corporate and Other segment includes LNG equipment and helium storage and distribution sale of equipment businesses and corporate support functions. The company was founded by Leonard Parker Pool on September 30, 1940 and is headquartered in Allentown, PA.

$. APD price fluctuates within 1.07% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.25%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.44%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.81%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.91%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.38%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.79%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160709

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_9_2016	138.79	143.52	144.47	145.51	145.63	146.16	146.6(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	30	49	87	0.59	59%	0.22	39.3	1%	0	2	74	0
2	Jun_8_2016	138.49	143.3	144.15	144.89	144.88	145.81	146.89(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	72	40	66	89	0.8	59%	0.2	30.2	1%	0	2.6	76	0
3	Jun_7_2016	138.22	143.14	143.77	144.31	144.12	145.1	145.25(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	85	40	84	86	0.89	57%	0.06	26.9	0.99%	0	1.9	61	0
4	Jun_6_2016	138.14	143	143.41	143.79	143.49	143.95	145.56(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	60	20	61	58	0.72	57%	0.2	1.4	0.99%	0	2.6	58	0
5	Jun_3_2016	137.86	142.93	142.99	143.29	143.06	143.14	143.25(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-0	5	23	0.51	54%	0.19	-21	0.98%	0	0.4	58	0

6	Jun_2_2016	137.6	142.92	142.85	143.25	143.07	143.04	143.5(-0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	3	-10	-1	14	0.67	54%	0.19	-48.4	0.98%	0	0.7	50	0
7	Jun_1_2016	137.34	142.89	142.67	143.29	143.17	142.98	144(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-7	-10	-12	8	0.82	54%	0.17	-75.8	0.97%	0	1.3	56	0
8	May_31_2016	137.11	142.84	142.54	143.15	143.43	143.1	142.64(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10	-7	1	0.68	54%	0.31	-106.7	0.98%	0	-0.2	42	0
9	May_27_2016	136.69	142.98	142.62	142.96	143.31	143.36	143.06(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	10	-6	1	0.44	54%	0.18	-88.2	0.99%	0	0.1	52	0
10	May_26_2016	136.45	143.11	142.5	142.63	142.99	143.76	143.07(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	50	40	1	0.44	54%	0.15	-75.2	1%	0	-0	44	0

11	May_25_2016	136.25	143.36	142.51	142.36	142.59	143.27	143.68(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	40	75	8	0.67	54%	0.12	-68.6	1%	0	0.2	51	0
12	May_24_2016	136.08	143.56	142.37	141.96	142.02	142.22	143.3(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	10	20	-25	0.6	54%	0.1	-70.3	1%	0	-0.1	51	0
13	May_23_2016	135.94	143.75	142.44	141.88	141.89	141.92	141.67(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	0	-10	-35	0.83	51%	0.04	-70	1%	0	-0.9	46	0
14	May_20_2016	135.88	144.06	142.54	142.25	142.24	141.81	141.44(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-20	-10	-38	0.62	51%	0.09	-61.2	1.01%	0	-1.1	37	0
15	May_19_2016	135.76	144.39	142.85	142.33	142.45	141.87	141.7(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-51	-30	-49	-58	0.66	51%	0.07	-54.2	1.02%	0	-1.1	37	0

16	May_18_2016	135.66	144.71	143.02	142.66	142.65	142.66	141.7(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	0	-32	-63	0.68	51%	0.06	-44.2	1.02%	0	-1.2	31	0
17	May_17_2016	135.58	145.07	143.15	142.8	143.04	143.03	142.88(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	0	14	-63	1.63	51%	0.08	-34.5	1.02%	0	-0.9	34	0
18	May_16_2016	135.47	145.38	143.18	143.09	143.09	142.63	143.55(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-20	-23	-89	0.84	51%	0.06	-23.7	1.02%	0	-0.7	38	0
19	May_13_2016	135.39	145.53	143.38	142.9	143.27	143.04	141.83(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-0	-40	-108	0.68	48%	0.07	-21	1.02%	0	-1.5	32	0
20	May_12_2016	135.3	145.71	143.78	143.45	143.53	143.55	143.34(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	0	-1	-91	1.02	57%	0.08	-10.9	1.01%	0	-1	34	0

21	May_11_2016	135.19	145.82	144.26	143.43	143.67	143.49	142.42(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-0	-3	-90	0.71	50%	0.08	-4.6	1.05%	0	-1.5	30	0
22	May_10_2016	135.08	145.95	144.83	143.52	143.68	143.52	144.32(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-0	-6	-89	0.92	54%	0.11	-2.1	1.09%	0	-0.8	32	0
23	May_9_2016	134.93	145.96	145.13	143.28	143.45	143.86	142.61(-1.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-32	20	-9	-102	0.87	51%	0.12	-2	1.1%	0	-1.5	23	0
24	May_6_2016	134.77	146.03	145.67	143.94	143.48	143.85	144.57(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	10	22	-67	1.53	46%	0.11	8.1	1.18%	0	-0.7	44	0
25	May_5_2016	134.62	145.96	146.02	144.2	143.83	143.05	143.25(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-50	-36	-77	1.29	46%		5	1.19%	0	-1.2	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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