Trading Signals: APD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: APD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Air Products and Chemicals Inc.)
APD latest price $119.0100 (0.8%) ($118.0700 - $120.4400) on Thu. Jan. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $119.0100(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APD advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APD declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLB(73%)    IWD(68%)    VYM(68%)    IVE(67%)    SDY(66%)
Factors Impacting APD price   APD will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-12%)    GDXJ(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $120.84
5 Day Moving Average   $118.15(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $118.13(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $120.84(-1.51%)
To recent high   -16.3%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $26.289b

Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. engages in the manufacture and distribution of atmospheric gases. It operates through the following segments: Industrial Gases-Americas; Industrial Gases-EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa); Industrial Gases-Asia; Industrial Gases-Global; and Corporate and Other. The Industrial Gases-America, EMEA and Asia segment markets and produces atmospheric gases such as oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases; process gases such as hydrogen, helium, carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, syngas, and specialty gases; and equipment for the production and processing of gases such as air separation units and non-cryogenic generators. The Industrial Gases-Global segment comprises cryogenic and gas processing equipment for air separation. The Corporate and Other segment includes LNG equipment and helium storage and distribution sale of equipment businesses and corporate support functions. The company was founded by Leonard Parker Pool on September 30, 1940 and is headquartered in Allentown, PA.

$. APD price fluctuates within 3.24% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.92%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.53%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.42%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2016	132.54	120.84	118.13	118.15	118.3	118.81	119.01(0.8%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	16	30	26	-15	1.83	37%	-0.14	-87	1.33%	0	-0.5	48	INF
2	Jan_27_2016	132.73	121.49	118.07	117.79	118.32	118.24	118.07(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	7	10	23	-41	1.52	37%	-0.17	-72.4	1.36%	0	-0.7	36	INF
3	Jan_26_2016	132.95	122.19	118.35	117.68	118.1	117.79	118.41(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10	-21	-80	1.21	37%	-0.11	-61.3	1.36%	0	-0.7	31	INF
4	Jan_25_2016	133.1	122.89	118.45	117.92	117.9	118.41	116.31(-2.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-36	30	-12	-107	1.11	35%	-0.15	-54	1.33%	0	-1.1	23	INF
5	Jan_22_2016	133.3	123.72	118.74	118.22	118.23	118.42	118.97(1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	13	10	55	-112	1.04	36%	-0.16	-53	1.33%	0	-0.8	24	INF

6	Jan_21_2016	133.52	124.34	118.8	118.1	117.59	117.38	117.17(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-71	-30	-31	-192	1.21	34%	-0.17	-51	1.33%	0	-1.2	17	INF
7	Jan_20_2016	133.75	125	119.43	118.38	117.72	118.03	117.56(-1.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-67	0	-18	-212	1.74	34%	-0.14	-48.7	1.34%	0	-1.2	16	INF
8	Jan_19_2016	133.94	125.55	120.31	119.11	118.53	117.79	119.59(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-49	-60	5	-211	1.79	35%	-0.2	-48.5	1.33%	0	-1	20	INF
9	Jan_15_2016	134.21	126.1	121.2	119.09	118.95	117.42	117.82(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-139	-90	-94	-272	2.32	33%	-0.18	-52.6	1.3%	0	-1.4	13	INF
10	Jan_14_2016	134.45	126.84	122.38	119.33	119.83	119.26	118.38(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-109	-20	-58	-263	3.2	33%	-0.15	-56	1.31%	0	-1.5	14	INF

11	Jan_13_2016	134.65	127.52	123.73	119.58	120.21	120.48	118.55(-2.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-69	30	-12	-241	1.34	33%	-0.12	-59.3	1.31%	0	-1.7	21	INF
12	Jan_12_2016	134.81	128.09	125.17	120.63	120.31	120.39	121.21(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-68	-0	-17	-219	2.38	35%	-0.09	-65.5	1.29%	0	-1.4	30	INF
13	Jan_11_2016	134.93	128.58	126.29	121.76	121.18	119.94	119.49(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-114	-90	-81	-214	2.27	32%	-0.13	-71.3	1.27%	0	-2	34	INF
14	Jan_8_2016	135.11	129.27	127.68	123.7	123.06	120.23	119.02(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-172	-180	-163	-200	2.58	37%	-0.16	-72.1	1.29%	0	-2.5	28	INF
15	Jan_7_2016	135.33	130.04	129.15	125.92	125.23	122.43	119.64(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-205	-170	-216	-173	3.94	37%	-0.19	-76.7	1.34%	0	-3	26	INF

16	Jan_6_2016	135.59	130.76	130.44	128.45	127.78	125.89	123.79(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-141	-120	-153	-103	1.49	41%	-0.17	-87.4	1.29%	0	-2.8	34	INF
17	Jan_5_2016	135.82	131.42	131.14	130.33	129.83	128.04	126.88(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-98	-110	-115	-48	1.36	47%	-0.15	-87.8	1.25%	0	-2.4	48	INF
18	Jan_4_2016	136.03	131.99	131.33	131.47	131.3	129.68	129.19(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-91	-90	-111	-32	1.32	50%	-0.21	-68.2	1.26%	0	-1.4	48	INF
19	Dec_31_2015	136.31	132.31	131.48	132.27	132.32	131.63	130.11(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-57	-40	-73	-7	0.85	50%	-0.11	-51.9	1.26%	0	-0.9	45	INF
20	Dec_30_2015	136.46	132.71	131.7	132.89	132.89	132.93	132.26(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	0	-4	29	0.81	52%	-0.11	-42.6	1.25%	0	-0.2	45	INF

21	Dec_29_2015	136.61	132.98	131.61	132.74	133	133.02	133.2(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	10	29	34	0.66	52%	-0.11	-44.4	1.26%	0	0.1	50	INF
22	Dec_28_2015	136.76	133.14	131.2	132.09	132.39	132.85	132.6(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	17	30	25	-6	0.64	49%	-0.18	-52.4	1.26%	0	-0.2	40	INF
23	Dec_24_2015	137	133.38	130.97	131.14	131.61	132.98	133.19(0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	47	80	73	-31	0.34	49%	-0.11	-61.5	1.28%	0	-0.1	37	INF
24	Dec_23_2015	137.15	133.62	130.86	130.58	130.52	131.94	133.18(1.24%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	45	70	77	-51	0.57	49%	-0.09	-64.8	1.29%	0	-0.1	44	INF
25	Dec_22_2015	137.28	133.91	130.87	130.38	130.16	130.24	131.55(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	10	-0	41	-85	0.9	49%		-63.1	1.29%	0	-0.7	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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