Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 20, 2021

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $27.4000 (2.22%) ($27.4000 - $27.4000) on Wed. Oct. 20, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.55% (three month average)
RSI   97
Latest Price   $27.4000(2.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 10.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(67%)    XLE(65%)    OIH(64%)    VFMO(47%)    XME(47%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-18%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-9%)    VXX(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.775% (StdDev 3.55%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.76(2.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.58(7.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.77(15.27%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   71.4%
Market Cap   $328.964b

$. APA price fluctuates within 9.09% (three month std-dev: 3.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 35 Average positive next day return: 2.66%(49%) Average negative next day return: -2.63%(51%) Sample size 35 Average positive next three day return: 5.06%(49%) Average negative next three day return: -4.22%(51%) Sample size 35 Average positive next weekly return: 6.73%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.64%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2021	20.55	23.77	25.58	26.76	26.89	27.1	27.4(2.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	60	70	18	185	7.43	72%	0.2	88.8	3.55%	1.2	1.7	97	1.7
2	Oct_19_2021	20.51	23.34	25.06	26.22	26.6	26.85	26.81(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	110	16	173	7.18	69%	0.34	78.2	3.56%	-0.6	1.6	96	1.9
3	Oct_18_2021	20.44	22.95	24.6	25.79	26.07	26.68	26.89(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	200	20	164	10.9	69%	0.29	69.5	3.61%	0.5	1.8	89	2.1
4	Oct_15_2021	20.38	22.6	24.11	25.31	25.52	26.36	26.48(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	260	26	142	10.26	69%	0.3	70.8	3.63%	1.1	1.8	67	2
5	Oct_14_2021	20.32	22.29	23.64	24.9	25.02	25.46	26.24(6.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	55	140	30	129	10.56	66%	0.3	75.1	3.66%	2	2	73	1.9

6	Oct_13_2021	20.26	21.99	23.14	24.22	24.56	24.68	24.68(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	80	17	107	7.16	65%	0.25	78	3.68%	1	1.6	76	1.5
7	Oct_12_2021	20.21	21.72	22.8	23.7	24.11	24.59	24.69(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	190	19	106	9.31	65%	0.2	70.4	3.68%	0.7	1.7	80	1.4
8	Oct_11_2021	20.17	21.48	22.49	23.21	23.46	24.44	24.48(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	48	320	27	111	12.65	65%	0.15	68.8	3.68%	1	1.9	79	1.3
9	Oct_8_2021	20.14	21.19	22.33	22.72	22.89	23.63	24.4(6.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	54	250	33	117	18.15	65%	0.2	58.9	3.69%	1.5	2.1	68	1.9
10	Oct_7_2021	20.1	20.91	22.06	22.21	22.3	22.48	22.87(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	70	14	102	15.22	63%	0.1	54.2	3.61%	1.5	1.4	62	1.4

11	Oct_6_2021	20.08	20.72	21.8	21.92	22.04	22.15	22.09(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	50	6	85	7.78	60%	0.05	47.7	3.6%	-0.6	1	58	0.7
12	Oct_5_2021	20.07	20.59	21.5	21.75	21.84	22.13	22.21(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	110	7	76	11.45	60%	0	48.3	3.64%	-0	1.2	65	0.5
13	Oct_4_2021	20.07	20.46	21.19	21.65	21.6	21.94	22.05(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	100	0	62	10.53	60%	0	51	3.67%	0.6	1.2	59	-0.2
14	Oct_1_2021	20.07	20.34	20.99	21.89	21.51	21.55	21.82(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-40	0	86	9.35	60%	0.05	67.6	3.68%	1	1.2	65	-0
15	Sep_30_2021	20.06	20.2	20.85	21.91	21.86	21.27	21.42(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	28	-200	3	103	11.19	60%	0.05	74.8	3.67%	0.3	1	62	-0.8

16	Sep_29_2021	20.05	20.09	20.77	21.66	21.96	21.47	21.26(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	-110	1	104	9.39	60%	0	76.4	3.69%	-1	1	61	-1.1
17	Sep_28_2021	20.05	19.97	20.59	21.17	21.68	22.46	21.69(-6.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	320	21	90	18.63	58%	0	72.4	3.68%	-0.2	1.5	60	-1.1
18	Sep_27_2021	20.05	19.81	20.42	20.61	20.97	22.45	23.25(6.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	55	550	47	80	13.54	61%	0.05	72.6	3.64%	1.3	3	65	1.3
19	Sep_24_2021	20.04	19.53	19.95	19.98	19.89	20.91	21.91(8.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	33	350	31	38	9.07	59%	0	88.1	3.56%	0	2.9	60	1.8
20	Sep_22_2021	20.04	19.33	19.64	19.7	19.5	19.49	20.17(7.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-30	6	16	8.91	56%	0	94.9	3.36%	1.7	1.1	58	-0.6

21	Sep_21_2021	20.04	19.22	19.52	19.79	19.59	18.87	18.81(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-11	-290	-17	8	5.45	56%	-0.1	101.9	3.24%	-0.5	-0.5	48	-2.3
22	Sep_20_2021	20.06	19.15	19.6	19.9	19.99	19.52	18.93(-5.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-10	-150	-20	19	5.99	56%	-0.05	96.3	3.37%	-1.5	-0.2	54	-1.6
23	Sep_17_2021	20.07	19.03	19.68	20.14	19.99	20.31	20.11(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	70	6	52	4.29	56%	0	75.7	3.3%	-0.9	1	61	0.2
24	Sep_16_2021	20.07	18.83	19.65	19.86	20.09	20.47	20.52(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	170	22	62	4.73	56%	-0.05	50.2	3.38%	1.1	1.3	70	1.3
25	Sep_15_2021	20.08	18.63	19.49	19.56	19.64	19.87	20.62(6.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	90	15	52	7.93	56%		33.6	3.38%	1.8	1.6	66	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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