Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 2, 2018

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $44.6800 (-4.43%) ($44.3700 - $46.4300) on Mon. Jul. 2, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.47% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $44.6800(-4.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(27%)    OIH(24%)    IYT(23%)    EMHY(22%)    XLE(22%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-11%)    VXX(-10%)    BWX(-10%)    UUP(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.235% (StdDev 2.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.49(-1.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.9(-0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.57(2.55%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $536.428b

$. APA price fluctuates within 4.84% (three month std-dev: 2.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.94%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 2.9%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -0.95%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 3.13%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.16%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180802

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_2_2018	39.77	43.57	44.9	45.49	45.83	46.01	44.68(-4.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	50	6	81	4.25	56%	0.18	72.1	2.47%	0	0.5	58	-1.4
2	Jun_29_2018	39.7	43.31	44.74	45.18	45.42	46.26	46.75(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	150	28	74	4.92	61%	0.23	63.5	2.41%	0	1.5	56	-0.9
3	Jun_28_2018	39.61	42.93	44.23	44.78	44.76	45.65	45.94(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	140	29	60	2.76	61%	0.18	56.3	2.43%	0	1.4	61	-2
4	Jun_27_2018	39.54	42.63	43.91	44.46	44.64	44.58	45.89(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	0	17	52	4.6	61%	0.13	49.1	2.43%	0	1.6	63	-1.8
5	Jun_26_2018	39.49	42.36	43.64	44.42	44.49	43.87	44.17(2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-90	-17	59	3.46	59%	0.08	44.2	2.39%	0	0.9	66	-1.1

6	Jun_25_2018	39.46	42.11	43.5	44.24	44.71	44.71	43.14(-3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	30	-3	80	4.06	57%	0	30.3	2.38%	0	0.5	65	-2.1
7	Jun_22_2018	39.46	41.92	43.64	44.18	44.41	45.11	44.76(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	130	31	126	5.15	60%	0	19.1	2.33%	0	1.3	70	0.1
8	Jun_21_2018	39.46	41.73	43.39	43.55	43.65	44.72	44.36(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	180	36	126	5.34	63%	0	5.2	2.35%	0	1.3	70	-0.4
9	Jun_20_2018	39.46	41.62	43.13	43.26	42.96	43.71	45.68(5.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	60	100	37	128	8.22	65%	0.03	1.1	2.39%	0	2.1	69	0.8
10	Jun_19_2018	39.45	41.46	42.52	42.78	42.63	42.57	43.26(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-20	9	101	3.98	63%	-0.08	-5	2.3%	0	1	60	0.4

11	Jun_18_2018	39.48	41.49	42.14	42.68	42.68	42.22	42.84(2.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-80	-22	89	6.39	63%	-0.15	-1.6	2.31%	0	0.8	65	1.3
12	Jun_15_2018	39.54	41.52	41.8	43.04	43	42.69	41.61(-2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	13	-50	-18	107	8.7	61%	-0.15	9.8	2.3%	0	0	61	1.4
13	Jun_14_2018	39.6	41.62	41.56	43.16	43.46	43.15	42.89(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-30	6	112	3.79	64%	-0.13	17	2.27%	0	0.7	55	1.7
14	Jun_13_2018	39.65	41.6	41.27	42.93	43.12	43.31	43.32(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	40	12	93	5.7	64%	-0.13	17	2.27%	0	0.9	51	1.3
15	Jun_12_2018	39.7	41.55	40.99	42.19	42.61	43.77	42.76(-4.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	220	47	67	7.04	64%	-0.13	12	2.26%	0	0.6	47	1.6

16	Jun_11_2018	39.75	41.51	40.61	41.48	41.59	42.93	44.6(5.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	62	230	75	21	6.94	68%	-0.03	8.6	2.19%	0	1.6	48	1.7
17	Jun_8_2018	39.76	41.34	40.04	40.4	40.39	41.44	42.24(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	26	180	54	-60	4.5	65%	-0.13	-3.1	2.09%	0	0.5	41	1.5
18	Jun_7_2018	39.81	41.3	39.9	39.75	39.75	40.24	41.75(5.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-1	90	35	-110	5.29	65%	-0.1	-5.4	2.09%	0	0.3	39	1.3
19	Jun_6_2018	39.85	41.27	39.93	39.4	39.39	39.33	39.58(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10	-6	-148	3.46	61%	-0.18	-10.6	2.01%	0	-1	37	1.6
20	Jun_5_2018	39.92	41.32	40.26	39.62	39.56	39.26	39.25(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-60	-7	-139	3.35	61%	-0.03	-7.9	2.01%	0	-1.2	36	0.8

21	Jun_4_2018	39.93	41.35	40.74	39.57	39.78	39.45	39.18(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-40	-9	-131	5.57	61%	-0.2	-12.8	2.01%	0	-1.3	37	0.2
22	Jun_1_2018	40.01	41.39	41.2	39.59	39.66	39.85	38.97(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	40	-19	-120	3.8	61%	-0.17	-14.5	2.02%	0	-1.4	42	0.7
23	May_31_2018	40.08	41.4	41.71	40.05	39.73	40.11	40(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	40	-2	-83	3.84	64%	-0.12	-13	2.01%	0	-0.8	45	0
24	May_30_2018	40.13	41.4	41.99	40.56	40.06	39.47	40.71(4.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-140	-18	-62	3.1	64%	-0.1	-4.6	2.01%	0	-0.4	50	0.2
25	May_29_2018	40.17	41.46	42.18	41.05	40.7	39.34	39(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-72	-260	-78	-54	2.67	60%		2.7	1.95%	0	-1.4	49	-0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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