Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $42.2300 (2.08%) ($41.5200 - $42.6900) on Wed. Nov. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $42.2300(2.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(29%)    OIH(25%)    IYT(23%)    XLE(23%)    IVE(22%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-10%)    BWX(-9%)    UUP(-8%)    BNDX(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.95(3.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.84(3.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.96(0.64%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $507.013b

$. APA price fluctuates within 4.43% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.77%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.81%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 6.07%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -7.12%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 17.3%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.3%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2017	44.13	41.96	40.84	40.95	41	41.55	42.23(2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	21	100	36	-26	3.52	44%	-0.18	-58.7	2.1%	0	0.1	55	0
2	Oct_31_2017	44.21	42.08	40.85	40.4	40.37	40.98	41.37(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	6	100	24	-49	2.07	44%	-0.16	-64.9	2.09%	0	-0.4	45	0
3	Oct_30_2017	44.28	42.28	40.96	40.16	40	40.45	40.81(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	70	21	-59	2.32	44%	-0.16	-66.2	2.08%	0	-0.7	38	0
4	Oct_27_2017	44.35	42.51	41.14	40.06	39.85	39.76	40.74(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-30	-2	-91	3.63	48%	-0.16	-64.9	2.08%	0	-0.8	24	0
5	Oct_26_2017	44.42	42.76	41.23	40.21	40.1	39.55	39.59(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-53	-100	-30	-120	3.11	44%	-0.16	-58.2	2.08%	0	-1.4	22	0

6	Oct_25_2017	44.49	43.07	41.43	40.73	40.67	39.95	39.51(-1.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-64	-130	-41	-133	3.97	44%	-0.18	-48.8	2.08%	0	-1.6	20	0
7	Oct_24_2017	44.57	43.42	41.69	41.35	41.35	40.65	40.14(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-62	-120	-39	-129	5.51	44%	-0.16	-37.3	2.09%	0	-1.6	27	0
8	Oct_23_2017	44.64	43.71	41.94	41.88	42	41.4	40.3(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-56	-90	-32	-126	5.1	44%	-0.16	-23.3	2.09%	0	-1.8	27	0
9	Oct_20_2017	44.71	43.97	42.47	42.36	42.42	42.05	41.53(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-60	-16	-104	4.43	47%	-0.13	-11.3	2.07%	0	-1.4	29	0
10	Oct_19_2017	44.77	44.09	42.82	42.38	42.54	42.6	42.15(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	20	1	-102	3.68	53%	-0.09	-9	2.07%	0	-1.2	30	0

11	Oct_18_2017	44.81	44.16	43.17	42.23	42.39	42.78	42.65(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	80	16	-99	4.14	53%	-0.11	-8.7	2.14%	0	-0.9	32	0
12	Oct_17_2017	44.86	44.2	43.41	42.09	41.98	42.49	42.76(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	80	14	-111	3.39	53%	-0.04	-8.7	2.16%	0	-0.9	30	0
13	Oct_16_2017	44.88	44.2	43.67	42.03	41.88	42.01	42.73(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-37	10	-7	-126	4.19	53%	-0.13	-6.5	2.16%	0	-0.8	33	0
14	Oct_13_2017	44.94	44.17	43.96	42.66	42.25	41.48	41.6(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-160	-35	-116	3.02	50%	-0.13	10.6	2.13%	0	-1.5	33	0
15	Oct_12_2017	45	44.24	44.39	43.37	43.2	41.75	41.41(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-70	-250	-62	-92	6.14	50%	-0.2	31.8	2.14%	0	-1.7	44	0

16	Oct_11_2017	45.09	44.3	44.85	44.25	44.19	43.02	41.96(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-60	-190	-63	-50	4.87	50%	-0.18	53.4	2.13%	0	-1.5	48	0
17	Oct_10_2017	45.17	44.35	45.31	44.89	45	44.65	42.46(-7.39%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-25	-50	-34	2	10.11	54%	-0.18	67.2	2.13%	0	-1.1	52	0
18	Oct_9_2017	45.25	44.28	45.68	45.48	45.37	45.35	45.85(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	16	-10	-0	65	3.28	65%	-0.11	72.7	2%	0	0.8	80	0
19	Oct_6_2017	45.3	43.99	45.61	45.46	45.39	45.36	45.17(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10	-3	82	2.55	59%	-0.11	66.9	2%	0	0.6	71	0
20	Oct_5_2017	45.35	43.71	45.48	45.46	45.4	45.38	45.82(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	23	-10	-1	93	2.12	54%	-0.11	68.9	2.06%	0	1	74	0

21	Oct_4_2017	45.4	43.46	45.25	45.58	45.42	45.38	45.14(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10	-8	99	4.59	54%	-0.13	73.3	2.09%	0	0.8	73	0
22	Oct_3_2017	45.46	43.21	45.06	45.8	45.63	45.38	45.44(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-40	-4	116	1.64	57%	-0.11	76.7	2.1%	0	1	74	0
23	Oct_2_2017	45.51	42.92	44.72	45.91	45.75	45.42	45.72(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-60	-8	128	2.23	57%	-0.13	79.9	2.13%	0	1.2	83	0
24	Sep_29_2017	45.57	42.61	44.38	45.78	45.78	45.85	45.8(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	42	10	7	148	2.05	57%	-0.11	77.5	2.14%	0	1.4	85	0
25	Sep_28_2017	45.62	42.26	44.06	45.33	45.53	46.09	45.8(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	100	29	164	3.36	59%		70.4	2.14%	0	1.5	86	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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