Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 24, 2017

Trading Signals: APA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 14, 2016 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(APA Corporation)
APA latest price $40.0300 (-0.52%) ($39.8566 - $40.3700) on Thu. Aug. 24, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   14
Latest Price   $40.0300(-0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   APA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   APA declines -4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support APA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(29%)    OIH(25%)    XLE(24%)    IYT(23%)    IVE(22%)
Factors Impacting APA price   APA will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-10%)    BWX(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.49(-36.32%)
Resistance Level   $43.1
5 Day Moving Average   $40(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.56(-1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.1(-7.12%)
To recent high   -20.3%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $480.6b

$. APA price fluctuates within 8.26% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.96%(57%) Average negative next day return: -2.39%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.1%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -5.66%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 5.26%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.42%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2017	47.79	43.1	40.56	40	39.91	40.06	40.03(-0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-27	20	4	-121	1.89	44%	-0.25	-59.2	2.24%	0	-0.9	14	0
2	Aug_23_2017	47.91	43.6	40.8	39.97	39.95	39.91	40.24(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	-10	1	-132	3.81	44%	-0.23	-58	2.24%	0	-0.9	28	0
3	Aug_22_2017	48.02	44.02	41.11	40.05	40.01	39.76	39.89(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-53	-50	-17	-162	3.01	43%	-0.25	-58.7	2.23%	0	-1.1	17	0
4	Aug_21_2017	48.14	44.47	41.52	40.38	40.36	39.98	39.52(-1.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-60	-70	-21	-178	4.07	43%	-0.25	-56.9	2.24%	0	-1.4	13	0
5	Aug_18_2017	48.26	44.9	42.01	40.79	40.77	40.26	40.31(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	-90	-25	-192	3.05	45%	-0.25	-57.7	2.26%	0	-1.3	13	0

6	Aug_17_2017	48.38	45.32	42.49	41.2	41.22	40.74	39.89(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-75	-80	-31	-208	2.73	45%	-0.27	-56.6	2.25%	0	-1.6	10	0
7	Aug_16_2017	48.51	45.81	42.93	41.75	41.75	41.29	40.63(-2.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-77	-80	-28	-222	3.31	45%	-0.23	-54.2	2.25%	0	-1.6	10	0
8	Aug_15_2017	48.62	46.28	43.63	42.34	42.23	41.7	41.54(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-77	-100	-31	-213	4.04	45%	-0.18	-50.8	2.23%	0	-1.6	22	0
9	Aug_14_2017	48.71	46.61	44.32	42.85	42.9	42.22	41.57(-1.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-74	-110	-32	-200	3.6	45%	-0.16	-48.9	2.24%	0	-1.8	22	0
10	Aug_11_2017	48.79	46.99	45.1	43.42	43.51	42.76	42.39(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-73	-110	-37	-180	2.51	45%	-0.16	-45.9	2.23%	0	-1.8	30	0

11	Aug_10_2017	48.87	47.31	45.85	43.98	44.05	43.59	42.61(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-58	-70	-26	-152	3.8	45%	-0.16	-38.2	2.23%	0	-2	29	0
12	Aug_9_2017	48.95	47.62	46.61	44.27	44.43	44.26	43.58(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-20	-27	-140	3.32	46%	-0.14	-34.4	2.23%	0	-2	29	0
13	Aug_8_2017	49.02	47.84	47.16	45.14	44.76	44.51	44.12(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-60	-31	-123	3.45	48%	-0.14	-26	2.22%	0	-2	28	0
14	Aug_7_2017	49.09	48.02	47.65	46.05	45.62	44.59	44.39(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-56	-190	-43	-96	3.9	48%	-0.14	-19.8	2.24%	0	-2.2	41	0
15	Aug_4_2017	49.16	48.19	48.05	47.07	46.72	45.01	45.22(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-74	-280	-71	-81	7.04	49%	-0.12	-5.5	2.26%	0	-1.9	40	0

16	Aug_3_2017	49.22	48.21	48.4	48.02	47.99	46.65	44.06(-8.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-74	-200	-79	-57	11.18	47%	-0.14	5	2.24%	0	-2.7	36	0
17	Aug_2_2017	49.29	48.34	48.97	49.26	49.2	48.44	47.91(-1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-22	-110	-32	7	4.47	53%	-0.06	28.7	2.01%	0	-0.3	50	0
18	Aug_1_2017	49.32	48.33	49.17	49.45	49.59	49.33	48.66(-1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-30	-17	32	2.84	53%	-0.02	37.8	2.01%	0	0.3	57	0
19	Jul_31_2017	49.33	48.35	49.1	49.49	49.63	49.96	49.48(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	60	11	49	2.09	53%	-0.02	49.8	2.01%	0	0.9	63	0
20	Jul_28_2017	49.34	48.27	49.02	49.18	49.47	49.86	50.01(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	70	28	55	3.98	53%	-0.02	50.9	2.01%	0	1.4	67	0

21	Jul_27_2017	49.35	48.14	48.87	48.86	48.95	49.3	50.22(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	60	11	58	3.71	50%	0.02	53.4	2.01%	0	1.7	75	0
22	Jul_26_2017	49.34	47.98	48.66	48.69	48.8	49.08	48.86(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	50	5	64	2.06	48%	-0.04	59.7	2.02%	0	0.8	67	0
23	Jul_25_2017	49.36	47.85	48.54	48.89	48.99	48.61	48.86(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-50	8	74	3.56	50%	-0.08	57.1	2.02%	0	0.9	55	0
24	Jul_24_2017	49.4	47.72	48.38	48.66	48.91	48.53	47.96(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-40	-24	42	2.62	50%	-0.08	37.8	2.05%	0	0.2	45	0
25	Jul_21_2017	49.44	47.63	48.31	48.81	48.95	49.36	48.41(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	70	3	54	3.35	50%		27.3	2.04%	0	0.6	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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